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Truxtun Umsted Coed Showcase Qualifier A

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 80 103 183
2 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 85 114 199
3 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 120 91 211
4 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 117 115 232
5 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 164 89 253
6 Brown University Brown University Bears 142 119 261
7 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 173 101 274
8 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 151 142 293
9 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 112 195 307
10 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 164 156 320
11 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 158 183 341
12 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 193 169 362
13 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 230 151 381
14 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 214 282 496
15 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 237 268 505
16 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 217 288 505
17 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 272 233 505
18 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 250 279 529
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 14 4 3 6 1 2 1 4 1 5 2 4 5 7 1 8 5 7 80 Jc Hermus '22
Sally Johnson '22
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 2 2 3 6 7 8 6 9 6 4 3 1 3 5 2 12 4 85 Sean Segerblom '20
Annabelle Ayer '22
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 1 3 8 2 7 6 6 1 2 4 3 11 3 8 9 16 11 11 112 Joseph Laforgia '21 [1-18]
Shaanti Choi-Bose '24 [1-16]
Dana Hackett '20 [17-18]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 8 1 6 1 8 1 9 8 18 3 5 1 8 6 6 11 3 14 117 Shawn Harvey '22
Graceann Nicolosi '20
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 4 7 15 15 2 5 7 5 4 11 8 7 9 4 4 3 9 1 120 Steven Leuck '20 [1-18]
Noelle Owen '23 [1-10]
Katherine Lounsbury '20 [11-18]
Brown University Brown University Bears 5 6 7 4 13 12 3 7 5 10 1 10 7 9 3 15 17 8 142 Ragna Agerup '20 [1-4, 11-12]
Connor Nelson '24 [5-10, 13-18]
Madeleine Mcgrath '22 [1-4, 11-12]
Julia Reynolds '22 [5-10, 13-18]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 12 11 16 14 5 3 2 11 3 1 14 12 2 11 10 7 14 3 151 Christian Filter '20
Julia Adams '21
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 10 5 4 11 4 4 12 9 8 12 6 13 18 2 11 10 2 17 158 Eduardo Mintzias '21
Edward Harrison '22
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 3 16 18 8 11 9 5 3 16 14 12 6 4 12 12 4 1 10 164 Gabby Rizika '20 [1-18]
Gabbi Delbello '23 [1-10]
Ethan Andersen '20 [11-18]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 7 9 1 12 3 16 4 18 12 8 9 9 15 1 7 5 13 15 164 Ivan Shestopalov '21 [1-16]
Stephen Duncan '20 [17-18]
Julia Cho '20 [1-16]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 11 13 5 13 17 10 11 2 6 2 10 2 11 DSQ 8 13 15 5 173 Carter Pemberton '20 [1-6]
Cj Mckenna '22 [7-18]
Cecilia Moreira '20 [1-6]
Katherine (Katie) Rodger '20 [7-18]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 13 17 9 17 9 15 10 15 11 17 7 15 12 5 2 1 6 12 193 Spencer Cartwright '22
Rachel Holick '22
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 9 8 17 9 12 13 17 14 13 15 16 14 6 17 18 6 8 2 214 Jensen Mctighe '21
Alexander Resio '23
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 16 10 12 18 15 14 14 17 7 7 13 5 14 14 14 14 4 9 217 August Sturm '20
Anna Wisotzkey '20
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 15 14 11 16 14 8 15 13 10 9 17 8 16 10 13 18 10 13 230 Luke Ingalls '21 [1-18]
Kevin Stamp '22 [1-10]
Edward Gary '22 [11-18]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 6 12 13 5 10 11 18 16 17 13 15 17 17 15 15 12 7 18 237 Alexander Bowen '20
Sydney Clays '21
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 18 18 10 10 16 18 13 12 14 18 11 18 10 16 17 9 16 6 250 Filip Stevanovic '20
Maja Petronijevic '21
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 17 15 14 7 18 17 16 10 15 16 18 16 13 13 16 17 18 16 272 Christian Koules '21 [1-18]
Lexie Foos '22 [1-10]
Erika Desonie '23 [11-18]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 9 3 4 5 4 6 5 6 9 1 5 1 10 5 3 6 2 5 89 Emily Haig '21
Marcus Abate '20
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 7 1 11 3 7 2 8 5 4 3 2 3 4 13 1 4 11 2 91 Jack Brown '21 [1-18]
Katherine Lounsbury '20 [1-10]
Hunter Skinner '20 [11-14]
Noelle Owen '23 [15-18]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 1 5 2 10 10 1 4 8 11 8 1 14 7 3 4 2 4 6 101 Thomas Whittemore '22
Paige Dunlevy '20
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 8 6 6 6 1 14 3 10 7 11 6 8 11 1 2 1 1 1 103 Parker Loftus '20
Kimmie Leonard '22
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 7 10 1 2 4 1 11 6 9 9 4 8 6 8 5 10 11 114 William Logue '20 [1-18]
Grace Flanagan '23 [1-10, 13-18]
Jack Hogan '22 [11-12]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 13 10 8 4 3 5 7 1 3 5 3 5 3 7 11 9 6 12 115 Louisa Nordstrom '20 [1-18]
Claudia Loiacono '21 [1-10, 13-16]
Kathryn Clulo '21 [11-12, 17-18]
Brown University Brown University Bears 11 2 3 2 13 10 2 3 5 10 7 2 1 18 6 10 7 7 119 Hannah Steadman '20
Annabelle Hutchinson '21
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 4 8 15 8 11 3 6 4 1 6 4 17 13 15 7 3 13 4 142 Matt Safford '20
Marie Bergsund '20
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 5 4 1 9 16 16 10 16 13 7 11 7 5 8 5 7 3 8 151 Parker Colantuono '22 [1-18]
Sophie Jackson '20 [1-10]
Kevin Stamp '22 [11-18]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 10 11 12 12 17 9 14 2 2 2 10 10 9 4 13 11 5 3 156 Brooke Shachoy '22 [1-18]
Ana Schonander '20 [1-10, 13-18]
Peter Jordan '23 [11-12]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 3 12 7 13 9 8 11 9 8 4 15 12 2 11 15 8 12 10 169 Grant Gridley '22
Emily Gildea '21
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 6 9 9 7 8 7 15 7 15 13 8 6 12 14 12 13 9 13 183 Clayton Snyder '22 [1-18]
Annika Ekholm '20 [1-10]
Lauren Miller '23 [11-18]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 12 15 5 14 6 11 9 13 10 16 12 9 6 10 10 12 16 9 195 Ava Esquier '20 [1-4]
Lenox Butcher '20 [5-18]
Dana Hackett '20 [1-4]
Emelia Bartusiak '21 [5-16]
Samuel Gavula '24 [17-18]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 14 13 13 15 12 13 16 17 12 12 14 13 14 9 9 14 8 15 233 Ethan Hanley '23
John Monahan '20
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 16 16 16 11 5 17 12 15 14 18 18 16 15 17 16 16 14 16 268 Christos Karplus '21
Teagan Duffy '22
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 17 18 18 17 15 18 17 12 17 17 17 11 18 2 17 15 15 18 279 Can Dilikoglu '23
Dario Abou Rjeili '20
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 18 14 17 18 14 15 18 14 18 15 13 15 17 12 14 18 18 14 282 George Hambleton '21
Elliot Ocheltree '24
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 15 17 14 16 18 12 13 18 16 14 16 18 16 16 18 17 17 17 288 Connor Goulet '21 [1-16]
Isabel Dziuba '23 [17]
Jake Orhan '21 [18]
Isabel Dziuba '23 [1-4, 15-16, 18]
Jake Orhan '21 [5-14, 17]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A17A18A
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears112233445566778899
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears22111818171716161515141413131212
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars3344556677889910101111
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels4433221118181717161615151414
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red55667788991010111112121313
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams665544332211181817171616
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas778899101011111212131314141515
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates88776655443322111818
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers10109988776655443322
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines131314141515161617171818112233
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers9910101111121213131414151516161717
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen121211111010998877665544
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1414131312121111101099887766
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams15151616171718181122334455
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1111121213131414151516161717181811
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls16161515141413131212111110109988
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers1717181811223344556677
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181817171616151514141313121211111010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B17B18B
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears112233445566778899
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears22111818171716161515141413131212
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars3344556677889910101111
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels4433221118181717161615151414
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red55667788991010111112121313
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams665544332211181817171616
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas778899101011111212131314141515
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates88776655443322111818
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers10109988776655443322
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines131314141515161617171818112233
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers9910101111121213131414151516161717
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen121211111010998877665544
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1414131312121111101099887766
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams15151616171718181122334455
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1111121213131414151516161717181811
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls16161515141413131212111110109988
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers1717181811223344556677
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181817171616151514141313121211111010
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Christian Filter '20 Julia Adams '21
Polar Bears Matt Safford '20 Marie Bergsund '20
Brown University Brown University Ragna Agerup '20 [1-4, 11-12]
Connor Nelson '24 [5-10, 13-18]		 Madeleine Mcgrath '22 [1-4, 11-12]
Julia Reynolds '22 [5-10, 13-18]
Bears Hannah Steadman '20 Annabelle Hutchinson '21
College of Charleston College of Charleston Steven Leuck '20 [1-18] Noelle Owen '23 [1-10]
Katherine Lounsbury '20 [11-18]
Cougars Jack Brown '21 [1-18] Katherine Lounsbury '20 [1-10]
Hunter Skinner '20 [11-14]
Noelle Owen '23 [15-18]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Carter Pemberton '20 [1-6]
Cj Mckenna '22 [7-18]		 Cecilia Moreira '20 [1-6]
Katherine (Katie) Rodger '20 [7-18]
Camels Thomas Whittemore '22 Paige Dunlevy '20
Cornell University Cornell University Gabby Rizika '20 [1-18] Gabbi Delbello '23 [1-10]
Ethan Andersen '20 [11-18]
Big Red Brooke Shachoy '22 [1-18] Ana Schonander '20 [1-10, 13-18]
Peter Jordan '23 [11-12]
Fordham University Fordham University Eduardo Mintzias '21 Edward Harrison '22
Rams Clayton Snyder '22 [1-18] Annika Ekholm '20 [1-10]
Lauren Miller '23 [11-18]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Sean Segerblom '20 Annabelle Ayer '22
Hoyas William Logue '20 [1-18] Grace Flanagan '23 [1-10, 13-18]
Jack Hogan '22 [11-12]
Hampton University Hampton University Filip Stevanovic '20 Maja Petronijevic '21
Pirates Can Dilikoglu '23 Dario Abou Rjeili '20
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Ivan Shestopalov '21 [1-16]
Stephen Duncan '20 [17-18]		 Julia Cho '20 [1-16]
Engineers Emily Haig '21 Marcus Abate '20
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Alexander Bowen '20 Sydney Clays '21
Buccaneers Christos Karplus '21 Teagan Duffy '22
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Spencer Cartwright '22 Rachel Holick '22
Hawks Grant Gridley '22 Emily Gildea '21
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Jc Hermus '22 Sally Johnson '22
Midshipmen Parker Loftus '20 Kimmie Leonard '22
University of Michigan University of Michigan August Sturm '20 Anna Wisotzkey '20
Wolverines Connor Goulet '21 [1-16]
Isabel Dziuba '23 [17]
Jake Orhan '21 [18]		 Isabel Dziuba '23 [1-4, 15-16, 18]
Jake Orhan '21 [5-14, 17]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Joseph Laforgia '21 [1-18] Shaanti Choi-Bose '24 [1-16]
Dana Hackett '20 [17-18]
Quakers Ava Esquier '20 [1-4]
Lenox Butcher '20 [5-18]		 Dana Hackett '20 [1-4]
Emelia Bartusiak '21 [5-16]
Samuel Gavula '24 [17-18]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Luke Ingalls '21 [1-18] Kevin Stamp '22 [1-10]
Edward Gary '22 [11-18]
Rams Parker Colantuono '22 [1-18] Sophie Jackson '20 [1-10]
Kevin Stamp '22 [11-18]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Christian Koules '21 [1-18] Lexie Foos '22 [1-10]
Erika Desonie '23 [11-18]
Bulls Ethan Hanley '23 John Monahan '20
Webb Institute Webb Institute Jensen Mctighe '21 Alexander Resio '23
Clippers George Hambleton '21 Elliot Ocheltree '24
Yale University Yale University Shawn Harvey '22 Graceann Nicolosi '20
Bulldogs Louisa Nordstrom '20 [1-18] Claudia Loiacono '21 [1-10, 13-16]
Kathryn Clulo '21 [11-12, 17-18]

Conditions — 10/05/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1028.8 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.8 kn
avg  ·  max 8.0 kn
Gusts to 19.4 kn
From E (96°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover82% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1028.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn · SW 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Navy: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.19 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.17
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Navy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (114 labelled days at Navy).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →