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Great Herring Pond Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston College Boston College Eagles 62 39 101
2 Providence College Providence College Friars 47 59 106
3 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 46 61 107
4 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 51 59 110
5 Boston University Boston University Terriers 47 71 118
6 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 56 72 128
7 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 78 58 136
8 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 74 74 148
9 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 78 79 157
10 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 107 64 171
11 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 108 84 192
12 Bobcats Bobcats Bobcats 112 93 205
13 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 93 127 220
14 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 120 115 235
15 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 121 149 270
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 6 5 7 5 11 1 5 2 3 46 Charles Nunn '16
Chris Dawson '16
Boston University Boston University Terriers 6 2 1 9 1 3 9 1 7 8 47 Cameron Fraser '14
Hannah Callahan '16
Providence College Providence College Friars 8 8 4 5 3 9 2 3 1 4 47 Mike Bloomstine '13
Aimee Kelleher '13
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 4 3 6 2 1 5 10 8 10 51 Ian Hollerbach '14
Abigail Cook '15
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 4 5 2 1 10 6 4 6 5 13 56 Tom Peabody '14
Elise Engquist '15
Boston College Boston College Eagles 3 3 9 3 13 2 3 4 DSQ 6 62 Carolyn Naughton '14
Katherine Wysocki '15
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 13 9 8 14 4 5 8 7 4 2 74 Scott Goodrich '16
Laura Tschiegg '17
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 5 1 10 8 12 12 OCS 2 3 9 78 Kate Levinson '15 [1-5]
James Moody '16 [6-10]
Madeline Luce '13 [1-5]
Caroline Atwood '16 [6-10]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 11 12 7 4 7 8 6 DSQ 6 1 78 Adam Ceely '15
Gregory Drapcho '16
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 7 10 15 15 9 7 7 9 9 5 93 Andrew Mchenry '13
Kyle Robbins '13
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 12 15 13 13 6 10 BKD 8 12 7 107 Michael Reney '13
Leah Saunders '16
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 10 7 14 2 14 13 11 13 13 BYE 108 Genevieve Marquardt '15
Adrienne Adorno '13
Bobcats Bobcats Bobcats 9 14 11 11 8 15 10 11 11 12 112
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 15 11 12 12 11 14 12 12 10 11 120 Andrew Morgan '15 [1-5]
Francis Dougherty '15 [6-10]
Ryan Davis '16 [1-5, 10]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 14 13 6 10 15 4 13 14 DNS DNS 121 Michael Rottier '15 [1-6]
Shannan Smith '15 [7-10]
Fiona O'Donnell '16 [1-6]
Kelsey Smith '13 [7-10]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 5 2 10 1 1 9 1 7 1 2 39 Carolyn Naughton '14
Katherine Wysocki '15
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 11 10 8 3 4 1 8 2 4 7 58 Henry O'Brien '15
John Ring '16
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 3 7 3 8 11 5 2 5 7 8 59 A. Tucker Atterbury '16
Adrienne White '13
Providence College Providence College Friars 8 8 2 14 15 2 3 4 2 1 59 Chris Aitken '15
Alexandra Zweig '13
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 9 5 13 6 3 3 12 1 3 6 61 Samuel Cushing '15
George Saggal '13
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 2 6 4 9 12 4 5 8 10 4 64 Daniel Barry '15
Camille Aiello '15
Boston University Boston University Terriers 6 1 1 4 9 7 11 9 13 10 71 Michael Saldi '15
Phoebe Gittelson '14
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 10 4 9 11 5 10 6 3 5 9 72 Erin Mullins '16
Olivia Diserio '16
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 7 9 6 5 2 8 7 11 8 11 74 Jesse Thomas '17
Zach Shapiro '15
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 13 11 15 2 8 6 9 6 6 3 79 Casey Gowrie '16 [1-5]
Rolfe Glover '16 [6-10]
Emily Lynn '15 [1-5]
Kate Wasynczuk '16 [6-10]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 4 14 7 12 6 13 4 10 9 5 84 John Silvestri '16
Mary Clawson '15
Bobcats Bobcats Bobcats 1 3 5 10 10 11 14 14 11 14 93
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 14 13 12 7 7 12 13 12 12 13 115 Robert Queisser '16
Alexander Hunt '16
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 15 12 11 13 13 14 10 13 14 12 127 Evan Olson '16
Seth Poplawski '16
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 12 15 14 15 14 15 DNS DNS DNS DNS 149 James Fales '13 [1-6]
Andrew Silhavy '14 [7-10]
Lateef Arnold '14 [1-6]
Alexandra Arendt '15 [7-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
BobcatsBobcats Bobcats1133557799
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles224466881010
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers44668810101212
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears335577991111
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies13131515224466
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners55779911111313
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 16688101012121414
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 27799111113131515
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies8810101212141411
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars9911111313151522
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams141411335577
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1010121214141133
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1111131315152244
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos12121414113355
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts151522446688

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
BobcatsBobcats Bobcats224466881010
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles335577991111
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers55779911111313
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears44668810101212
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies141411335577
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners6688101012121414
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 17799111113131515
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 28810101212141411
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies9911111313151522
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars1010121214141133
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams151522446688
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1111131315152244
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks12121414113355
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos13131515224466
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1133557799
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Carolyn Naughton '14 Katherine Wysocki '15
Eagles Carolyn Naughton '14 Katherine Wysocki '15
Boston University Boston University Cameron Fraser '14 Hannah Callahan '16
Terriers Michael Saldi '15 Phoebe Gittelson '14
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Tom Peabody '14 Elise Engquist '15
Polar Bears Erin Mullins '16 Olivia Diserio '16
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Andrew Mchenry '13 Kyle Robbins '13
Mariners Evan Olson '16 Seth Poplawski '16
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Michael Reney '13 Leah Saunders '16
Buccaneers 1 Daniel Barry '15 Camille Aiello '15
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Andrew Morgan '15 [1-5]
Francis Dougherty '15 [6-10]		 Ryan Davis '16 [1-5, 10]
Buccaneers 2 Robert Queisser '16 Alexander Hunt '16
Northeastern University Northeastern University Scott Goodrich '16 Laura Tschiegg '17
Huskies Jesse Thomas '17 Zach Shapiro '15
Providence College Providence College Mike Bloomstine '13 Aimee Kelleher '13
Friars Chris Aitken '15 Alexandra Zweig '13
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Ian Hollerbach '14 Abigail Cook '15
Hawks A. Tucker Atterbury '16 Adrienne White '13
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Genevieve Marquardt '15 Adrienne Adorno '13
Seahawks John Silvestri '16 Mary Clawson '15
Tufts University Tufts University Kate Levinson '15 [1-5]
James Moody '16 [6-10]		 Madeline Luce '13 [1-5]
Caroline Atwood '16 [6-10]
Jumbos Casey Gowrie '16 [1-5]
Rolfe Glover '16 [6-10]		 Emily Lynn '15 [1-5]
Kate Wasynczuk '16 [6-10]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Michael Rottier '15 [1-6]
Shannan Smith '15 [7-10]		 Fiona O'Donnell '16 [1-6]
Kelsey Smith '13 [7-10]
Huskies James Fales '13 [1-6]
Andrew Silhavy '14 [7-10]		 Lateef Arnold '14 [1-6]
Alexandra Arendt '15 [7-10]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Charles Nunn '16 Chris Dawson '16
Rams Samuel Cushing '15 George Saggal '13
University of Vermont University of Vermont Adam Ceely '15 Gregory Drapcho '16
Catamounts Henry O'Brien '15 John Ring '16

Conditions — 10/13/2012 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1030.4 hPa

Temperature

47°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 39°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.6 kn
avg  ·  max 11.1 kn
Gusts to 19.4 kn
From WNW (292°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover16% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1030.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 9 kn · SW 17 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Mass Maritime: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.21 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mass Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at Mass Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →