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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 2 2 4
2 Brown University Brown University Bears 5 4 9
3 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 5 13 18
4 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 8 11 19
5 Boston University Boston University Terriers 11 9 20
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 13 8 21
7 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 14 9 23
8 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 17 17 34
9 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 15 24 39
10 Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 44 MRP 37 MRP 81 MRP
11 Emmanuel College Emmanuel College Saints 42 MRP 42 MRP 84 MRP
12 Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 2 42 MRP 43 MRP 85 MRP
13 Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 1 47 MRP 43 MRP 90 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 1 1 2 Viktor Wettergren '14
Emily Shanley-Roberts '18
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 3 5 Franco Bilik '18 [1]
Sam Alexander '18 [2]
Sam Alexander '18 [1]
Franco Bilik '18 [2]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 3 2 5 Luke Orchardo '16
Alexandra Zhmakina '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 4 4 8 Pierre Dupont '16
Ballard Blair '18
Boston University Boston University Terriers 6 5 11 Michael Saldi '15
Indre Jankeviciute '15
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 5 8 13 Casey Gowrie '16
Molly Pleskus '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 7 7 14 James Beatty '17
Lucy Robison '18
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 9 6 15 Michael Rottier '15
Melissa Conway '16
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 8 9 17 Elise Gehling '17
Laura Tschiegg '17
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 2 11 11 42 MRP Andrew Snodgrass '17
Regan Yeung '16
Emmanuel College Emmanuel College Saints 12 10 42 MRP No Show
No Show
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 10 DNF 44 MRP Sarah Hyman '15
No Show
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 1 13 DNF 47 MRP Christine Reighley '15
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 1 1 2 James Moody '16
Caroline Ambros '17
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 2 4 Lindsey Baab '18
Nathan Housberg '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 3 5 8 Rolfe Glover '16
Leah Fletcher '17
Boston University Boston University Terriers 5 4 9 Lindsey Kennett '15
Brendan Cook '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 6 3 9 Alexander Tong '17
Lara Dienemann '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 4 7 11 Taylor Nathanson '18
Aaron Klein '18
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 7 6 13 Peter Christensen '18
Camille Matile '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 9 8 17 Zach Shapiro '15
Claire Lockard '18
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 12 12 24 George Williams '17
Shannon Nardi '16
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 8 9 37 MRP No Show
No Show
Emmanuel College Emmanuel College Saints 11 11 42 MRP No Show
No Show
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 2 10 13 43 MRP No Show
No Show
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 1 13 10 43 MRP No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons 11313
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons 21616
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers2323
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges2222
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears66
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1010
Emmanuel CollegeEmmanuel College Saints1919
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies 122
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies 255
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 144
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 21111
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 31717
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 433

Division B

Team1B2B
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons 11313
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons 21616
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers2323
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges2222
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears66
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1010
Emmanuel CollegeEmmanuel College Saints1919
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies 122
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies 255
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 144
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 21111
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 31717
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 433

Conditions — 11/13/2014 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1016.9 hPa

Temperature

44°F
↑ 48°F   ↓ 36°F
Feels like 38°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.0 kn
avg  ·  max 7.7 kn
Gusts to 14.8 kn
From NW (304°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover66% Sunshine9.1 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1016.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tufts: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.00 ± 0.32)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tufts by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (60 labelled days at Tufts).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →