Salve Regina Fleet Race

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 71
2 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 123
3 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 136
4 Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 164
5 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 180
6 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 181
7 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 212
8 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 227
9 Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 245
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 B 11 1 6 5 2 3 3 2 1 34 Michael O'Flaherty '21
Maguire Bennett '21
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 A 2 6 1 2 3 1 11 9 2 37 Luke Ingalls '21
Caitlin Abel '21
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 A 3 7 7 3 5 7 4 6 4 46 George Higham '23
Annika Irene '23
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears B 5 2 3 4 17 6 2 10 7 56 Annie Buelt '24
Mia Quinlan '24
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears A 6 10 14 7 4 8 6 7 5 67 Emma Snead '23
Leonora Krajewski '23
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 B 9 11 10 8 9 10 5 4 6 72 Michaela O'Brien '24
John (Jack) Plavan '23
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 A 10 14 5 17 1 2 1 16 15 81 Rebecca Read '21
Sage Walters '21
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 A 14 3 13 10 7 15 9 3 9 83 Anthony Root '22
Caroline Mcneil '22
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 B 7 8 11 6 10 11 14 5 18 90 William Bailey '24
Darcy Lavoie '21
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 A 4 9 9 11 8 9 16 15 11 92 Libby Redmond '24
Declan Mcgranahan '22
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 B 13 17 2 12 11 13 8 13 8 97 Alex Bowdler '22
Frances Donahoe '24
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 B 12 5 8 16 12 4 10 14 17 98 Nils Tullberg '23
Charlotte Martinez '23
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 B 1 12 15 1 14 16 12 12 16 99 Kylie Castellano '21
Sadie Thomas '25
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 B 17 4 16 15 6 17 13 11 10 109 Michaela Odonnell '24
Grace Woodcock '23
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 B 8 18 17 18 15 14 17 1 3 111 Chip Kreuzkamp '24
Katelyn Mcgauley '24
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 A 15 15 4 13 13 5 18 18 14 115 Joey Lark '21
Mary Persico '21
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 A 16 13 12 14 18 18 7 8 12 118 Luke Hosek '24
Katharine Benagh '24
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 A 18 16 18 9 16 12 15 17 13 134 Francis Selldorff '23
Ginny Alex '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (26 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 1111111111
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 2222222222
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears777777777
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 1888888888
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 2999999999
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 1333333333
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 2444444444
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 1555555555
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 2666666666

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 1101010101010101010
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 2111111111111111111
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears141414141414141414
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 1151515151515151515
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 2161616161616161616
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 1121212121212121212
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 2131313131313131313
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 1181818181818181818
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 2202020202020202020

Conditions — 04/03/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 41%  ·  Pressure 1024.0 hPa

Temperature

42°F
↑ 46°F   ↓ 34°F
Feels like 35°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.4 kn
avg  ·  max 8.0 kn
Gusts to 17.7 kn
From WNW (297°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity41% Pressure1024.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Salve Regina: an underdogs’ day (−0.10)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.12 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.21
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.10 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 8% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Salve Regina by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (43 labelled days at Salve Regina).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →