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Harvard Invitational 2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 8 17 25
2 Boston University Boston University Terriers! 32 10 42
3 Harvard University Harvard University Cantabs 29 22 51
4 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 32 30 62
5 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 29 33 62
6 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 28 55 83
7 Boston University Boston University Terriers 43 44 87
8 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 62 31 93
9 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 54 44 98
10 Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 33 75 108
11 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 54 62 116
12 Colleges of the Fenway Colleges of the Fenway Fenway 73 54 127
13 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 70 69 139
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 1 1 2 1 1 2 8 Marek Zaleski '16
Emma Wheeler '17
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 2 3 3 8 7 5 28 Peter Sterflinger '17
Christopher Voorman '14
Harvard University Harvard University Cantabs 4 DSQ 1 3 3 4 29 Bennett Capozzi '17
Victor Kamenker '17
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 5 8 4 4 2 6 29 Cali Warner '16
Jamila Smith-Dell '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 2 7 7 6 7 32 Cameron Barclift '14
Julia Fuller '17
Boston University Boston University Terriers! 6 5 9 2 9 1 32 Simon Bertocci '16
Anna Booras '16
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 7 4 6 9 4 3 33 Tyler Durant '14
Christine Reighley '15
Boston University Boston University Terriers 10 6 5 5 8 9 43 Jackson Chabot '14
Phoebe Gittelson '14
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 8 7 8 6 12 13 54 Anoush Longerstaey '17
Leslie Beedell '16
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 11 9 10 11 5 8 54 Shane Baker '17
Alexandra Rice '16
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 9 10 11 10 11 11 62 Lukas Scott '16
Samantha Calvaresi '18
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 13 11 13 13 10 10 70 Julian Macrone '14
Nathan Alexander '17
Colleges of the Fenway Colleges of the Fenway Fenway 12 12 12 12 13 12 73 Jamie Joyce '16
Marycatherine Dunne '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers! 1 1 4 2 1 1 10 Nicholas Arabia '16
Kristen Noviello '17
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 5 3 2 1 3 3 17 Ansel Duff '15
Olivia Kjorlien '17
Harvard University Harvard University Cantabs 2 2 1 3 8 6 22 William Bloxham '17
Daniel Leichus '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 4 5 8 5 4 30 Kate Shaner '16
Pierre Dupont '16
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 6 5 3 7 2 8 31 Peter Christensen '18
Eleanor Grams '18
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 8 6 6 4 4 5 33 Andrew Stratton '15
Christina Wettersten '15
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 3 11 7 6 7 10 44 Simon Li '14
Andreane Bellon De Chassy '17
Boston University Boston University Terriers 7 7 9 5 9 7 44 Samuel Campbell '17
Madison Sparber '17
Colleges of the Fenway Colleges of the Fenway Fenway 9 8 8 10 10 9 54 John Zupkud '16
Christina Accardi '16
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 10 9 10 9 6 11 55 Erin Meltzer '14
Kylie Hogan '17
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 12 12 12 12 12 2 62 Kimberly Jackman '16
Marissa Eklund '17
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 11 10 11 11 13 13 69 Mark Sinks '17
Sebastian Kern '17
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 13 13 13 13 11 12 75 Regan Yeung '16
Luke Anneser '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2009 (43 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons223355
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers335566
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers!556677
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies16162233
Colleges of the FenwayColleges of the Fenway Fenway667788
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Cantabs88991111
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson778899
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats9911111212
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds111112121313
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers121213131717
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers131317171515
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies171715151616
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1515161622

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons223355
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers335566
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers!556677
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies16162233
Colleges of the FenwayColleges of the Fenway Fenway667788
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Cantabs88991111
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson778899
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats9911111212
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds111112121313
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers121213131717
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers131317171515
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies171715151616
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1515161622

Conditions — 10/06/2013 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Moderate drizzle
Humidity 88%  ·  Pressure 1022.8 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.1 kn
avg  ·  max 8.6 kn
Gusts to 17.1 kn
From E (85°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity88% Pressure1022.8 hPa Rain0.23 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 4 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Harvard: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.19 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Harvard by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (59 labelled days at Harvard).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →