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Admiral Alymers

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 32 11 43
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbalaya 24 22 46
3 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 38 38 76
4 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 28 54 82
5 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 43 43 86
6 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 42 58 100
7 Brown University Brown University Bears 51 49 100
8 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 51 50 101
9 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 1 79 61 140
10 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 89 74 163
11 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst 75 89 164
12 Nor'Easters Nor'Easters Nor'Easters 87 90 177
13 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 2 89 91 180
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbalaya 6 4 1 1 1 3 3 5 24 James Beatty '17
Julien Guiot '18
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 5 3 2 2 6 2 7 1 28 Matthew Gibbs '17 [1-6]
Sam Rush '19 [7-8]
Fraser Mackechnie '19 [1-6]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 1 9 8 7 1 2 3 32 Jack Bitney '19
Natalie Danziger '17
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 2 8 7 3 8 1 7 38 John Silvestri '16 [1-6]
Sam Shannon '19 [7-8]
Jennifer Killian '19 [1-6]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 3 5 10 6 4 7 5 2 42 Vincent Yannelli '19
Victoria Pyne Mercier '19
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 7 6 5 4 5 4 4 8 43 George Luber '17
Evan Bowen '19
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 4 8 4 5 11 6 9 4 51 Stephen Fletcher '17
Abigail Duclos '18
Brown University Brown University Bears 9 7 3 3 12 5 6 6 51 Meredith Morran '19 [1-6]
Sophie Hibben '19 [7-8]
James Woodwell '18 [1-6]
Maxine De Havenon '19 [7-8]
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst 10 9 7 10 9 10 10 10 75 Noah Brayer '18
Jeremy Allen '18
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 1 11 10 11 11 8 11 8 9 79 Kelsey Martins '16
Phoung Pham '17
Nor'Easters Nor'Easters Nor'Easters 13 11 12 13 2 12 12 12 87
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 8 12 13 12 13 9 11 11 89 River Iannaccone '19
Trevor Lounsbury '19
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 2 12 13 6 9 10 13 13 13 89 Hanna Desilets '17
Amy Modini '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 2 1 1 1 3 1 1 11 Cameron Holley '19
Aaron Klein '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbalaya 2 4 2 2 2 4 3 3 22 Taylor Nathanson '18
Sam Gates '17
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 3 1 3 3 DNF 5 5 4 38 Shannon Killian '16 [1-6]
Sean Beaulieu '18 [7-8]
Kathryn Travers '16 [1-6]
Jennifer Ryan '19 [7-8]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 7 7 4 6 4 6 4 5 43 Joseph Dragon '17
Matthew Schaefer '19
Brown University Brown University Bears 6 8 7 4 8 1 9 6 49 Charlie Blasberg '18
Davis Tantillo '19
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 4 5 9 DSQ 3 2 11 2 50 Sofia Kirkman '20
Alexandra Nygren '20
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 5 3 8 8 7 8 8 7 54 Garrett Connelly '19 [1-8]
Sam Rush '19 [1-6]
Lauren Oliveira '19 [7-8]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 9 6 10 7 5 11 2 8 58 Arthur Milot '19
Tijani Marou '18
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 1 10 12 5 5 6 7 7 9 61 Kelsey Delosh '17
Courtney Grippin '17
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 8 9 6 9 12 10 10 10 74 Rudolf Hauser '19 [1-6]
Noah Stern '18 [7-8]
Ella Cedarholm '19 [1-6]
Julian Gale '19 [7-8]
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst 12 10 11 10 10 12 12 12 89 Joshua Linker '19 [1-8]
Jenna Careri '17 [1-2, 7-8]
Amelia Vinciguerra '17 [3-4]
Savannah Kangas '19 [5-6]
Nor'Easters Nor'Easters Nor'Easters 13 13 13 12 11 9 6 13 90
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 2 11 11 12 11 9 13 13 11 91 Shannon Mckeown '18
Isabel Rombult '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears11335577
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst779911111313
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers22446688
Nor'EastersNor'Easters Nor'Easters101012121133
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats111113132244
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies33557799
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1212113355
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks4466881010
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbalaya668810101212
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos5577991111
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 1881010121211
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 2991111131322
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1313224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears22446688
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst881010121211
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers33557799
Nor'EastersNor'Easters Nor'Easters111113132244
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1212113355
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies4466881010
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1313224466
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks5577991111
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbalaya779911111313
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos668810101212
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 1991111131322
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 2101012121133
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts11335577
School / Team SkipperCrew
Brown University Brown University Meredith Morran '19 [1-6]
Sophie Hibben '19 [7-8]		 James Woodwell '18 [1-6]
Maxine De Havenon '19 [7-8]
Bears Charlie Blasberg '18 Davis Tantillo '19
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy George Luber '17 Evan Bowen '19
Buccaneers Joseph Dragon '17 Matthew Schaefer '19
Northeastern University Northeastern University Stephen Fletcher '17 Abigail Duclos '18
Huskies Sofia Kirkman '20 Alexandra Nygren '20
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University John Silvestri '16 [1-6]
Sam Shannon '19 [7-8]		 Jennifer Killian '19 [1-6]
Seahawks Shannon Killian '16 [1-6]
Sean Beaulieu '18 [7-8]		 Kathryn Travers '16 [1-6]
Jennifer Ryan '19 [7-8]
Tufts University Tufts University James Beatty '17 Julien Guiot '18
Jumbalaya Taylor Nathanson '18 Sam Gates '17
Tufts University Tufts University Jack Bitney '19 Natalie Danziger '17
Jumbos Cameron Holley '19 Aaron Klein '18
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Noah Brayer '18 Jeremy Allen '18
U. Mass Amherst Joshua Linker '19 [1-8] Jenna Careri '17 [1-2, 7-8]
Amelia Vinciguerra '17 [3-4]
Savannah Kangas '19 [5-6]
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Kelsey Martins '16 Phoung Pham '17
Corsairs 1 Kelsey Delosh '17 Courtney Grippin '17
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Hanna Desilets '17 Amy Modini '19
Corsairs 2 Shannon Mckeown '18 Isabel Rombult '19
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire River Iannaccone '19 Trevor Lounsbury '19
Wildcats Rudolf Hauser '19 [1-6]
Noah Stern '18 [7-8]		 Ella Cedarholm '19 [1-6]
Julian Gale '19 [7-8]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Matthew Gibbs '17 [1-6]
Sam Rush '19 [7-8]		 Fraser Mackechnie '19 [1-6]
Rams Garrett Connelly '19 [1-8] Sam Rush '19 [1-6]
Lauren Oliveira '19 [7-8]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Vincent Yannelli '19 Victoria Pyne Mercier '19
Catamounts Arthur Milot '19 Tijani Marou '18

Conditions — 04/09/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1008.6 hPa

Temperature

41°F
↑ 46°F   ↓ 36°F
Feels like 35°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.1 kn
avg  ·  max 10.7 kn
Gusts to 19.2 kn
From ENE (64°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover70% Sunshine8.5 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1008.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn · NW 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Mass Maritime: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.13 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mass Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at Mass Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →