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Captain Hurst Bowl

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 80 88 168
2 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 123 62 185
3 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 102 85 187
4 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 93 118 211
5 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 105 120 225
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 101 141 242
7 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 156 89 245
8 Boston University Boston University Terriers 147 109 256
9 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 115 160 275
10 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 170 112 282
11 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 107 190 297
12 Boston College Boston College Eagles 161 139 300
13 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 127 178 305
14 Brown University Brown University Bears 176 153 329
15 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 151 180 331
16 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 144 209 353
17 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 214 161 375
18 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 216 204 420
19 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 247 184 431
20 Providence College Providence College Friars 208 248 456
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 3 4 1 3 3 5 4 9 3 17 3 4 19 2 80 Alan Palmer '11 [1-14]
Ryan Byrne '13 [1-8]
Quincy Bock '11 [9-14]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 7 6 2 OCS 11 5 4 16 3 2 5 3 6 93 Sam Williams '12 [1-14]
Bernie Roesler '12 [1-8]
Matthew Habig '13 [9-14]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 8 4 5 8 12 3 3 4 15 6 17 1 11 101 William Haeger '14
Sally Levinson '11
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 11 11 3 1 9 1 11 1 15 6 4 3 16 10 102 Cam Cullman '13
Elizabeth Brim '11
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 14 9 12 11 4 16 2 7 1 2 7 10 2 8 105 Samuel Ingham '11
Amanda Hamlet '12
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 6 1 16 4 2 9 1 2 18 9 14 8 13 4 107 Coleman Bowen '11 [1-14]
Max Taylor '11 [1-8, 11-14]
Lillian Pillsbury '14 [9-10]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 2 9 18 19 13 10 5 10 5 9 1 10 3 115 Samuel Stokes '12
Alicija Bulota '14
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 16 6 5 8 5 4 9 19 8 1 5 15 6 16 123 Nick Dugdale '12
Anna Mcconnell '14
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 7 18 7 13 18 3 7 12 17 12 1 2 5 5 127 Sam Padnos '11
Holly Huffine '11
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 13 14 17 12 1 15 19 10 2 4 10 7 8 12 144 Jason Carminati '12
Sara Burke '11
Boston University Boston University Terriers 9 5 2 DSQ 17 7 6 8 5 8 13 16 11 19 147 Ben Greenfield '11 [1-14]
Fiona Gordon '12 [1, 3-14]
Matt Johnson '12 [2]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 17 15 8 9 11 2 17 11 9 7 11 13 12 9 151 Peter Pellegrini '12 [1-14]
Sarah Muzyka '12 [1-8, 11-12]
Karafaye Buffa '12 [9-10, 13-14]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 8 10 20 7 6 8 12 15 12 10 12 18 4 14 156 Matthew Carmody '11 [1-4, 9-12]
Ryan Hughes '13 [5-8, 13-14]
Kelly Shea '11 [1-4, 9-12]
Caroline Hall '12 [5-8, 13-14]
Boston College Boston College Eagles 15 20 10 6 15 6 14 6 7 11 18 19 7 7 161 Alex Cook '13 [1-14]
Alexander Gestal '11 [1-8]
Molly Clarke '13 [9-14]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 5 3 14 19 13 17 15 17 11 20 15 11 9 1 170 Michael Marshall '11 [1-6, 11-14]
Wells Bacon '11 [7-10]
Iraz Korezlioglu '11 [1-6]
Michael Marshall '11 [7-8]
Marina Gluckman '12 [9-14]
Brown University Brown University Bears 12 12 15 10 16 10 16 16 6 13 8 14 15 13 176 Nikolas Osvalds '11
Sarah Ebert '12
Providence College Providence College Friars 20 13 18 15 10 18 13 14 14 14 20 6 18 15 208 Ian Sutherland '12
Pamela Decatur '11
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 10 16 13 14 14 20 20 18 13 16 17 12 14 17 214 Tucker Blagden '11
Kathleen Keaveney '11
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 19 19 11 16 12 14 8 20 19 18 16 9 17 18 216 D.J. Hatch '11
Clare-Elizabeth Henry '12
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 18 17 19 17 7 19 18 13 20 19 19 20 20 DNS 247 Robert Savoie '14
Emily Mitchell '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 7 4 2 4 3 3 7 6 3 12 1 2 7 62 Mateo Vargas '14
Rebecca King '13
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 3 3 2 3 13 7 9 8 14 4 6 7 4 2 85 Christopher Segerblom '14
Amanda Salvesen '14
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 12 15 6 7 5 4 2 3 13 2 2 2 11 4 88 John Stokes '11 [1-14]
Luke O'Connor '14 [1-8, 13-14]
Meghan Wareham '11 [9-12]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 2 12 1 2 8 10 2 16 8 3 10 1 12 89 James Simmons '13 [1-14]
Jeremy Henry '11 [1-8, 11-14]
Lindsey Leclair '11 [9-10]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 4 5 8 10 11 9 1 1 3 10 17 13 3 14 109 Daniel Perkins '11 [1-14]
Matt Johnson '12 [1-8]
Elizabeth Santovasi '11 [9-10, 12-13]
Jamie Lansdowne '13 [11, 14]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 6 4 1 11 1 1 4 18 17 16 1 6 RAF 5 112 Kevin Martland '14 [1-14]
Kevin Lau-Hansen '11 [1-8, 11-14]
Katherine Andril '13 [9-10]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 5 1 15 5 17 10 8 14 1 7 14 3 5 13 118 Edward Glackin '11 [1-14]
John Renehan '13 [1-8]
Carissa Crawford '14 [9-13]
Matthew Wefer '14 [14]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 15 11 5 8 7 5 13 10 7 6 7 9 8 9 120 Jonathan Duffett '11
Tanya Cuprak '11
Boston College Boston College Eagles 8 9 13 9 8 16 17 6 10 13 11 4 9 6 139 William Bowman '14
Patrick Hession '13
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 7 6 3 6 6 18 15 12 20 14 RDG 16 7 1 141 David Liebenberg '14
Barbara Murray '14
Brown University Brown University Bears 10 8 18 4 3 13 11 9 8 18 13 18 10 10 153 Tyler Rice '14 [1-14]
Louisa Chafee '14 [1, 9-13]
Brandon Kaufmann '12 [2-8, 14]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 11 20 14 15 10 6 14 5 5 1 16 11 16 16 160 Cameron Hall '13
Sarah Scudder '13
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 13 12 10 19 16 2 7 15 11 9 10 15 14 8 161 Haley Powell '13
Adrienne White '13
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 14 14 16 14 14 19 18 16 9 5 8 8 12 11 178 Ike Babbitt '11
Morgan Gould '14
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 16 18 11 12 12 15 12 13 2 19 RDG 5 15 17 180 Eric Decesar '11 [1-4, 9-10]
Robert Lippincott '14 [5-8, 11-14]
Hope Dingeman '14 [1-4, 9-10]
Austin Schwarz '13 [5-8, 11-14]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 9 10 9 13 15 12 6 17 15 20 4 12 DNS DNS 184 Hidde Van Der Molen '14
Caeli Mcgaunn '12
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 17 13 19 18 9 11 16 19 12 17 9 RAF 6 3 190 Quentin Chafee '11 [1-14]
John Duncan '13 [1-8]
Paige Baeder '12 [9-12]
Max Taylor '11 [13-14]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 20 17 20 17 20 17 5 11 4 11 15 19 13 15 204 Peter Edmunds '14
Kimberly Dempsey '14
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 18 16 7 16 19 20 20 4 19 15 5 14 18 18 209 James Allsopp '11
Jennifer Goss '11
Providence College Providence College Friars 19 19 17 20 18 14 19 20 18 12 19 17 17 19 248 Kevin Cassidy '11
Joanne Bothwell '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles113355779911111313
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers22202018181616141412121010
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears33557799111113131515
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears442220201818161614141212
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars5577991111131315151717
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears6644222020181816161414
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels779911111313151517171919
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green88664422202018181616
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons991111131315151717191911
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson10108866442220201818
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen111113131515171719191133
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen12121010886644222020
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars1313151517171919113355
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams14141212101088664422
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks15151717191911335577
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1616141412121010886644
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal171719191133557799
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos181816161414121210108866
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts191911335577991111
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs20201818161614141212101088

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles22446688101012121414
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers111919171715151313111199
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears4466881010121214141616
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears331119191717151513131111
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars668810101212141416161818
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears5533111919171715151313
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels88101012121414161618182020
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green77553311191917171515
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons10101212141416161818202022
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson997755331119191717
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen121214141616181820202244
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen111199775533111919
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars1414161618182020224466
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams131311119977553311
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks16161818202022446688
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks15151313111199775533
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal18182020224466881010
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1717151513131111997755
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts20202244668810101212
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs191917171515131311119977
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Alex Cook '13 [1-14] Alexander Gestal '11 [1-8]
Molly Clarke '13 [9-14]
Eagles William Bowman '14 Patrick Hession '13
Boston University Boston University Ben Greenfield '11 [1-14] Fiona Gordon '12 [1, 3-14]
Matt Johnson '12 [2]
Terriers Daniel Perkins '11 [1-14] Matt Johnson '12 [1-8]
Elizabeth Santovasi '11 [9-10, 12-13]
Jamie Lansdowne '13 [11, 14]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College D.J. Hatch '11 Clare-Elizabeth Henry '12
Polar Bears Peter Edmunds '14 Kimberly Dempsey '14
Brown University Brown University Nikolas Osvalds '11 Sarah Ebert '12
Bears Tyler Rice '14 [1-14] Louisa Chafee '14 [1, 9-13]
Brandon Kaufmann '12 [2-8, 14]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Samuel Stokes '12 Alicija Bulota '14
Cougars Cameron Hall '13 Sarah Scudder '13
Connecticut College Connecticut College Michael Marshall '11 [1-6, 11-14]
Wells Bacon '11 [7-10]		 Iraz Korezlioglu '11 [1-6]
Michael Marshall '11 [7-8]
Marina Gluckman '12 [9-14]
Camels Kevin Martland '14 [1-14] Kevin Lau-Hansen '11 [1-8, 11-14]
Katherine Andril '13 [9-10]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Sam Williams '12 [1-14] Bernie Roesler '12 [1-8]
Matthew Habig '13 [9-14]
Big Green Edward Glackin '11 [1-14] John Renehan '13 [1-8]
Carissa Crawford '14 [9-13]
Matthew Wefer '14 [14]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Robert Savoie '14 Emily Mitchell '13
Tritons Hidde Van Der Molen '14 Caeli Mcgaunn '12
Harvard University Harvard University Alan Palmer '11 [1-14] Ryan Byrne '13 [1-8]
Quincy Bock '11 [9-14]
Crimson John Stokes '11 [1-14] Luke O'Connor '14 [1-8, 13-14]
Meghan Wareham '11 [9-12]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Sam Padnos '11 Holly Huffine '11
Statesmen Ike Babbitt '11 Morgan Gould '14
Providence College Providence College Ian Sutherland '12 Pamela Decatur '11
Friars Kevin Cassidy '11 Joanne Bothwell '13
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Tucker Blagden '11 Kathleen Keaveney '11
Hawks Haley Powell '13 Adrienne White '13
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Peter Pellegrini '12 [1-14] Sarah Muzyka '12 [1-8, 11-12]
Karafaye Buffa '12 [9-10, 13-14]
Seahawks Eric Decesar '11 [1-4, 9-10]
Robert Lippincott '14 [5-8, 11-14]		 Hope Dingeman '14 [1-4, 9-10]
Austin Schwarz '13 [5-8, 11-14]
Stanford University Stanford University Nick Dugdale '12 Anna Mcconnell '14
Cardinal Mateo Vargas '14 Rebecca King '13
Tufts University Tufts University William Haeger '14 Sally Levinson '11
Jumbos David Liebenberg '14 Barbara Murray '14
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Samuel Ingham '11 Amanda Hamlet '12
Bears Jonathan Duffett '11 Tanya Cuprak '11
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Jason Carminati '12 Sara Burke '11
Midshipmen James Allsopp '11 Jennifer Goss '11
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Matthew Carmody '11 [1-4, 9-12]
Ryan Hughes '13 [5-8, 13-14]		 Kelly Shea '11 [1-4, 9-12]
Caroline Hall '12 [5-8, 13-14]
Rams James Simmons '13 [1-14] Jeremy Henry '11 [1-8, 11-14]
Lindsey Leclair '11 [9-10]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Coleman Bowen '11 [1-14] Max Taylor '11 [1-8, 11-14]
Lillian Pillsbury '14 [9-10]
Catamounts Quentin Chafee '11 [1-14] John Duncan '13 [1-8]
Paige Baeder '12 [9-12]
Max Taylor '11 [13-14]
Yale University Yale University Cam Cullman '13 Elizabeth Brim '11
Bulldogs Christopher Segerblom '14 Amanda Salvesen '14

Conditions — 10/16/2010 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1001.5 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 43°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
14.6 kn
avg  ·  max 17.8 kn
Gusts to 36.7 kn
From NW (319°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover56% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1001.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 17 kn · W 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Dartmouth: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.13 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.11 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Dartmouth by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (34 labelled days at Dartmouth).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →