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Long Beach Gold Invite

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 43 43
2 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 53 53
3 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 2 78 78
4 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 80 80
5 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 5 110 110
6 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 111 111
7 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 114 114
8 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 129 129
9 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 132 132
10 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 3 132 132
11 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 1 138 138
12 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 141 141
13 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4 157 157
14 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 170 170
15 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 170 170
16 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 188 188
17 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 197 197
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 1 2 1 2 3 3 1 1 5 11 3 2 1 7 43 Antoine Screve '16
John Cannistraro '17
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 3 1 4 5 2 2 3 7 1 4 6 1 2 12 53 Gregory Dair '15
Bianca Barnes '15
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 2 4 7 2 1 1 6 4 14 8 2 4 3 DNF 4 78 Mark Ryan '15
Sarah Costa '15
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 5 8 3 12 4 1 10 10 11 1 1 9 4 1 80 Joseph Schiff '17
Samantha Solem '15
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 5 8 9 9 3 13 17 2 8 3 7 5 17 7 2 110 Cobi Allen '16
Noah Eckhous '15
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 2 5 5 10 7 7 7 13 10 14 9 6 6 10 111 Sterling Henken '18
Amelia Anderson '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 10 10 6 9 11 15 8 3 2 13 7 5 10 5 114 Kristopher Swanson '18
Grant Rickon '16
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 17 17 14 7 9 4 6 2 7 3 8 15 9 11 129 John Coakley '16
Paul Chyz '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 7 3 15 8 14 13 12 6 6 16 10 16 3 3 132 Nicolas Delfino '16
Hayley Chong '17
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 3 12 6 8 6 5 8 5 12 9 17 17 8 5 14 132 Sunny Scarbrough '17
Nicholas Santos '15
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 1 9 4 13 4 10 10 9 4 13 9 12 13 11 17 138 Tyler Webb '15
Anna Rubino '16
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 6 12 7 11 6 11 17 9 16 12 2 11 13 8 141 Julia Lambert '18
Yuki Yoshiyasu '16
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4 13 13 11 15 12 14 14 5 14 5 16 4 8 13 157 Olivia Godfrey '17
Madisson Thomas '17
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 11 16 16 16 17 16 11 11 12 8 11 7 12 6 170 Jennifer Hays '17
Ekaterina Goncharova '18
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 14 15 10 14 8 9 13 15 4 15 14 14 16 9 170 Kendall Sanson '15
Melissa Schem '18
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 15 11 12 17 16 12 16 16 15 6 13 10 14 15 188 Alexander Smith '18
Carter Hill '17
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 16 14 17 13 15 5 15 17 17 10 15 12 15 16 197 Brian Maclean '18
Kourtney Roland '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils4040404040404040404040404040
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears231231231231231231231231231231231231231231
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins99999999999999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers 188888888888888
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers 277777777777777
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers 3107107107107107107107107107107107107107107
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 13737373737373737373737373737
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 23838383838383838383838383838
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 1121121121121121121121121121121121121121121
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 2122122122122122122122122122122122122122122
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters2525252525252525252525252525
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons3030303030303030303030303030
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 13131313131313131313131313131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 23232323232323232323232323232
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3132132132132132132132132132132132132132132
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 42626262626262626262626262626
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 5371371371371371371371371371371371371371371

Conditions — 03/07/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 36%  ·  Pressure 1015.0 hPa

Temperature

70°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.6 kn
avg  ·  max 9.7 kn
Gusts to 17.3 kn
From SSW (193°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity36% Pressure1015.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn · S 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at CSU Long Beach: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.11 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.16 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at CSU Long Beach by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at CSU Long Beach: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →