George Washington University '22
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 7.57 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.111 rating points from 28 races with rated skippers. Few races, so the estimate stays near the middle.
How crew ratings work →No season rating yet: needs 8+ crewed races in a season.
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 3.06 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 209 | Fall 2021 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.74 (fleet 3.84) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.03 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 26–48 (35%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2022 | 5 | 21–40 | — |
| Spring 2021 | 2 | 3–7 | — |
| Spring 2020 | 1 | 2–1 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 8 graded regattas (74 matches) the record is 26–48 against 30.1 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−4.1). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 6 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-09 | Prosser Trophy MAISA Team Race Championship | skipper | 2.98 | 2.78 | 7–13 | 7.8 | −0.20 | 0.1 | 74% |
| 2022-04-02 | The 39th Lynne Marchiando Regatta | skipper | 3.04 | 2.03 | 3–10 | 5.1 | −1.01 | 1.5 | 96% |
| 2022-03-26 | Admiral Moore Team Race | skipper | 3.11 | 2.81 | 7–7 | 7.9 | −0.31 | 0.2 | 80% |
| 2022-03-19 | 2022 Graham Hall Team Race | skipper | 3.26 | 0.26 | 0–7 | 2.0 | ≤−3.00 | 3.5 | >99% |
| 2022-03-12 | St. Mary's Team Race InterConference | skipper | 3.26 | 3.58 | 4–3 | 3.5 | +0.33 | 0.1 | 52% |
| 2021-04-11 | Navy Quad Team Race | skipper | 2.84 | 3.58 | 1–4 | 0.6 | +0.74 | 0.2 | 47% |
| 2021-03-07 | St. Mary's TR Opener | skipper | 2.65 | 3.75 | 2–3 | 1.2 | +1.09 | 0.7 | 32% |
| 2020-03-07 | St. Mary's Team Race Inter-Conference | skipper | 2.72 | 2.75 | 2–1 | 2.0 | +0.03 | 0.0 | 74% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| St. Mary's Team Race InterConference | Skipper | TR | 8 | 38% | — |
| College Sailing Open Eastern Semifinal | Skipper | B | 6 | 10.7 | 3.16 |
| Prosser Trophy MAISA Team Race Championship | Skipper | TR | 19 | 32% | — |
| Navy Spring Regatta | Skipper | A | 14 | 6.8 | 4.24 |
| America Trophy - MAISA Open Dinghy Championships | Skipper | A | 6 | 5.3 | 4.73 |
| Admiral Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 16 | 50% | — |
| The 39th Lynne Marchiando Regatta | Skipper | TR | 15 | 20% | — |
| 2022 Graham Hall Team Race | Skipper | TR | 7 | 0% | — |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| War Memorial | Skipper | A | 8 | 6.5 | 4.11 |
| Top 9 MAISA Coed Regatta | Skipper | B | 14 | 10.8 | 1.76 |
| Nevins Trophy | Skipper | B | 17 | 6.4 | 4.10 |
| Laser South Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 9.4 | 2.63 |
| John Quinn | Skipper | A | 6 | 2.2 | 4.83 |
| Carl Van Duyne Trophy Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 12 | 11.8 | 2.45 |
| Atlantic Coast Championship Finals | Skipper | B | 1 | 5.0 | — |
| 2022 Rose Bowl Regatta | Skipper | B | 3 | 5.0 | 3.85 |
| Spring 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| St. Mary's Spring Opener | Skipper | A | 7 | 9.1 | 0.48 |
| Seahawk Colonial Showdown | Skipper | B | 4 | 4.8 | 1.98 |
| Navy Quad Team Race | Skipper | TR | 5 | 20% | — |
| Navy Quad Fleet Race | Skipper | B | 4 | 12.0 | 0.95 |
| Men's Open Singlehanded National Championship Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 17.4 | 3.44 |
| MAISA South Coed Conference Championships | Skipper | A | 1 | 9.0 | — |
| 2021 Gill College Sailing Coed Nationals | Skipper | B | 15 | 6.6 | 4.46 |
| St. Mary's TR Opener | Skipper | TR | 5 | 40% | — |
| Spring 2020 Team page Season | |||||
| St. Mary's Team Race Inter-Conference | Skipper | TR | 9 | 33% | — |
| Fall 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| War Memorial | Skipper | B | 13 | 6.8 | 3.58 |
| MAISA Laser Elimination Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 7.1 | 3.12 |
| Laser South Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 11.8 | 2.25 |
| Coed Showcase Qualifier B | Skipper | B | 2 | 13.5 | 2.43 |
| Carl Van Duyne MAISA Men's Singles Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 11.2 | 2.42 |
| Coed Showcase Tournament | Skipper | B | 14 | 7.9 | 3.07 |
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| MAISA Laser Elimination Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 13 | 3.1 | 3.73 |
| Laser South Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 12 | 8.5 | 3.01 |
| Central Late Fall | Skipper | B | 9 | 1.8 | 3.62 |
| Carl Van Duyne MAISA Men's Singles Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 13 | 8.5 | 2.72 |
| Spring 2011 Team page Season | |||||
| Greater New York Dinghy | Skipper | B | 4 | 12.5 | 0.82 |
| America Trophy | Crew | B | 6 | 13.2 | — |
| Spring 2010 Team page Season | |||||
| America Trophy | Crew | B | 4 | 15.0 | — |
| Fall 2009 Team page Season | |||||
| KP Dinghy Open | Crew | B | 14 | 11.6 | — |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Michael Ehnot |  Christian Brothers Academy |
'18 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
