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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 39 40 79
2 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 35 50 85
3 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 54 39 93
4 Brown University Brown University Bears 40 54 94
5 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 58 52 110
6 Boston University Boston University Terriers 81 30 111
7 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 71 MRP 79 MRP 150 MRP
8 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 85 71 156
9 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 82 80 162
10 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 71 102 173
11 Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 91 98 189
12 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 107 105 212
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 3 5 1 1 4 5 3 9 2 2 35 Megan Yeigh '16
Emma Janson '19
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 1 3 2 6 1 4 2 RAF 4 39 Frank Reeg '19 [1-10]
Sergio Gratta '18 [1-8, 10]
Matthew Schaefer '19 [9]
Brown University Brown University Bears 9 3 4 3 2 2 8 4 4 1 40 Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick '17
Haley Carter '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 7 2 5 4 3 OCS 6 1 6 6 54 Victoria Mcgruer '17
Laura Tschiegg '17
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 8 6 8 6 5 OCS 1 6 1 3 58 Shannon Killian '16
Kathryn Travers '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 4 2 5 1 4 7 3 10 DSQ 71 MRP Logan Russell '19
Claire Brodie '16
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 5 8 9 9 8 10 9 5 3 5 71 John Cappetta '16
Sarah Sigman '19
Boston University Boston University Terriers 11 7 7 11 7 3 2 DNF 5 DSQ 81 Samuel Campbell '17
Lily Lichtenstein '18
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 6 9 11 7 9 6 11 7 9 7 82 Haley Kachmar '18
Victoria Slater '19
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 10 11 6 8 10 8 5 10 7 10 85 Liam Ballantyne '19
Anna Maria Vaccaro '19
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 4 10 10 12 11 7 10 8 11 8 91 Brian Reilly '16
No Show
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 12 12 12 10 12 9 12 11 8 9 107 Lillian Vincens '19 [1-10]
Alex Vivenzio '14 [1-6]
Lauren Ten Hoopen '19 [7-10]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers 2 1 6 8 2 3 1 3 3 1 30 Robby Gearon '19
Andrew Reed '18
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 5 3 1 3 3 1 12 1 6 4 39 Kurran Singh '19
Katherine Alfond '19
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 8 2 3 4 1 2 4 5 9 2 40 Jeffrey Adam '18
Jacqualynn Devore '19
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 7 5 1 9 10 2 4 4 7 50 Benjamin Craig '17
Lilla Salvesen '18
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 4 8 2 5 6 7 3 6 8 3 52 Sean Beaulieu '18
Mary Grace Bean '18
Brown University Brown University Bears 6 4 10 2 7 5 8 2 5 5 54 Sophie Hibben '19
Maxine De Havenon '19
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 7 6 7 7 8 9 7 7 7 6 71 Matthew Orgill '16 [1-2, 5-8]
Daniel Winter '16 [3-4, 9-10]
Daniel Winter '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Thomas Kiesel '19 [3-4, 7-10]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 9 8 6 4 4 5 10 1 9 79 MRP Bobby Mclaughlin '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Emma Haley '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Emma Haley '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Bobby Mclaughlin '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 11 5 4 9 5 6 11 9 12 8 80 Rebecca Quirke '17 [1-10]
Hannah King '19 [1-6]
Olivia Liebnick '16 [7-10]
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 9 10 9 10 10 8 9 11 10 12 98 Rebecca Rutkiewicz '19
Renee Flores '18
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 10 11 12 11 12 11 6 8 11 10 102 Amy Macdonald '18
Madeline Bruno '17
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 12 12 11 12 11 12 10 12 2 11 105 Brian Beckert '19 [1-6]
Thomas Beardsley '19 [7-10]
Marina Lindland '18 [1-6]
Ryan Carlucci '18 [7-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.350+0.35
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats10101212141416161818
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11111313151517171919
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears12121414161618182020
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears20202222111113131515
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels13131515171719192121
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags14141616181820202222
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers15151717191921211010
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies16161818202022221111
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers17171919212110101212
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks18182020222211111313
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos19192121101012121414
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts22221111131315151717

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats11111313151517171919
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers12121414161618182020
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears13131515171719192121
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears21211010121214141616
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels14141616181820202222
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags15151717191921211010
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers16161818202022221111
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies17171919212110101212
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers18182020222211111313
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks19192121101012121414
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos20202222111113131515
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts10101212141416161818
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bates College Bates College John Cappetta '16 Sarah Sigman '19
Bobcats Amy Macdonald '18 Madeline Bruno '17
Boston University Boston University Samuel Campbell '17 Lily Lichtenstein '18
Terriers Robby Gearon '19 Andrew Reed '18
Brown University Brown University Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick '17 Haley Carter '17
Bears Sophie Hibben '19 Maxine De Havenon '19
Connecticut College Connecticut College Haley Kachmar '18 Victoria Slater '19
Camels Rebecca Quirke '17 [1-10] Hannah King '19 [1-6]
Olivia Liebnick '16 [7-10]
Fairfield University Fairfield University Lillian Vincens '19 [1-10] Alex Vivenzio '14 [1-6]
Lauren Ten Hoopen '19 [7-10]
Stags Brian Beckert '19 [1-6]
Thomas Beardsley '19 [7-10]		 Marina Lindland '18 [1-6]
Ryan Carlucci '18 [7-10]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Frank Reeg '19 [1-10] Sergio Gratta '18 [1-8, 10]
Matthew Schaefer '19 [9]
Buccaneers Jeffrey Adam '18 Jacqualynn Devore '19
Northeastern University Northeastern University Victoria Mcgruer '17 Laura Tschiegg '17
Huskies Kurran Singh '19 Katherine Alfond '19
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Brian Reilly '16 No Show
Pioneers Rebecca Rutkiewicz '19 Renee Flores '18
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Shannon Killian '16 Kathryn Travers '16
Seahawks Sean Beaulieu '18 Mary Grace Bean '18
Tufts University Tufts University Logan Russell '19 Claire Brodie '16
Jumbos Bobby Mclaughlin '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Emma Haley '19 [3-4, 7-8]		 Emma Haley '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Bobby Mclaughlin '17 [3-4, 7-8]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Liam Ballantyne '19 Anna Maria Vaccaro '19
Bears Matthew Orgill '16 [1-2, 5-8]
Daniel Winter '16 [3-4, 9-10]		 Daniel Winter '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Thomas Kiesel '19 [3-4, 7-10]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Megan Yeigh '16 Emma Janson '19
Catamounts Benjamin Craig '17 Lilla Salvesen '18

Conditions — 03/19/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 39%  ·  Pressure 1019.4 hPa

Temperature

41°F
↑ 45°F   ↓ 33°F
Feels like 33°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.0 kn
avg  ·  max 5.8 kn
Gusts to 14.8 kn
From NW (314°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover74% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity39% Pressure1019.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn · E 9 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Fairfield/Sacred Heart: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.04 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.05
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.34 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Fairfield/Sacred Heart by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Fairfield/Sacred Heart, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →