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Open Atlantic Coast Championships Round 1B

Analysis
# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 73 32 105
2 Boston College Boston College Eagles 74 43 117
3 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 61 59 120
4 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 79 51 130
5 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 88 42 130
6 Brown University Brown University Bears 86 49 135
7 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 69 70 139
8 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 83 92 175
9 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 68 115 183
10 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 102 81 183
11 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 93 112 205
12 San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 103 116 219
13 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 91 131 222
14 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 116 120 236
15 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 102 151 253
16 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 143 122 265
17 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 121 149 270
18 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 159 167 326
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 8 6 10 11 2 2 1 11 1 9 61 Robert Ulmer '27
Ellie Pinto '27
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 4 4 13 2 9 11 3 4 15 3 68 Steven Hardee '26
Arantxa Argibay '27
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 5 8 12 7 17 2 5 11 1 69 Hamilton Barclay '27
Taylor Bartell '28
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 14 14 1 4 8 1 5 3 9 14 73 Peter Barnard '27
Teddy Stoldt '28
Boston College Boston College Eagles 15 10 11 9 5 4 4 1 8 7 74 Alex Lech '28 [1-10]
Christian Yanoti '29 [1-4]
Lanie Ferrarone '28 [5-10]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 2 8 3 6 3 6 7 17 14 13 79 Morgan Pinckney '27 [1-10]
Annabel Woodworth '28 [1-6]
Ryan Tonkovich '30 [7-10]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 10 11 4 18 4 3 6 12 4 11 83 Michelangelo Vecchio '27
Elizabeth Wire '28
Brown University Brown University Bears 12 2 7 1 1 7 OCS 13 16 8 86 Blake Behrens '27 [1-10]
Vera Allen '27 [1-6]
Phoebe Fogarty '29 [7-10]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 9 15 3 14 18 14 6 2 4 88 Henry Allgeier '27
Fiona Cullen '27
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 13 1 2 7 17 16 12 7 10 6 91 Jj Klempen '27
Stella Kim '27
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 5 7 18 17 12 8 11 8 5 2 93 Keith Grupenhoff '29
Ursula Budd '27
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 7 16 6 13 6 15 9 9 6 15 102 Lorenzo Puertas '29
Grace Redner '27
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 11 12 9 8 10 9 10 10 7 16 102 Jacob Zils '27
Andalucia Pilcher '28
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 9 3 5 16 11 13 15 2 17 12 103 Ian Nyenhuis '29
Lily Schweber '27
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 17 13 16 15 15 5 8 14 3 10 116 Hank Seum '27
Madison Mihan '27
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 6 15 14 10 18 10 13 18 12 5 121 Reed Mcallister '27
Chiara Dacosta '30
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 18 18 12 5 13 14 17 16 13 17 143 Pierce Brindley '28 [1-8]
Esther Ireland '29 [9-10]
Madison Bivins '29 [1-8]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 16 17 17 14 16 12 16 15 18 18 159 Gavin Galway '30 [1-10]
Aiden Bowman '28 [1-6]
Nikolaos Kliafas '27 [7-10]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 8 3 2 1 3 1 7 2 4 32 Peter Herlihy '29
Scarlett Harris '28
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 4 6 1 6 2 5 1 4 10 42 Owen Macwilliams '28 [1-6]
Kyle Reinecke '28 [7-10]
Sarah Mcnelly '28 [1-6]
Boston College Boston College Eagles 8 1 1 6 5 7 2 6 6 1 43 Cody Roe '29
Brooke Bergendahl '28
Brown University Brown University Bears 10 3 2 3 4 6 6 5 7 3 49 Tyler Lamm '28 [1-6]
James Pine '30 [7-10]
Dominic Ciccimaro '29 [1-6]
Reese Corckran '28 [7-10]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 2 2 13 11 7 4 4 BKD 1 2 51 Wyatt Kelly '30
Ashley Highland '27
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 9 11 4 8 3 1 3 2 3 15 59 William Kulas '28
Elliott Chalcraft '27
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 7 6 5 5 2 8 10 10 8 9 70 Kelly Holthus '27
Parker Kumler '27
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 6 7 8 4 10 14 7 3 10 12 81 Patrick Shachoy '28
Caroline Newton '27
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 5 5 11 7 12 9 11 15 12 5 92 Rebecca Schill '27
Hazel Johnson '27
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 13 14 10 15 8 18 8 8 5 13 112 Owen Grainger '28 [1-6]
Christopher Chwalk '28 [7-10]
Sam Puleio '29 [1-6]
Erin Little '28 [7-10]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 15 15 7 9 9 11 13 9 13 14 115 William Stratton '29 [1-2]
David Webb '28 [3-10]
Ana Stewart '27 [1-2]
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 4 9 16 16 14 12 15 14 9 7 116 Noah Nyenhuis '27
Macaela Wilton '27
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 17 10 9 17 13 5 12 4 17 16 120 Cole Schweda '27
Taylor Collison '28
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 14 12 14 13 11 10 14 12 11 11 122 Marina Conde '28 [1-10]
Molly Hanson '27 [1-8]
Emil Body-Goldberg '27 [9-10]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 11 13 18 10 15 16 9 16 15 8 131 Db Murray '30
Ellery Kloc '30
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 16 18 15 18 18 17 16 11 14 6 149 Langdon Wallace '27 [1-4, 7-10]
Calvin Marsh '28 [5-6]
Ethan Wagner '30 [1-6]
John Sanderson '29 [7-10]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 12 17 12 12 16 13 17 18 16 18 151 Lila Torresen '29 [1-6]
Brendan Wojkowski '29 [7-10]
Alexander Reynolds '28 [1-6]
Megan Gottfried '27 [7-10]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 18 16 17 14 17 15 18 17 18 17 167 Jack Prior '27 [1-10]
Nikolaos Kliafas '27 [1-6]
Aiden Bowman '27 [7-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (11 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles1122334455
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears2211181817171616
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears3344556677
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams443322111818
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas5566778899
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen6655443322
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins77889910101111
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners1212111110109988
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes14141313121211111010
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines151516161717181811
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers8877665544
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen13131414151516161717
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs991010111112121313
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams16161515141413131212
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs101099887766
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave11111212131314141515
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers17171818112233
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs18181717161615151414

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles1122334455
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears2211181817171616
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears3344556677
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams443322111818
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas5566778899
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen6655443322
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins77889910101111
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners1212111110109988
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes14141313121211111010
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines151516161717181811
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers8877665544
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen13131414151516161717
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs991010111112121313
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams16161515141413131212
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs101099887766
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave11111212131314141515
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers17171818112233
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs18181717161615151414
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Alex Lech '28 [1-10] Christian Yanoti '29 [1-4]
Lanie Ferrarone '28 [5-10]
Eagles Cody Roe '29 Brooke Bergendahl '28
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Michelangelo Vecchio '27 Elizabeth Wire '28
Polar Bears Rebecca Schill '27 Hazel Johnson '27
Brown University Brown University Blake Behrens '27 [1-10] Vera Allen '27 [1-6]
Phoebe Fogarty '29 [7-10]
Bears Tyler Lamm '28 [1-6]
James Pine '30 [7-10]		 Dominic Ciccimaro '29 [1-6]
Reese Corckran '28 [7-10]
Fordham University Fordham University Jacob Zils '27 Andalucia Pilcher '28
Rams Patrick Shachoy '28 Caroline Newton '27
Georgetown University Georgetown University Peter Barnard '27 Teddy Stoldt '28
Hoyas Peter Herlihy '29 Scarlett Harris '28
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Jj Klempen '27 Stella Kim '27
Statesmen Db Murray '30 Ellery Kloc '30
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Hank Seum '27 Madison Mihan '27
Fins Cole Schweda '27 Taylor Collison '28
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Robert Ulmer '27 Ellie Pinto '27
Engineers William Kulas '28 Elliott Chalcraft '27
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Pierce Brindley '28 [1-8]
Esther Ireland '29 [9-10]		 Madison Bivins '29 [1-8]
Monarchs Marina Conde '28 [1-10] Molly Hanson '27 [1-8]
Emil Body-Goldberg '27 [9-10]
San Diego State University San Diego State University Ian Nyenhuis '29 Lily Schweber '27
Aztecs Noah Nyenhuis '27 Macaela Wilton '27
Tulane University Tulane University Hamilton Barclay '27 Taylor Bartell '28
Green Wave Kelly Holthus '27 Parker Kumler '27
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Reed Mcallister '27 Chiara Dacosta '30
Mariners Langdon Wallace '27 [1-4, 7-10]
Calvin Marsh '28 [5-6]		 Ethan Wagner '30 [1-6]
John Sanderson '29 [7-10]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Henry Allgeier '27 Fiona Cullen '27
Midshipmen Owen Macwilliams '28 [1-6]
Kyle Reinecke '28 [7-10]		 Sarah Mcnelly '28 [1-6]
University of Miami University of Miami Steven Hardee '26 Arantxa Argibay '27
Hurricanes William Stratton '29 [1-2]
David Webb '28 [3-10]		 Ana Stewart '27 [1-2]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Lorenzo Puertas '29 Grace Redner '27
Wolverines Lila Torresen '29 [1-6]
Brendan Wojkowski '29 [7-10]		 Alexander Reynolds '28 [1-6]
Megan Gottfried '27 [7-10]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Keith Grupenhoff '29 Ursula Budd '27
Rams Owen Grainger '28 [1-6]
Christopher Chwalk '28 [7-10]		 Sam Puleio '29 [1-6]
Erin Little '28 [7-10]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Gavin Galway '30 [1-10] Aiden Bowman '28 [1-6]
Nikolaos Kliafas '27 [7-10]
Clippers Jack Prior '27 [1-10] Nikolaos Kliafas '27 [1-6]
Aiden Bowman '27 [7-10]
Yale University Yale University Morgan Pinckney '27 [1-10] Annabel Woodworth '28 [1-6]
Ryan Tonkovich '30 [7-10]
Bulldogs Wyatt Kelly '30 Ashley Highland '27

Conditions — 10/10/2026 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1029.3 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.5 kn
avg  ·  max 8.7 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From NE (42°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover87% Sunshine5.0 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1029.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: no wind record for this regatta; the venue average is used
In this breeze at Navy: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.20 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.18
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.19 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Navy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (114 labelled days at Navy).