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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 43 51 94
2 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 29 76 105
3 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 70 52 122
4 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 77 63 140
5 Brown University Brown University Bears 68 76 144
6 Boston University Boston University Terriers 106 68 174
7 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 111 67 178
8 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 115 69 184
9 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 112 79 191
10 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 103 88 191
11 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 97 134 231
12 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 143 105 248
13 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 116 161 277
14 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 145 142 287
15 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 126 163 289
16 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 135 180 315
17 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 142 MRP 193 MRP 335 MRP
18 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 221 153 374
19 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 187 203 390
20 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 207 MRP 227 MRP 434 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 2 1 6 6 2 4 2 1 1 3 29 Spencer Cartwright '22
Emily Gildea '21
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 4 1 3 2 2 1 8 3 4 11 4 43 Mack Fox '20
Christina Nothacker '21
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 11 9 4 4 6 3 7 10 4 8 68 Franco Bilik '18
Megha Malpani '19
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 5 10 6 1 5 12 1 9 3 16 2 70 Dylan Farrell '18
Lena Episalla '19
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 3 7 13 8 8 3 7 1 12 8 7 77 Sean Beaulieu '18
Jennifer Ryan '19
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 7 15 4 18 13 4 16 10 7 2 1 97 James Amaral '19
Autumn Becker '20
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 13 3 7 9 14 10 5 13 9 10 10 103 Emilia Clementi '18 [1-11]
Katherine (Katie) Rodger '20 [1-6]
Erin Smith '19 [7-11]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 6 8 2 3 11 8 11 15 17 12 13 106 Alex Moreno '19 [1-6]
Allison Cahn '20 [7-11]
Olivia Cronin-Golomb '20 [1-6]
Lily Lichtenstein '18 [7-11]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts OCS 4 18 13 7 5 2 8 2 15 16 111 Vincent Yannelli '19
Isabella Arnaboldi '21
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 8 6 5 12 15 7 13 17 16 7 6 112 Christopher Pearson '20 [1-6]
Ryan Walker '19 [7-11]
Ally Kramer '21 [1-6]
Caroline Rocchio '20 [7-11]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 16 19 16 10 1 15 9 5 6 3 15 115 Aaron Klein '18 [1-6]
John Duncan '19 [7-11]
Marley Hillman '21 [1-6]
Kelsey Foster '20 [7-11]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 17 9 10 11 3 11 18 4 5 17 11 116 Victoria Pajak '21 [1-6]
Sofia Kirkman '20 [7-11]
Liz Silva '21 [1-6]
Julia Boll '21 [7-11]
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 12 14 12 5 17 19 14 12 11 5 5 126 Thomas Pluchino '18
Caoilinn Boyle '20
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 10 5 17 15 9 13 12 18 14 13 9 135 Alexander Baskin '19 [1-11]
Rebecca Freeman '18 [1-6]
Erich Wu '19 [7-11]
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 9 18 8 14 10 16 10 6 8 9 14 142 MRP Julien Brunet '20
Antoine Pacarar '18
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 14 12 15 19 16 14 6 11 18 6 12 143 Christos Karplus '21
Thomas Dunn '21
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 11 13 11 7 12 9 19 14 13 19 17 145 Brian Baker '18 [1-4]
Allison Deluca '21 [5-6, 11]
Caroline King '21 [7-10]
Allison Gilson '21 [1-6]
Alexa Percell '20 [7-10]
Emma Sexton '20 [11]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 15 17 14 16 18 17 15 19 19 18 19 187 Danielle Elson '19
Jessica Imbro '18
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 18 16 19 17 19 18 17 16 15 14 18 207 MRP Lillian Vincens '19
Ryan Carlucci '18
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals DSQ 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 221 Jon Brudnick '19 [1-11]
Caroline King '18 [1-6]
Mae Davis '21 [7-11]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 4 8 6 1 3 9 3 3 11 2 51 Richie Gordon '21 [1-11]
Madeline Kaller '21 [1-4]
Brian Nelson '21 [5-11]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 7 6 6 2 6 7 3 4 2 2 7 52 Jonas Nelle '22
Divya Arya '19
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 11 2 3 5 2 11 13 7 4 4 1 63 Jennifer Killian '19
Madeline Lark '20
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 4 1 4 9 4 5 12 5 8 9 6 67 Nate Peck '20
Emma Janson '19
Boston University Boston University Terriers 14 8 9 4 7 2 1 2 5 5 11 68 Raymond Groble Iv '21 [1-4]
Carina Becker '21 [5-11]
Katherine Bertolini '21 [1-4]
Erica Brown '21 [5-11]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 6 11 1 1 3 12 2 8 12 10 3 69 Julien Guiot '18 [1-4]
Tyler Paige '18 [5-11]
Matthew Keller '21 [1-4]
Nicholas Giacobbe '19 [5-11]
Brown University Brown University Bears 3 9 2 3 5 4 4 15 7 7 17 76 Zachary Jordan '21 [1-11]
Annabelle Hutchinson '21 [1-4]
Elizabeth Rolfes '21 [5-11]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 13 10 12 10 8 1 10 6 1 1 4 76 Leif Bergstrom '21
Rachel Holick '22
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 10 5 5 8 9 10 5 1 10 6 10 79 Rebecca Read '21 [1-4]
Ryan Geib '19 [5-11]
Sage Walters '21 [1-4]
Maguire Bennett '21 [5-11]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 7 10 12 11 6 7 13 9 3 8 88 Julia Leighton '20 [1-6]
Haley Kachmar '18 [7-11]
Molly Weiner '21 [1-6]
Katherine (Katie) Rodger '20 [7-11]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 9 12 7 7 15 13 8 11 6 12 5 105 Alexander Bowen '20
Sergio Gratta '18
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 8 3 14 15 14 15 16 9 13 15 12 134 Nathan Borovick '21
Madysen Delosh '19
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 5 13 17 13 19 16 6 17 14 8 14 142 Lucie Ford '20 [1-4]
Joey Lark '21 [5-11]
Alexa Percell '20 [1-4]
Mary Persico '21 [5-6]
Mary Grace Bean '18 [7-11]
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 17 20 11 16 17 8 11 10 11 16 16 153 Nathaniel Barton '18
Courtney Robinson '18
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 12 19 13 19 13 9 15 12 17 19 13 161 Carter Brock '22 [1-4]
Erin Coyne '19 [5-11]
Anne Wieland '19 [1-4]
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 16 16 20 11 10 14 18 16 16 17 9 163 Brett Doty '20
Marina Merchant '18
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 19 14 15 20 16 17 17 14 20 13 15 180 Warren Galloway '21 [1-11]
Erich Wu '19 [1-6]
Rebecca Freeman '18 [7-11]
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 15 17 16 14 12 18 14 18 15 14 20 193 MRP Adele Desbrisay '19
Alexa Ripple '20
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 20 15 19 18 18 19 20 20 18 18 18 203 Laura Crowley '19 [1-11]
Tara Schwenzfeier '18 [1-4]
Alisia Gruendel '21 [5-11]
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 18 18 18 17 20 20 19 19 19 20 19 227 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (26 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers113355779911
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears22202018181616141412
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears15151717191911335
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1616141412121010886
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels33557799111113
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags442220201818161614
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson5577991111131315
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats6644222020181816
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers779911111313151517
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds88664422202018
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers99111113131515171719
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats171719191133557
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies10108866442220
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams181816161414121210108
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks111113131515171719191
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 1121210108866442
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 21313151517171919113
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos14141212101088664
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1919113355779
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals2020181816161414121210

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers22446688101012
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears11191917171515131311
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears16161818202022446
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies15151313111199775
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels4466881010121214
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags331119191717151513
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson668810101212141416
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats5533111919171715
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers88101012121414161618
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds77553311191917
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers1010121214141616181820
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats181820202244668
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies997755331119
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1717151513131111997
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks121214141616181820202
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 11111997755331
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 21414161618182020224
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos131311119977553
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts20202244668810
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals191917171515131311119
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston University Boston University Alex Moreno '19 [1-6]
Allison Cahn '20 [7-11]		 Olivia Cronin-Golomb '20 [1-6]
Lily Lichtenstein '18 [7-11]
Terriers Raymond Groble Iv '21 [1-4]
Carina Becker '21 [5-11]		 Katherine Bertolini '21 [1-4]
Erica Brown '21 [5-11]
Brown University Brown University Franco Bilik '18 Megha Malpani '19
Bears Zachary Jordan '21 [1-11] Annabelle Hutchinson '21 [1-4]
Elizabeth Rolfes '21 [5-11]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Emilia Clementi '18 [1-11] Katherine (Katie) Rodger '20 [1-6]
Erin Smith '19 [7-11]
Camels Julia Leighton '20 [1-6]
Haley Kachmar '18 [7-11]		 Molly Weiner '21 [1-6]
Katherine (Katie) Rodger '20 [7-11]
Fairfield University Fairfield University Lillian Vincens '19 Ryan Carlucci '18
Stags
Harvard University Harvard University Dylan Farrell '18 Lena Episalla '19
Crimson Jonas Nelle '22 Divya Arya '19
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Thomas Pluchino '18 Caoilinn Boyle '20
Wildcats Brett Doty '20 Marina Merchant '18
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Christos Karplus '21 Thomas Dunn '21
Buccaneers Alexander Bowen '20 Sergio Gratta '18
McGill University McGill University Julien Brunet '20 Antoine Pacarar '18
Redbirds Adele Desbrisay '19 Alexa Ripple '20
Middlebury College Middlebury College Alexander Baskin '19 [1-11] Rebecca Freeman '18 [1-6]
Erich Wu '19 [7-11]
Panthers Warren Galloway '21 [1-11] Erich Wu '19 [1-6]
Rebecca Freeman '18 [7-11]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Victoria Pajak '21 [1-6]
Sofia Kirkman '20 [7-11]		 Liz Silva '21 [1-6]
Julia Boll '21 [7-11]
Huskies Carter Brock '22 [1-4]
Erin Coyne '19 [5-11]		 Anne Wieland '19 [1-4]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Spencer Cartwright '22 Emily Gildea '21
Hawks Leif Bergstrom '21 Rachel Holick '22
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Sean Beaulieu '18 Jennifer Ryan '19
Seahawks 1 Jennifer Killian '19 Madeline Lark '20
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Brian Baker '18 [1-4]
Allison Deluca '21 [5-6, 11]
Caroline King '21 [7-10]		 Allison Gilson '21 [1-6]
Alexa Percell '20 [7-10]
Emma Sexton '20 [11]
Seahawks 2 Lucie Ford '20 [1-4]
Joey Lark '21 [5-11]		 Alexa Percell '20 [1-4]
Mary Persico '21 [5-6]
Mary Grace Bean '18 [7-11]
Tufts University Tufts University Aaron Klein '18 [1-6]
John Duncan '19 [7-11]		 Marley Hillman '21 [1-6]
Kelsey Foster '20 [7-11]
Jumbos Julien Guiot '18 [1-4]
Tyler Paige '18 [5-11]		 Matthew Keller '21 [1-4]
Nicholas Giacobbe '19 [5-11]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Mack Fox '20 Christina Nothacker '21
Bears Richie Gordon '21 [1-11] Madeline Kaller '21 [1-4]
Brian Nelson '21 [5-11]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Danielle Elson '19 Jessica Imbro '18
Huskies Laura Crowley '19 [1-11] Tara Schwenzfeier '18 [1-4]
Alisia Gruendel '21 [5-11]
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire James Amaral '19 Autumn Becker '20
Wildcats Nathan Borovick '21 Madysen Delosh '19
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Christopher Pearson '20 [1-6]
Ryan Walker '19 [7-11]		 Ally Kramer '21 [1-6]
Caroline Rocchio '20 [7-11]
Rams Rebecca Read '21 [1-4]
Ryan Geib '19 [5-11]		 Sage Walters '21 [1-4]
Maguire Bennett '21 [5-11]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Vincent Yannelli '19 Isabella Arnaboldi '21
Catamounts Nate Peck '20 Emma Janson '19
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Jon Brudnick '19 [1-11] Caroline King '18 [1-6]
Mae Davis '21 [7-11]
Cardinals Nathaniel Barton '18 Courtney Robinson '18

Conditions — 11/04/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1027.2 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 45°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.4 kn
avg  ·  max 10.2 kn
Gusts to 18.5 kn
From NE (38°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover89% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1027.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 8 kn · E 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Salve Regina: an underdogs’ day (−0.09)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.06 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.15 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Salve Regina by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (43 labelled days at Salve Regina).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →