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Owen, Mosbacher&Knapp Trophies

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 36 42 78
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 55 48 103
3 Brown University Brown University Bears 58 55 113
4 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 72 51 123
5 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 76 86 162
6 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 83 82 165
7 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 98 76 174
8 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 90 85 175
9 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 88 109 197
10 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 108 100 208
11 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 136 96 232
12 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 86 147 233
13 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 124 137 261
14 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 156 156 312
15 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 176 172 348
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 1 3 2 1 12 5 3 1 1 1 5 1 36 Joseph Morris '12
Isabel Elliman '12
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 1 8 6 1 8 8 3 5 6 1 4 55 William Hutchings '13
Reeves Bright '12
Brown University Brown University Bears 6 8 3 4 10 1 1 2 8 2 10 3 58 Judge Ryan '14 [1-12]
Logan Shanney '13 [1-2, 5-12]
Brandon Kaufmann '12 [3-4]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 4 4 8 6 6 6 4 2 5 11 14 72 Timothy Scanlon '12
Phoebe Palmer '14
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 10 5 1 3 3 7 2 8 13 7 7 10 76 Bradley Milliken '14 [1-12]
Matthew Stroebel '12 [1-4]
Amanda Hamlet '12 [5-12]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 3 9 11 11 8 4 5 7 3 9 8 5 83 Gram Slattery '15
Isabel Ruane '14
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 9 11 6 2 11 2 14 6 6 11 2 6 86 Andrew Bates '15
Alison Griffith '15
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 12 14 7 10 4 10 12 5 4 4 4 2 88 Timothy Clark '13 [1-8]
Ig Schottlaender '14 [9-12]
Michael Sweeney '15 [1-8]
Benjamin Meyers '15 [9-12]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 8 7 12 5 5 3 7 10 7 8 9 9 90 Mackenzie Spencer '12
Adriana Kopp '12
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 7 6 10 7 9 14 10 9 9 3 6 8 98 Mary Hall '15 [1-12]
Marissa Lihan '14 [1-4]
Elizabeth Morrison '14 [5-12]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 5 2 5 9 14 13 11 13 11 10 3 12 108 Jack Swikart '15
Kelsi Schoenrock '12
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 14 12 9 12 2 12 4 11 14 15 12 7 124 John Croll '12
Nicolas Leeper '14
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 13 10 13 13 7 11 9 14 10 12 13 11 136 Michael Rivlin '13 [1-8]
Lauren Turner '13 [9-12]
Erin Ahlers '13 [1-8]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 11 13 14 14 13 9 13 12 12 13 DSQ DSQ 156 Samantha Gebb '14
Greta Hayes '14
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 14 14 13 176 Jack Pinnell '15
Margaret Jones '14
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 3 2 3 3 1 3 2 1 1 2 5 DSQ 42 Marlena Fauer '14
Eugenia Custo Greig '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 6 9 4 1 5 2 9 4 3 3 1 1 48 Willem Sandberg '14
Hannah Duggan '15
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 10 8 2 4 3 4 1 2 2 5 7 3 51 Christopher Price '14
Catherine O'Sullivan '14
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 1 1 2 4 1 12 6 9 8 8 2 55 Lucas Adams '15
Helen Lord '14
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 9 5 6 9 6 5 6 8 11 1 4 6 76 George Prieto '13 [1-12]
Elizabeth Morrison '14 [1-4]
Sarah Blake '15 [5-12]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 8 13 7 7 2 9 3 5 15 4 2 7 82 Michael Drumm '15 [1-12]
Luke O'Connor '14 [1-2]
Emma Smith '15 [3-12]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 3 9 6 7 8 7 11 7 10 6 9 85 Michael Booker '15
Sara Anibal '14
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 4 7 5 11 11 6 5 3 14 6 9 5 86 Dylan Finneran '15
Kristen Holloway '12
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 7 6 8 8 8 10 10 9 5 11 10 4 96 Jennifer Borshoff '15 [1-12]
Gregory Reppucci '15 [1-8]
Della Bradt '13 [9-12]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 5 12 10 5 9 12 4 12 6 12 3 10 100 Michael Russom '13
Christina Johns '13
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 11 4 11 10 10 7 8 7 13 9 11 8 109 Brendan Heussler '12
Stephanie Kapinos '13
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 13 11 14 12 12 RAF 11 10 8 7 12 11 137 Conor Cashel '14
Catherine Duggan '15
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 12 10 12 13 13 11 14 14 10 13 13 12 147 Noel Ingalls '15 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Padraig Loughlin '15 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Timothy Broskus '15 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Shawn Wehking '15 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 15 14 13 14 15 14 13 13 4 14 14 13 156 Andrew Grasso '15 [1-2, 7-8]
Adrija Navarro '15 [3-4, 11-12]
Lindsay Eysenbach '15 [5-6, 9-10]
Margaret Meyer '14 [1-4, 11-12]
Andrew Grasso '15 [5-6]
Adrija Navarro '15 [7-10]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 14 15 15 15 14 13 15 15 12 15 15 14 172 Corbin Anderson '13
Austen Wilcox '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2011 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Army11335577991111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears2244668810101212
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears446688101012121414
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions557799111113131515
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels3355779911111313
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red668810101212141411
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green779911111313151522
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson881010121214141133
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners991111131315152244
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen101012121414113355
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1212141411335577
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers111113131515224466
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1313151522446688
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts14141133557799
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1515224466881010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Army2244668810101212
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears3355779911111313
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears557799111113131515
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions668810101212141411
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels446688101012121414
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red779911111313151522
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green881010121214141133
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson991111131315152244
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners101012121414113355
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen111113131515224466
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1313151522446688
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers1212141411335577
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos14141133557799
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1515224466881010
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs11335577991111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Brown University Brown University Judge Ryan '14 [1-12] Logan Shanney '13 [1-2, 5-12]
Brandon Kaufmann '12 [3-4]
Bears Lucas Adams '15 Helen Lord '14
Columbia University Columbia University John Croll '12 Nicolas Leeper '14
Lions Conor Cashel '14 Catherine Duggan '15
Connecticut College Connecticut College Timothy Clark '13 [1-8]
Ig Schottlaender '14 [9-12]		 Michael Sweeney '15 [1-8]
Benjamin Meyers '15 [9-12]
Camels Brendan Heussler '12 Stephanie Kapinos '13
Cornell University Cornell University Michael Rivlin '13 [1-8]
Lauren Turner '13 [9-12]		 Erin Ahlers '13 [1-8]
Big Red Jennifer Borshoff '15 [1-12] Gregory Reppucci '15 [1-8]
Della Bradt '13 [9-12]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Timothy Scanlon '12 Phoebe Palmer '14
Big Green Christopher Price '14 Catherine O'Sullivan '14
Harvard University Harvard University Gram Slattery '15 Isabel Ruane '14
Crimson Michael Drumm '15 [1-12] Luke O'Connor '14 [1-2]
Emma Smith '15 [3-12]
Princeton University Princeton University Samantha Gebb '14 Greta Hayes '14
Tigers Andrew Grasso '15 [1-2, 7-8]
Adrija Navarro '15 [3-4, 11-12]
Lindsay Eysenbach '15 [5-6, 9-10]		 Margaret Meyer '14 [1-4, 11-12]
Andrew Grasso '15 [5-6]
Adrija Navarro '15 [7-10]
Tufts University Tufts University William Hutchings '13 Reeves Bright '12
Jumbos Willem Sandberg '14 Hannah Duggan '15
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bradley Milliken '14 [1-12] Matthew Stroebel '12 [1-4]
Amanda Hamlet '12 [5-12]
Bears Dylan Finneran '15 Kristen Holloway '12
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Andrew Bates '15 Alison Griffith '15
Mariners Noel Ingalls '15 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Padraig Loughlin '15 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Timothy Broskus '15 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Shawn Wehking '15 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Jack Pinnell '15 Margaret Jones '14
Army Corbin Anderson '13 Austen Wilcox '13
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Mary Hall '15 [1-12] Marissa Lihan '14 [1-4]
Elizabeth Morrison '14 [5-12]
Midshipmen George Prieto '13 [1-12] Elizabeth Morrison '14 [1-4]
Sarah Blake '15 [5-12]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Jack Swikart '15 Kelsi Schoenrock '12
Quakers Michael Russom '13 Christina Johns '13
University of Vermont University of Vermont Mackenzie Spencer '12 Adriana Kopp '12
Catamounts Michael Booker '15 Sara Anibal '14
Yale University Yale University Joseph Morris '12 Isabel Elliman '12
Bulldogs Marlena Fauer '14 Eugenia Custo Greig '14

Conditions — 03/24/2012 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1019.0 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 46°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.6 kn
avg  ·  max 6.5 kn
Gusts to 17.5 kn
From ESE (122°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover94% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1019.0 hPa Rain0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 10 kn · NE 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Yale: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.06 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.02 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 10% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Yale by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (69 labelled days at Yale).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →