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Riley Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 46 37 83
2 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 43 65 108
3 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 65 73 138
4 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 78 64 142
5 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 94 60 154
6 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Big Blue 81 86 167
7 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 89 81 170
8 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 69 108 177
9 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 90 101 191
10 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 100 93 193
11 George Washington University George Washington University Buff and Blue 105 103 208
12 University of Virginia University of Virginia Hoos 143 94 237
13 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 103 174 277
14 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 174 142 316
15 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains Blue 173 176 349
16 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 175 197 372
17 Salisbury University Salisbury University Seagulls 199 183 382
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 5 6 1 1 BKD 1 1 3 1 12 6 2 43 Aj Reiter '17
Rebecca Fung '19
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 2 3 2 2 6 9 2 1 2 7 4 6 46 Roger Dorr '18
Bettina Redway '16
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 6 1 8 10 3 8 12 2 10 3 1 1 65 Chase Quinn '17
Elizabeth Dennison '17
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 10 5 3 3 5 4 10 12 3 1 8 5 69 Christopher Craven '16 [1-12]
Callie Hern '18 [1-4, 7-12]
Waverlee Harvey '18 [5-6]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 9 12 4 12 1 3 6 5 11 6 2 7 78 Jeremy Herrin '18
Carter Little '18
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Big Blue 7 8 7 4 10 7 3 4 8 5 7 11 81 Lee Dumaliang '17
Dane Pedersen '19
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 16 13 5 5 7 2 9 11 4 11 3 3 89 Wade Wagner '19
Alexandra Delbello '19
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 10 6 11 4 13 4 6 9 8 10 8 90 Jimmy Madigan '18
Kathryn Wesdyk '19
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 8 4 9 8 8 5 8 10 6 10 9 9 94 Marissa Golison '16 [1-12]
Kaitlyn Noreen '16 [1-6, 9-10]
Grace Papp '20 [7-8, 11-12]
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 14 2 12 6 12 10 7 9 5 2 11 10 100 Luca Taglialegne '20
Elisabeth Kuester '19
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 4 7 10 7 2 11 5 7 12 9 14 15 103 Eric Siegel '16 [1-6]
Matthew Mcdermaid '17 [7-12]
Lindsey Arnstein '18 [1-10]
Eric Siegel '16 [11-12]
George Washington University George Washington University Buff and Blue 15 9 11 9 9 6 13 13 7 4 5 4 105 Colin Kennedy '17
Emma Mendenhall '19
University of Virginia University of Virginia Hoos 3 RAF 14 13 11 12 11 8 13 13 15 12 143 Rodman Brown '16 [1-12]
Dorothy Stump '18 [1-6]
Anna Louise Devanny '17 [7-12]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains Blue 11 11 15 14 16 15 15 15 15 15 13 DNF 173 Samara Leith '19 [1-12]
Kaitlin Welker '17 [1-10]
Matteo Murrelle '19 [11-12]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 13 16 16 16 14 14 16 16 14 14 12 13 174 Hannah Cantolino '18 [1-12]
Kaitlyn Reilly '18 [1-4, 11-12]
Hanna Halleck-Pinkleton '18 [5-10]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 12 14 13 17 13 16 14 14 16 16 16 14 175 Patrick Firth '17
Abraham Kruger '17
Salisbury University Salisbury University Seagulls 17 15 17 15 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 16 199 Rachel Weitman '16 [1-10]
Ian Harrison '16 [11-12]
Ian Harrison '16 [1-10]
Rachel Weitman '16 [11-12]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 1 4 3 6 11 1 4 3 1 1 1 1 37 Campbell D'Eliscu '19
Meaghan Macrae '18
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 3 1 8 7 2 2 9 5 12 6 2 3 60 Patrick Tara '17
Kira Allen '18
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 8 3 1 1 7 3 5 9 4 12 7 4 64 Gabriel Smith '17
Stephen Guglielmo '19
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 4 2 6 13 1 6 10 1 10 7 3 2 65 Andy Reiter '19
Haley Shea '19
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 11 6 7 5 5 5 3 2 9 3 12 5 73 Kyle Burgess '17
Grace Mcdougall '16
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 2 5 9 2 4 8 7 8 7 9 10 10 81 Riley Engelberger '18
Madison Oleson '17
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Big Blue 13 9 5 3 13 13 2 4 6 8 4 6 86 Brendon Wilkins '18 [1-6]
Jack Elkin '19 [7-12]
Molly Sternberg '17 [1-6]
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 7 7 2 4 14 14 11 7 5 4 6 12 93 Giuditta Di Laghi '16
Miles Braden '17
University of Virginia University of Virginia Hoos 6 11 13 8 12 4 1 6 11 2 13 7 94 Alexander Singh '19 [1-12]
Anna Louise Devanny '17 [1-6]
Julia Gowell '18 [7-12]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 10 12 4 9 8 7 6 13 8 5 8 11 101 Tyler Fleig '19
Michelle Katz '18
George Washington University George Washington University Buff and Blue 5 10 10 10 3 12 12 10 3 10 9 9 103 Jay Spector '16
Marie Line '19
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 9 8 11 12 6 11 8 11 2 11 5 14 108 Colin Suvak '19 [1-12]
Colleen Roney '18 [1-4, 7-8]
Waverlee Harvey '18 [5-6, 9-12]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 12 13 12 11 9 10 15 14 13 14 11 8 142 Anders Hudson '17
Nina Heatfield '17
Washington College Washington College Shoremen BKD 15 16 17 10 9 14 17 OCS 15 14 15 174 Paul Hart '19 [1-12]
Karlyn Long '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Griffin Rodrigue '18 [3-4, 7-12]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains Blue 15 14 14 14 15 17 16 16 14 13 15 13 176 Laura Kilgore '17 [1-12]
Matteo Murrelle '19 [1-8]
Benjamin Kempton '18 [9-12]
Salisbury University Salisbury University Seagulls 16 17 15 15 16 15 13 12 15 17 16 16 183 Simon Timmerman '16
Sarah Chase '16
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 17 16 17 16 17 16 17 15 16 16 17 17 197 Jordan Sisco '18
Thomas Griffiths '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (49 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains11335577991111
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains Blue2244668810101212
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Buff and Blue446688101012121414
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials3355779911111313
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 1557799111113131515
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 266881010121214141616
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates77991111131315151717
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen131315151717224466
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Big Blue99111113131515171722
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs88101012121414161611
Salisbury UniversitySalisbury University Seagulls10101212141416161133
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 111111313151517172244
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2121214141616113355
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Hoos1515171722446688
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos1414161611335577
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen16161133557799
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe1717224466881010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains2244668810101212
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains Blue3355779911111313
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Buff and Blue557799111113131515
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials446688101012121414
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 166881010121214141616
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 277991111131315151717
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates88101012121414161611
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1414161611335577
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Big Blue10101212141416161133
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs99111113131515171722
Salisbury UniversitySalisbury University Seagulls11111313151517172244
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1121214141616113355
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2131315151717224466
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Hoos16161133557799
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos1515171722446688
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1717224466881010
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe11335577991111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Hannah Cantolino '18 [1-12] Kaitlyn Reilly '18 [1-4, 11-12]
Hanna Halleck-Pinkleton '18 [5-10]
Captains Anders Hudson '17 Nina Heatfield '17
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Samara Leith '19 [1-12] Kaitlin Welker '17 [1-10]
Matteo Murrelle '19 [11-12]
Captains Blue Laura Kilgore '17 [1-12] Matteo Murrelle '19 [1-8]
Benjamin Kempton '18 [9-12]
George Washington University George Washington University Colin Kennedy '17 Emma Mendenhall '19
Buff and Blue Jay Spector '16 Marie Line '19
George Washington University George Washington University Wade Wagner '19 Alexandra Delbello '19
Colonials Riley Engelberger '18 Madison Oleson '17
Georgetown University Georgetown University Aj Reiter '17 Rebecca Fung '19
Hoyas 1 Andy Reiter '19 Haley Shea '19
Georgetown University Georgetown University Roger Dorr '18 Bettina Redway '16
Hoyas 2 Campbell D'Eliscu '19 Meaghan Macrae '18
Hampton University Hampton University Luca Taglialegne '20 Elisabeth Kuester '19
Pirates Giuditta Di Laghi '16 Miles Braden '17
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Lee Dumaliang '17 Dane Pedersen '19
Big Blue Brendon Wilkins '18 [1-6]
Jack Elkin '19 [7-12]		 Molly Sternberg '17 [1-6]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Jeremy Herrin '18 Carter Little '18
Monarchs Gabriel Smith '17 Stephen Guglielmo '19
Salisbury University Salisbury University Rachel Weitman '16 [1-10]
Ian Harrison '16 [11-12]		 Ian Harrison '16 [1-10]
Rachel Weitman '16 [11-12]
Seagulls Simon Timmerman '16 Sarah Chase '16
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Marissa Golison '16 [1-12] Kaitlyn Noreen '16 [1-6, 9-10]
Grace Papp '20 [7-8, 11-12]
Seahawks 1 Patrick Tara '17 Kira Allen '18
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Chase Quinn '17 Elizabeth Dennison '17
Seahawks 2 Kyle Burgess '17 Grace Mcdougall '16
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Jimmy Madigan '18 Kathryn Wesdyk '19
Midshipmen Tyler Fleig '19 Michelle Katz '18
University of Virginia University of Virginia Rodman Brown '16 [1-12] Dorothy Stump '18 [1-6]
Anna Louise Devanny '17 [7-12]
Hoos Alexander Singh '19 [1-12] Anna Louise Devanny '17 [1-6]
Julia Gowell '18 [7-12]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Christopher Craven '16 [1-12] Callie Hern '18 [1-4, 7-12]
Waverlee Harvey '18 [5-6]
Wahoos Colin Suvak '19 [1-12] Colleen Roney '18 [1-4, 7-8]
Waverlee Harvey '18 [5-6, 9-12]
Washington College Washington College Eric Siegel '16 [1-6]
Matthew Mcdermaid '17 [7-12]		 Lindsey Arnstein '18 [1-10]
Eric Siegel '16 [11-12]
Shoremen Paul Hart '19 [1-12] Karlyn Long '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Griffin Rodrigue '18 [3-4, 7-12]
William and Mary William and Mary Patrick Firth '17 Abraham Kruger '17
Tribe Jordan Sisco '18 Thomas Griffiths '18

Conditions — 09/12/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 79%  ·  Pressure 1006.5 hPa

Temperature

78°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 73°F
Feels like 82°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.7 kn
avg  ·  max 9.8 kn
Gusts to 23.5 kn
From SSW (201°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover85% Sunshine4.3 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1006.5 hPa Rain0.06 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 16 kn · NW 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Old Dominion: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.04 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Old Dominion by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (76 labelled days at Old Dominion).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →