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Nicholas Barnett Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston College Boston College Eagles 30 56 86
2 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 54 33 87
3 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 51 37 88
4 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 64 32 96
5 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 33 78 111
6 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 53 65 118
7 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 78 58 136
8 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 77 81 158
9 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 94 85 179
10 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 97 111 208
11 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 114 111 225
12 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 115 112 227
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 3 3 4 1 1 4 1 2 4 5 2 30 Maxwell Simmons '17
Emily Vasiliou '16
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 2 1 3 7 2 2 7 1 3 3 33 Duncan Howes '15
Lindsey Ludwig '14
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 4 5 3 2 2 1 8 9 3 8 6 51 Peter Edmunds '14
Julia Rew '16
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 1 4 7 10 3 6 4 3 10 1 4 53 Bryce Kopp '16
Victoria Allen '16
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 9 1 8 8 6 3 11 1 2 4 1 54 Robert Floyd '17
Sophie Kerr '17
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 7 6 5 4 5 5 3 6 5 9 9 64 Duncan Swain '15
Julie Pringle '14
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 5 9 6 6 8 7 6 10 6 7 7 77 Scott Goodrich '16
Taylor Williams '16
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 6 8 2 9 9 DSQ 9 5 7 2 8 78 Patrick Penwell '16
Hanna Olton '17
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 10 7 12 7 4 8 5 8 11 12 10 94 Edward Moan '14
Alison Maas '17
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies DNS 10 9 5 11 11 10 4 8 11 5 97 Sarah Fuller '16
Catherine Stavola '14
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 11 12 10 12 12 9 7 11 12 6 12 114 William Dykes '15
Elizabeth Resnick '15
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 8 11 11 11 10 10 12 12 9 10 11 115 Terry Duncan '15
Annalisa Baratta '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 1 3 4 3 2 3 1 2 2 7 32 Ben Weigel '14
Hannah Duggan '15
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 1 5 5 2 1 1 2 8 3 1 4 33 Charles Lalumiere '17
Mia Steck '17
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 5 4 2 1 7 3 1 2 7 4 1 37 Tom Peabody '14
Paige Speight '16
Boston College Boston College Eagles 7 2 4 5 2 9 4 7 4 9 3 56 Ryan Schmitz '15
Isabelle Salvaterra '14
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 11 9 1 DSQ 6 4 5 3 1 3 2 58 Christina Lewis '16
Molly Lucyk '16
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 7 6 6 5 6 7 5 5 8 8 65 Ellis Tonissi '15
Marina Sachs '15
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 12 3 8 3 8 5 11 6 6 6 10 78 Collin Clark '14
Julie Barbera '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 8 6 10 7 10 8 8 4 10 5 5 81 Jesse Thomas '17
Laura Tschiegg '17
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 3 11 9 8 4 7 6 12 12 7 6 85 John Cappetta '16
Ali Carley '14
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 9 10 7 9 11 11 10 11 11 11 11 111 Ann Sager '13
Sarah Martin '15
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 10 8 11 10 12 10 12 9 8 12 9 111 Jennifer Lee '17
Lauren Kovacs '15
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 6 12 12 11 9 12 9 10 9 10 12 112 Cynthia Connard '15
Alden Cowap '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats113355779911
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles221212101088664
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears3355779911111
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies10108866442212
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels442212121010886
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red5577991111113
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green664422121210108
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers7799111111335
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1111113355779
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies88664422121210
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams121210108866442
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos9911111133557

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats22446688101012
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles1111119977553
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears446688101012122
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies997755331111
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels3311111199775
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red668810101212224
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green5533111111997
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers881010121222446
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats12122244668810
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies7755331111119
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1111997755331
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos101012122244668

Conditions — 10/12/2013 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 75%  ·  Pressure 1028.4 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.2 kn
avg  ·  max 7.3 kn
Gusts to 16.3 kn
From E (87°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover80% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity75% Pressure1028.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn* · SE 8 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Bowdoin: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.06 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.01 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bowdoin by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (33 labelled days at Bowdoin).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →