Navigate

Southern Series 7

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Brown University Brown University Bears 218
2 Boston University Boston University Terriers 230
3 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 233
4 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 254
5 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 265
6 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 288
7 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 390
8 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 406
9 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 452
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears A 4 2 4 2 14 2 2 11 4 2 8 3 3 10 1 1 73 Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick '17 [1-9]
Lindsey Baab '18 [10-16]
Courtney Bergh '16 [1-9]
Haley Carter '17 [10-16]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 2 4 12 8 6 10 1 17 2 12 5 1 8 1 2 2 93 Alexander Tong '17
Lara Dienemann '18
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 6 5 8 6 1 6 3 6 6 13 3 4 14 9 4 3 97 Robert Rose '20
Anne Wieland '19
Boston University Boston University Terriers B 1 6 6 11 12 1 13 1 9 9 2 7 2 11 3 5 99 Lydia Grasberger '18
Emily Croteau '19
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears A 5 8 9 10 9 5 7 7 10 1 4 2 6 6 9 6 104 August Sturm '19
Rebecca Edmonds '19
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 A 7 7 2 12 2 16 4 10 11 6 10 15 1 5 5 13 126 Sam Rush '19 [1-16]
Sarah Morin '18 [1-10]
John Gieseke '18 [11-16]
Boston University Boston University Terriers A 13 9 17 1 4 9 11 13 3 3 9 16 5 2 8 8 131 Robby Gearon '19
Andrew Reed '18
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 B 3 1 1 7 3 3 12 9 12 18 15 5 10 17 13 10 139 Matthew Gibbs '17 [1-10]
Karel Mailloux-Kuz '18 [11-16]
Ryan Geib '19 [1-10]
Ellis Havelock '18 [11-16]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 8 3 3 9 13 8 BKD 2 1 17 13 18 4 13 12 7 140 James Beatty '17 [1-9]
Julia Fuller '17 [10-16]
Julien Guiot '18 [1-9]
Sabina Van Mell '19 [10-16]
Brown University Brown University Bears B 18 13 5 5 7 4 15 3 5 16 7 8 11 3 14 11 145 Sophie Hibben '19 [1-9]
Meredith Morran '19 [10-16]
Maxine De Havenon '19 [1-9]
Grace Gagnon '18 [10-16]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears B 10 14 7 4 5 13 6 14 13 5 11 11 9 8 11 9 150 Madelynn Widmeier '19
Erin Morgan '18
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels B 17 11 18 14 17 14 14 4 18 14 1 13 17 4 7 4 187 Phillip Rosenthall '18 [1-8]
Rebecca Quirke '17 [9-16]
Victoria Slater '19 [1-8]
Olivia Liebnick '16 [9-16]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 16 10 11 17 10 7 5 15 7 10 16 12 16 12 15 12 191 Donal Ryan '19
Rachel Guard '19
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts B 11 16 14 15 8 11 8 16 16 4 12 17 7 16 6 16 193 Samantha Brown '19
Lilla Salvesen '18
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts A 9 17 13 16 RAF 15 9 5 17 8 14 6 12 7 16 14 197 Vincent Yannelli '19
Victoria Pyne Mercier '19
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 B 12 15 15 3 11 12 17 8 15 15 18 10 15 18 10 17 211 Garrett Connelly '19 [1-6]
William Connelly '18 [7-10]
Benton Croop '18 [11-16]
Ian Nannig '19 [1-10]
Samantha Hamilton '19 [11-16]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels A 14 12 10 13 16 17 16 12 8 11 17 9 13 15 18 18 219 Haley Kachmar '18
Hannah King '19
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 A 15 18 16 18 15 18 18 18 14 7 6 14 18 14 17 15 241 Ryan Walker '19 [1-16]
Samantha Hamilton '19 [1-10]
Emma Dwinell '19 [11-16]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (55 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers1111111112222222
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears2222222223333333
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears6666666667777777
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels3333333334444444
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies4444444445555555
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 17777777778888888
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 28888888889999999
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos5555555556666666
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts99999999910101010101010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers10101010101010101011111111111111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears11111111111111111112121212121212
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears15151515151515151516161616161616
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels12121212121212121213131313131313
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies13131313131313131314141414141414
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 116161616161616161617171717171717
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 217171717171717171718181818181818
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos14141414141414141415151515151515
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1818181818181818181111111

Conditions — 04/30/2016 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1023.5 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 47°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 8.2 kn
Gusts to 17.5 kn
From ESE (120°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover24% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1023.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 8 kn · SE 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Rhode Island: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.05 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.17 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rhode Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (47 labelled days at Rhode Island).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →