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Fall Pacific Coast Championship

# SchoolTeam A B C TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 17 14 35 66
2 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 32 17 18 67
3 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gaucho Women 28 65 27 120
4 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 51 23 53 127
5 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 46 59 49 154
6 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 53 MRP 57 MRP 57 MRP 167 MRP
7 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 55 70 50 175
8 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 61 61 72 194
9 University of Southern California University of Southern California Women of Troy 63 66 73 202
10 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 83 94 31 208
11 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 80 70 LOP 63 213 LOP
12 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 61 43 175 279
13 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 108 100 83 291
14 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 94 114 100 308
15 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 117 127 88 332
16 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 112 MRP 127 MRP 123 MRP 362 MRP
17 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 139 125 103 367
18 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 85 131 175 391
19 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 168 MRP 96 MRP 129 MRP 393 MRP
20 San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 130 151 131 412
21 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 144 MRP 135 MRP 141 MRP 420 MRP
22 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 146 MRP 154 MRP 151 MRP 451 MRP
23 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 159 157 156 472
24 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 195 MRP 195 MRP 195 MRP 585 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 1 2 1 4 1 4 4 17 Will La Dow '18
Taylor Kirkpatrick '20
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gaucho Women 8 1 7 6 2 3 1 28 Simone Staff '18
Olivia Beers '21
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 14 6 2 1 5 2 2 32 Sterling Henken '18
Elizabeth Moody '20
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 4 3 6 9 13 8 3 46 Ben Brough '19
Grace Carrick '18
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 13 15 3 2 6 7 5 51 Michael Pacholski '19
Kelly Sojka '19
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 5 5 8 3 3 1 8 53 MRP Peter Wong '18
Lorea Mendiguren '20
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 11 9 9 8 7 5 6 55 Alex Demmler '19
Chad Farrell '20
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 6 7 5 13 8 13 9 61 Nicholas Lenz Lenz '19
Marianne Simpson '19
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 9 4 10 7 11 6 14 61 Maria El-Khazindar '19
Meg Gerli '19
University of Southern California University of Southern California Women of Troy 2 16 4 5 15 14 7 63 Grace Yakutis '20
Melissa Schem '18
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 15 8 19 10 4 9 15 80 Nathaniel Gordon '20
Cora Knauss '18
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 10 12 11 11 18 11 10 83 Nicolai Sponholtz '19
Alexandre Mutricy '17
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 12 10 15 12 12 12 12 85 Brian Maclean '18
Christian Parizea '18
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 3 13 16 21 9 10 22 94 Georg Lauritsen '20
Gabrielle Savage '18
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 19 17 12 18 14 15 13 108 Marijke Jorna '21
Sandy Rost '21
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 7 14 18 14 10 18 11 112 MRP Ciara Dorsay '21
Olivia Macdonald '19
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 16 11 14 22 16 20 18 117 Julian Weiswasser '19
Kiara Broudy '18
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 18 19 20 19 20 17 17 130 Thomas Rall '19 [1-7]
Caroline Logue '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Emilia Cloutman '20 [3-4, 7]
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 21 18 22 17 21 21 19 139 Colin Bishop '20
Hunter Arcese '19
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 17 20 17 15 23 16 16 144 MRP Jayden Potter '21
Brianna Pinto '20
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 20 21 13 16 17 19 20 146 MRP Peter Schmidt '18
Kylee Walterman '17
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 23 23 23 23 22 22 23 159 Kenneth Migliardi '18
Laura Jones '19
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 22 22 21 20 19 23 21 168 MRP Natalie Hopper '18
Robyn Gillum '18
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 195 MRP No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 2 14 William Marshall '19
Cassie Obel '19
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 1 3 7 3 1 1 17 Christopher Weis '18
Samantha Obel '21
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 3 4 4 1 4 2 5 23 Patrick Wilkinson '20
Danielle Ahir '20
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 10 7 8 4 1 7 6 43 Stephanie Houck '21
Olivia Gugliemini '19
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 9 8 2 5 6 4 3 57 MRP Paul Chyz '18
Clifford Lester '19
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 11 10 6 3 13 5 11 59 Liam Hood '20
Alyson Crowley '20
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 6 6 5 9 12 10 13 61 Laura Roudebush '18
Maddy Kuhn '20
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gaucho Women 4 14 16 6 9 9 7 65 Julia Downey '20
Marina Fennell '17
University of Southern California University of Southern California Women of Troy 7 9 10 14 11 11 4 66 Sarah Alexander '19
Mackenzie Freeman '18
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 5 3 7 12 5 8 10 70 LOP Erik Skeel '20
Audrey Jacobs '18
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 13 5 15 15 7 6 9 70 Julia Jaynes '19
Kaela Riha '19
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 15 16 13 11 19 12 8 94 Vincent Todosiev '19
Megan Grosspietsch '20
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 12 11 9 10 8 14 12 96 MRP Erika Barth '16
Chieko Imai '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 19 12 12 13 10 15 19 100 Max Van Dam '20
Emily Tan '20
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 21 18 14 8 18 20 15 114 Aidan Chiu '21
Jane Velghe '19
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 17 17 18 21 16 19 17 125 Maria Isberg '20
Hayley Woods '21
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 14 19 11 17 17 13 16 127 MRP Josefina Ruggieri '21
Katey Hayes '20
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 20 15 19 20 15 18 20 127 James Melvin '19
Dylan Yong '21
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 18 20 17 16 21 17 22 131 Drake Baldwin '20 [1-7]
Brian Newcomer '19 [1-2, 6-7]
Madeline Bachus '19 [3-4]
Hali Dickson '19 [5]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 8 13 23 22 14 21 14 135 MRP James Letchinger '20
Anthony El-Sokkary '20
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 22 21 22 19 22 22 23 151 Megan Mcglothlin '21 [1-7]
Garrett Sobol '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Gabriel Marra '21 [3-4, 7]
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 16 DNF 21 18 20 16 18 154 MRP Alicia Ward '18
Caila Devlin '21
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 23 22 20 23 23 DNS 21 157 Andrew Clements '17 [1-7]
Benjamin Valenzuela '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Robert Nelson '19 [3-4, 7]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 195 MRP No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 5 2 1 2 4 3 1 18 Neil Stapleton '18 [1-7]
Robert Johnson '19 [1-6]
Claire Hunt '19 [7]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gaucho Women 4 4 10 1 1 1 6 27 Madeline Kraus '20 [1-6]
Kerri Luttrell '21 [7]
Kerri Luttrell '21 [1-6]
Madeline Kraus '20 [7]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 2 6 3 5 6 5 4 31 Drake Hayes '21
Paris Sato '21
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 3 8 6 6 8 2 2 35 Russell Clarida '19
Madeline Bubb '20
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 8 5 4 7 2 14 9 49 Joseph Lausten '18
Belle Lemoine '19
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 6 7 2 14 5 4 12 50 Timothy Zimmermann '19
Michael Carmack '19
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 3 8 8 13 17 3 53 Jeremy Hitchcock '17 [1-6]
Cuylar Zimmerman '19 [7]
Sophie Deming '20 [1-6]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 9 1 9 4 3 6 5 57 MRP Mason Comerford '20
Will Paulsen '19
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 7 15 5 9 7 10 10 63 Austin Hauter '21
Johanna Mannisto '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 17 12 12 3 12 9 7 72 Abraham Dearden '20
Zoe Hessler '18
University of Southern California University of Southern California Women of Troy 10 13 13 10 11 8 8 73 Lauren Lopez '20
Sabrina Moreno '19
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 12 14 18 11 10 7 11 83 Carter Erickson '18
Yumi-Shika Shridhar '20
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 11 11 14 12 9 18 13 88 Alexis Miller '20
Graham Lasser '19
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 15 9 19 18 14 11 14 100 Ryan Wood '21
Felix Bolongaro '21
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 14 16 16 15 15 12 15 103 Steven Dieleman '20
Julien Roberts '21
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 16 10 11 17 16 13 20 123 MRP Sarah Paulsen '20
Ekaterina Goncharova '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 13 17 15 13 20 15 16 129 MRP Casey Bowers-Loeffler '19
Christopher Steefel '18
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 20 21 17 20 19 16 18 131 Gillian Dean '19 [1-7]
Collin M '19 [1-2, 5-7]
Adam Wild '18 [3-4]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 18 18 7 16 18 19 DNS 141 MRP Jodie Jacobs '20
Jenna Rutledge '19
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 19 19 20 19 17 20 17 151 MRP Matthew Elliott Elliott '19 [1-7]
Maxwell Seale Jr. '18 [1-4]
Nayeli Alonso '18 [5-7]
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 21 20 21 DNF DNS DNS 19 156 Kevin Gates '27
Jowelle Long '18
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 175 No Show
No Show
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 175 No Show
No Show
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 195 MRP No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.190+0.19
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 123232323232323
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 2231231231231231231231
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds8888888
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers1111111
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang3333333
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins9999999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers7777777
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows35353535353535
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters11111111111111
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs15151515151515
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans37373737373737
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Women of Troy38383838383838
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 121212121212121
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 222222222222222
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies47474747474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters25252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins27272727272727
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons29292929292929
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gaucho Women32323232323232
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos31313131313131
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's33333333333333
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes86868686868686
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies81818181818181
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings2222222

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 123232323232323
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 2231231231231231231231
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds8888888
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers1111111
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang3333333
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins9999999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers7777777
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows35353535353535
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters11111111111111
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs15151515151515
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans37373737373737
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Women of Troy38383838383838
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 121212121212121
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 222222222222222
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies47474747474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters25252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins27272727272727
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons29292929292929
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gaucho Women32323232323232
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos31313131313131
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's33333333333333
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes86868686868686
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies81818181818181
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings2222222

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C5C6C7C
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 123232323232323
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 2231231231231231231231
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds8888888
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers1111111
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang3333333
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins9999999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers7777777
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows35353535353535
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters11111111111111
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs15151515151515
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans37373737373737
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Women of Troy38383838383838
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 121212121212121
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 222222222222222
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies47474747474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters25252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins27272727272727
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons29292929292929
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gaucho Women32323232323232
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos31313131313131
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's33333333333333
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes86868686868686
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies81818181818181
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings2222222
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Ben Brough '19 Grace Carrick '18
Mustang Liam Hood '20 Alyson Crowley '20
Joseph Lausten '18 Belle Lemoine '19
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy No Show No Show
Keelhaulers No Show No Show
No Show No Show
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Kenneth Migliardi '18 Laura Jones '19
Dolphins Andrew Clements '17 [1-7] Benjamin Valenzuela '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Robert Nelson '19 [3-4, 7]
Kevin Gates '27 Jowelle Long '18
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Alex Demmler '19 Chad Farrell '20
49ers Julia Jaynes '19 Kaela Riha '19
Timothy Zimmermann '19 Michael Carmack '19
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Peter Schmidt '18 Kylee Walterman '17
Otters Alicia Ward '18 Caila Devlin '21
Matthew Elliott Elliott '19 [1-7] Maxwell Seale Jr. '18 [1-4]
Nayeli Alonso '18 [5-7]
San Diego State University San Diego State University Thomas Rall '19 [1-7] Caroline Logue '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Emilia Cloutman '20 [3-4, 7]
Aztecs Megan Mcglothlin '21 [1-7] Garrett Sobol '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Gabriel Marra '21 [3-4, 7]
Gillian Dean '19 [1-7] Collin M '19 [1-2, 5-7]
Adam Wild '18 [3-4]
Stanford University Stanford University Will La Dow '18 Taylor Kirkpatrick '20
Cardinal 1 William Marshall '19 Cassie Obel '19
Russell Clarida '19 Madeline Bubb '20
Stanford University Stanford University Maria El-Khazindar '19 Meg Gerli '19
Cardinal 2 Stephanie Houck '21 Olivia Gugliemini '19
No Show No Show
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Georg Lauritsen '20 Gabrielle Savage '18
UBC Thunderbirds Aidan Chiu '21 Jane Velghe '19
Ryan Wood '21 Felix Bolongaro '21
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Nicolai Sponholtz '19 Alexandre Mutricy '17
Bears 1 Vincent Todosiev '19 Megan Grosspietsch '20
Drake Hayes '21 Paris Sato '21
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Ciara Dorsay '21 Olivia Macdonald '19
Bears 2 Josefina Ruggieri '21 Katey Hayes '20
Sarah Paulsen '20 Ekaterina Goncharova '18
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Jayden Potter '21 Brianna Pinto '20
Aggies James Letchinger '20 Anthony El-Sokkary '20
Jodie Jacobs '20 Jenna Rutledge '19
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Brian Maclean '18 Christian Parizea '18
Anteaters Drake Baldwin '20 [1-7] Brian Newcomer '19 [1-2, 6-7]
Madeline Bachus '19 [3-4]
Hali Dickson '19 [5]
No Show No Show
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Nicholas Lenz Lenz '19 Marianne Simpson '19
Bruins Laura Roudebush '18 Maddy Kuhn '20
Abraham Dearden '20 Zoe Hessler '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Natalie Hopper '18 Robyn Gillum '18
Tritons Erika Barth '16 Chieko Imai '20
Casey Bowers-Loeffler '19 Christopher Steefel '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Simone Staff '18 Olivia Beers '21
Gaucho Women Julia Downey '20 Marina Fennell '17
Madeline Kraus '20 [1-6]
Kerri Luttrell '21 [7]		 Kerri Luttrell '21 [1-6]
Madeline Kraus '20 [7]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Sterling Henken '18 Elizabeth Moody '20
Gauchos Christopher Weis '18 Samantha Obel '21
Neil Stapleton '18 [1-7] Robert Johnson '19 [1-6]
Claire Hunt '19 [7]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Julian Weiswasser '19 Kiara Broudy '18
Banana Slug's James Melvin '19 Dylan Yong '21
Alexis Miller '20 Graham Lasser '19
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Michael Pacholski '19 Kelly Sojka '19
Rainbows Patrick Wilkinson '20 Danielle Ahir '20
Jeremy Hitchcock '17 [1-6]
Cuylar Zimmerman '19 [7]		 Sophie Deming '20 [1-6]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Peter Wong '18 Lorea Mendiguren '20
Trojans Paul Chyz '18 Clifford Lester '19
Mason Comerford '20 Will Paulsen '19
University of Southern California University of Southern California Grace Yakutis '20 Melissa Schem '18
Women of Troy Sarah Alexander '19 Mackenzie Freeman '18
Lauren Lopez '20 Sabrina Moreno '19
University of Victoria University of Victoria Colin Bishop '20 Hunter Arcese '19
Vikes Maria Isberg '20 Hayley Woods '21
Steven Dieleman '20 Julien Roberts '21
University of Washington University of Washington Nathaniel Gordon '20 Cora Knauss '18
Huskies Erik Skeel '20 Audrey Jacobs '18
Austin Hauter '21 Johanna Mannisto '18
Western Washington University Western Washington University Marijke Jorna '21 Sandy Rost '21
Vikings Max Van Dam '20 Emily Tan '20
Carter Erickson '18 Yumi-Shika Shridhar '20

Conditions — 11/11/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1016.1 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.7 kn
avg  ·  max 4.8 kn
Gusts to 18.1 kn
From SW (228°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover30% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1016.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn · S 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at UC Santa Barbara: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.08 ± 0.06)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UC Santa Barbara by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at UC Santa Barbara).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →