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StFYC Interconference

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 48 41 89
2 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 37 66 103
3 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 27 83 110
4 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 53 74 127
5 Santa Barbara City College Santa Barbara City College Vaqueros 80 49 129
6 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 83 67 150
7 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 99 72 171
8 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 90 82 MRP 172 MRP
9 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 94 87 181
10 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 99 98 197
11 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 73 129 MRP 202 MRP
12 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 93 MRP 112 MRP 205 MRP
13 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 123 88 211
14 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 111 104 215
15 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 125 MRP 135 MRP 260 MRP
16 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 137 163 300
17 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 150 156 306
18 Banana Slug's Banana Slug's Banana Slug's 175 MRP 137 MRP 312 MRP
19 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 168 148 316
20 Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 210 MRP 209 MRP 419 MRP
21 Dolphins Dolphins Dolphins 218 MRP 211 MRP 429 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 2 3 3 1 2 1 10 2 27 Kristopher Swanson '18 [1-9]
Sterling Henken '18 [1-6, 9]
Bailey Clark '19 [7-8]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 3 2 2 OCS 1 4 1 1 37 William Marshall '19
Cassie Obel '19
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 4 1 10 10 7 5 2 7 48 Andrew Solomon '18 [1-9]
Alexandre Mutricy '17 [1-4, 7-9]
Olivia Macdonald '19 [5-6]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 5 5 14 4 2 5 7 5 6 53 Peter Wong '18 [1-9]
Will Paulsen '19 [1-6]
Lorea Mendiguren '20 [7-9]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos OCS 1 9 1 3 6 13 14 4 73 Brandon Kirby '20 [1-9]
William Pollard '18 [1-6]
Bobby Schloth '19 [7-9]
Santa Barbara City College Santa Barbara City College Vaqueros 8 9 RDG 7 OCS 4 12 4 5 80 Silas Barton '18
Soren Wilde '19
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins OCS 7 6 6 6 9 2 13 12 83 Nicholas Lenz Lenz '19 [1-9]
Maddy Kuhn '20 [1-6]
Laura Roudebush '18 [7-9]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 6 OCS 13 13 4 10 11 8 3 90 Chuck Eaton '17 [1-9]
Annika Garrett '19 [1-4, 7-9]
Patrick Wilkinson '20 [5-6]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 4 11 8 12 8 12 3 7 8 93 MRP Alex Demmler '19 [1-9]
Chad Farrell '20 [1-4, 9]
Kaela Riha '19 [5-8]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 7 8 10 11 7 17 8 17 9 94 Ben Brough '19
Liam Hood '20
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 9 15 5 14 9 15 6 15 11 99 Alyson Crowley '20
Helen Payne '19
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers OCS 6 11 8 OCS 3 9 3 15 99 Johannes Mcelvain '18 [1-6]
Nolan Van Dine '20 [7-9]
Lucas Earley '19 [1-6]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 OCS 16 7 9 11 13 14 6 13 111 Louise Currie '18
Megan Zamzow '19
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers OCS 13 12 15 12 14 10 11 14 123 Quanah Green '18 [1-6]
Thomas Hope '20 [7-9]
Thomas Hope '20 [1-6]
Quanah Green '18 [7-9]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters OCS 10 4 5 OCS 8 15 9 10 125 MRP Brian Maclean '18
Christian Parizea '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons OCS 14 15 16 5 11 17 20 17 137 Yan Rui Goheen '17 [1-6]
Natalie Hopper '19 [7-9]
Daniel Vick '18 [1-6]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 OCS 12 17 19 15 18 16 12 19 150 Ryan Van Slyck '17
Cynthia Sovulewski '19
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 DNF DNF 18 18 14 DNS 18 16 18 168 Nikoline Alden '19
Piper Wolters '20
Banana Slug's Banana Slug's Banana Slug's OCS 17 16 17 13 16 19 19 16 175 MRP
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers OCS DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS 20 18 20 210 MRP Torin Lee '17
Anya Jacquez '18
Dolphins Dolphins Dolphins DNF DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 218 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 3 10 2 4 6 6 3 2 5 41 Ian Markowitz '17 [1-9]
Eric Witte '17 [1-6]
Olivia Macdonald '19 [7-9]
Santa Barbara City College Santa Barbara City College Vaqueros 2 8 3 5 2 4 5 9 11 49 Theodore Bascom '20
Edward Edgerton '17
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 5 3 10 3 OCS 2 7 5 9 66 Nestor Cano Sostre '20
Olivia Gugliemini '19
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 11 9 11 10 5 7 10 1 3 67 Leah Ford '19 [1-9]
Arjun Boddu '18 [1-2]
Kylie Sullivan '17 [3-9]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 1 1 1 OCS 1 15 DSQ 8 72 Benjamin Rohr '19
Kyle Hunt '19
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 7 2 5 9 1 9 11 16 14 74 Grace Yakutis '20 [1-9]
Melissa Schem '18 [1-4, 7-9]
Clifford Lester '19 [5-6]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 6 6 6 13 OCS 3 2 3 1 82 MRP Michael Pacholski '19 [1-9]
Cole Brauer '17 [1-4, 7-9]
Patrick Wilkinson '20 [5-6]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 15 4 8 2 4 5 14 15 16 83 Dylan Finestone '19
Margaret Adams '20
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 19 7 13 8 7 15 6 8 4 87 Joseph Lausten '18 [1-9]
Dallas Butler '17 [1-6]
Belle Lemoine '19 [7-9]
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 10 15 7 7 3 14 1 11 20 88 Andrew Wilkinson '18 [1-6]
Michael Levy '19 [7-9]
Michael Levy '19 [1-6]
Andrew Wilkinson '18 [7-9]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 8 11 9 6 OCS 10 13 4 15 98 Grace Carrick '18 [1-9]
Sophie Ellison '19 [1-4, 7-9]
Shea Walker '20 [5-6]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 9 12 12 12 8 13 16 10 12 104 Caitlin Schadt '18
Gianna Bailey '18
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 4 5 4 11 OCS 8 9 12 17 112 MRP Sunny Scarbrough '17
Ari Zeen '17
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 12 13 DNF 16 10 12 8 6 10 129 MRP Robbie Culkin '19 [1-9]
Jeff Barone '17 [1-2]
Jeffrey Kampfe '19 [3-6]
William Pollard '18 [7-9]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 18 16 14 15 12 16 4 7 13 135 MRP Philip Tagatac '17 [1-9]
Drake Baldwin '20 [1-2, 7-9]
Jesse Campbell '19 [3-6]
Banana Slug's Banana Slug's Banana Slug's 14 14 16 17 9 11 17 17 2 137 MRP
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 17 18 15 14 11 DNS 19 13 19 148 Lena Captain '17
Grace Davidson '17
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 13 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS 12 14 7 156 Ezekiel Ward '20
Hayley Rawden '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 16 17 DNF DNS DNS DNS 18 18 6 163 Grant Lin '17 [1-6]
Samuel Rohrbach '17 [7-9]
Christopher Steefel '18 [1-6]
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 20 19 18 209 MRP Ali Dahnert '19
Gai Iwatate '19
Dolphins Dolphins Dolphins DNF 19 DNF 18 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 211 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.160+0.16
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2009 (35 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears232323232323232323
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers111111111
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1333333333
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2444444444
DolphinsDolphins Dolphins999999999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers777777777
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 1353535353535353535
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 2363636363636363636
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers767676767676767676
Santa Barbara City CollegeSanta Barbara City College Vaqueros555555555
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos191919191919191919
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans373737373737373737
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal212121212121212121
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters252525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins282828282828282828
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons292929292929292929
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos131131131131131131131131131
Banana Slug'sBanana Slug's Banana Slug's333333333333333333
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 1878787878787878787
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 2888888888888888888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears232323232323232323
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers111111111
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1333333333
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2444444444
DolphinsDolphins Dolphins999999999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers777777777
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 1353535353535353535
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 2363636363636363636
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers767676767676767676
Santa Barbara City CollegeSanta Barbara City College Vaqueros555555555
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos191919191919191919
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans373737373737373737
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal212121212121212121
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters252525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins282828282828282828
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons292929292929292929
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos131131131131131131131131131
Banana Slug'sBanana Slug's Banana Slug's333333333333333333
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 1878787878787878787
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 2888888888888888888
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Ben Brough '19 Liam Hood '20
Mustang 1 Joseph Lausten '18 [1-9] Dallas Butler '17 [1-6]
Belle Lemoine '19 [7-9]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Alyson Crowley '20 Helen Payne '19
Mustang 2 Grace Carrick '18 [1-9] Sophie Ellison '19 [1-4, 7-9]
Shea Walker '20 [5-6]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Johannes Mcelvain '18 [1-6]
Nolan Van Dine '20 [7-9]		 Lucas Earley '19 [1-6]
Keelhaulers Benjamin Rohr '19 Kyle Hunt '19
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Alex Demmler '19 [1-9] Chad Farrell '20 [1-4, 9]
Kaela Riha '19 [5-8]
49ers Sunny Scarbrough '17 Ari Zeen '17
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Torin Lee '17 Anya Jacquez '18
Pioneers Ali Dahnert '19 Gai Iwatate '19
Oregon State University Oregon State University Quanah Green '18 [1-6]
Thomas Hope '20 [7-9]		 Thomas Hope '20 [1-6]
Quanah Green '18 [7-9]
Beavers Andrew Wilkinson '18 [1-6]
Michael Levy '19 [7-9]		 Michael Levy '19 [1-6]
Andrew Wilkinson '18 [7-9]
Santa Barbara City College Santa Barbara City College Silas Barton '18 Soren Wilde '19
Vaqueros Theodore Bascom '20 Edward Edgerton '17
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Brandon Kirby '20 [1-9] William Pollard '18 [1-6]
Bobby Schloth '19 [7-9]
Broncos Robbie Culkin '19 [1-9] Jeff Barone '17 [1-2]
Jeffrey Kampfe '19 [3-6]
William Pollard '18 [7-9]
Stanford University Stanford University William Marshall '19 Cassie Obel '19
Cardinal Nestor Cano Sostre '20 Olivia Gugliemini '19
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Andrew Solomon '18 [1-9] Alexandre Mutricy '17 [1-4, 7-9]
Olivia Macdonald '19 [5-6]
Bears Ian Markowitz '17 [1-9] Eric Witte '17 [1-6]
Olivia Macdonald '19 [7-9]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Brian Maclean '18 Christian Parizea '18
Anteaters Philip Tagatac '17 [1-9] Drake Baldwin '20 [1-2, 7-9]
Jesse Campbell '19 [3-6]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Nicholas Lenz Lenz '19 [1-9] Maddy Kuhn '20 [1-6]
Laura Roudebush '18 [7-9]
Bruins Leah Ford '19 [1-9] Arjun Boddu '18 [1-2]
Kylie Sullivan '17 [3-9]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Yan Rui Goheen '17 [1-6]
Natalie Hopper '19 [7-9]		 Daniel Vick '18 [1-6]
Tritons Grant Lin '17 [1-6]
Samuel Rohrbach '17 [7-9]		 Christopher Steefel '18 [1-6]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Kristopher Swanson '18 [1-9] Sterling Henken '18 [1-6, 9]
Bailey Clark '19 [7-8]
Gauchos Dylan Finestone '19 Margaret Adams '20
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Chuck Eaton '17 [1-9] Annika Garrett '19 [1-4, 7-9]
Patrick Wilkinson '20 [5-6]
Rainbows 1 Michael Pacholski '19 [1-9] Cole Brauer '17 [1-4, 7-9]
Patrick Wilkinson '20 [5-6]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Louise Currie '18 Megan Zamzow '19
Rainbows 2 Caitlin Schadt '18 Gianna Bailey '18
University of Southern California University of Southern California Peter Wong '18 [1-9] Will Paulsen '19 [1-6]
Lorea Mendiguren '20 [7-9]
Trojans Grace Yakutis '20 [1-9] Melissa Schem '18 [1-4, 7-9]
Clifford Lester '19 [5-6]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Ryan Van Slyck '17 Cynthia Sovulewski '19
Vikings 1 Ezekiel Ward '20 Hayley Rawden '18
Western Washington University Western Washington University Nikoline Alden '19 Piper Wolters '20
Vikings 2 Lena Captain '17 Grace Davidson '17

Conditions — 04/08/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 72%  ·  Pressure 1019.7 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.8 kn
avg  ·  max 9.5 kn
Gusts to 27.4 kn
From W (272°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover43% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity72% Pressure1019.7 hPa Rain0.13 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn · NE 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Stanford: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.05 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.31 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Stanford by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (48 labelled days at Stanford).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →