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BU Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 27 34 61
2 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 54 37 91
3 Brown University Brown University Bears 57 44 101
4 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 46 71 117
5 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 78 44 122
6 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 75 53 128
7 Boston University Boston University Terriers 62 82 144
8 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 63 82 145
9 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 86 62 148
10 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 70 103 173
11 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 97 78 175
12 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 94 103 197
13 Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 101 119 220
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 3 2 1 1 2 4 2 1 1 10 27 Kyle Carney '13 [1-6]
Christopher Jensen '14 [7-10]
Angelina Todaro '16 [1-6]
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 2 4 4 2 8 10 6 2 6 2 46 John Mcglynn '13
Molly Haley '13
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 1 1 2 13 6 5 1 8 13 4 54 Colin Murphy '15
Hope Wilson '16
Brown University Brown University Bears 9 5 3 12 3 8 4 3 3 7 57 Emmett Weeks '14
Lucas Serra '13
Boston University Boston University Terriers 11 8 9 9 4 1 5 6 8 1 62 Elizabeth Glivinski '14
Joseph Benoit '16
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 7 3 6 3 5 3 8 4 12 12 63 Luke O'Connor '14
Rebecca Frankel '15
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 5 10 10 4 1 12 9 7 4 8 70 Patrick Penwell '16
Courtney Bombardier '16
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 12 9 11 7 7 6 7 11 2 3 75 Jesse Thomas '17
Laura Tschiegg '17
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 4 6 5 6 10 2 10 12 10 13 78 Sarah Fiske '13 [1-6]
Benjamin Mende '13 [7-10]
Elise Engquist '15 [1-6]
Emily Kushner Salitan '16 [7-10]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 6 12 7 10 9 7 11 9 9 6 86 Margaret Bacon '14 [1-6]
Cameron Barclift '14 [7-10]
Erin Bondy '15 [1-6]
Caitlin Durand '15 [7-10]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 13 7 12 8 12 9 12 5 7 9 94 Michael Rottier '15 [1-10]
Khalil Rahman '15 [1-6]
Peter Rodriguez '14 [7-10]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 8 11 13 11 11 11 3 13 5 11 97 Andrew Britton '16
Jade Schroeder '16
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 10 13 8 5 13 13 13 10 11 5 101 Jacob Hardy '13
Jose Serrano '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 5 2 2 7 4 1 3 6 3 34 Robert Lippincott '14
Nicole Ioannilli '13
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 5 7 1 7 3 3 2 6 1 2 37 Ian Storck '15
Emily Petno '16
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 2 4 4 4 1 3 7 4 13 44 Timothy Harding '15
Katherine Sudol '16
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 3 8 3 6 1 8 4 2 2 7 44 Courtney Koos '16 [1-4]
Christian Houston-Floyd '16 [5-10]
Isabel Low '13 [1-4]
Frances Jimenez '16 [5-10]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 9 9 7 3 2 5 6 1 7 4 53 Elise Gehling '17
Kristen Kuzil '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 1 DSQ 1 6 7 5 8 11 5 62 Kate Levinson '15 [1-4]
Kate Shaner '16 [5-10]
Emily Lynn '15 [1-4]
Claire Brodie '16 [5-10]
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 8 6 8 8 5 11 7 12 5 1 71 Brooke Baker '13
Lewis Fowler-Gerace '15
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 7 3 5 9 13 12 10 10 3 6 78 Nicholas Odegard '16
Daniel Winter '16
Boston University Boston University Terriers 6 11 9 5 8 9 12 5 8 9 82 Lindsey Kennett '15
Simon Bertocci '16
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 11 4 10 10 11 2 13 4 9 8 82 Matthew Clarida '16
Nicholas Gordon '13
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 10 10 6 11 12 10 8 13 13 10 103 Samuel Morley '14
Kaitlin Cornwall '16
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 12 12 11 12 9 6 9 11 10 11 103 Andrew Silhavy '14 [1-4]
Thomas Presti '13 [5-10]
Eleanor Leonard '13 [1-4]
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 13 13 12 DNF 10 13 11 9 12 12 119 Douwe Van Der Werf '15
Todd Kerkland '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (56 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers44668810101212
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears335577991111
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges224466881010
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears1133557799
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears55779911111313
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies11111313224466
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green66881010121211
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson77991111131322
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies88101012121133
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams121211335577
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks99111113132244
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos10101212113355
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals131322446688

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers55779911111313
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears44668810101212
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges335577991111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears224466881010
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears66881010121211
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies121211335577
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green77991111131322
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson88101012121133
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies99111113132244
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams131322446688
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks10101212113355
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos11111313224466
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals1133557799
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston University Boston University Elizabeth Glivinski '14 Joseph Benoit '16
Terriers Lindsey Kennett '15 Simon Bertocci '16
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Sarah Fiske '13 [1-6]
Benjamin Mende '13 [7-10]		 Elise Engquist '15 [1-6]
Emily Kushner Salitan '16 [7-10]
Polar Bears Courtney Koos '16 [1-4]
Christian Houston-Floyd '16 [5-10]		 Isabel Low '13 [1-4]
Frances Jimenez '16 [5-10]
Brandeis University Brandeis University Jacob Hardy '13 Jose Serrano '16
Judges Douwe Van Der Werf '15 Todd Kerkland '13
Brown University Brown University Emmett Weeks '14 Lucas Serra '13
Bears Timothy Harding '15 Katherine Sudol '16
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Colin Murphy '15 Hope Wilson '16
Big Green Ian Storck '15 Emily Petno '16
Harvard University Harvard University Luke O'Connor '14 Rebecca Frankel '15
Crimson Matthew Clarida '16 Nicholas Gordon '13
Northeastern University Northeastern University Jesse Thomas '17 Laura Tschiegg '17
Huskies Elise Gehling '17 Kristen Kuzil '16
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Kyle Carney '13 [1-6]
Christopher Jensen '14 [7-10]		 Angelina Todaro '16 [1-6]
Seahawks Robert Lippincott '14 Nicole Ioannilli '13
Tufts University Tufts University Margaret Bacon '14 [1-6]
Cameron Barclift '14 [7-10]		 Erin Bondy '15 [1-6]
Caitlin Durand '15 [7-10]
Jumbos Kate Levinson '15 [1-4]
Kate Shaner '16 [5-10]		 Emily Lynn '15 [1-4]
Claire Brodie '16 [5-10]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Andrew Britton '16 Jade Schroeder '16
Bears Nicholas Odegard '16 Daniel Winter '16
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Michael Rottier '15 [1-10] Khalil Rahman '15 [1-6]
Peter Rodriguez '14 [7-10]
Huskies Andrew Silhavy '14 [1-4]
Thomas Presti '13 [5-10]		 Eleanor Leonard '13 [1-4]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Patrick Penwell '16 Courtney Bombardier '16
Rams Samuel Morley '14 Kaitlin Cornwall '16
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University John Mcglynn '13 Molly Haley '13
Cardinals Brooke Baker '13 Lewis Fowler-Gerace '15

Conditions — 03/29/2013 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1016.4 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 45°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.9 kn
avg  ·  max 7.7 kn
Gusts to 16.5 kn
From WNW (292°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover45% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1016.4 hPa Rain0.06 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 7 kn · N 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Boston University: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.11 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Boston University by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (56 labelled days at Boston University).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →