BU Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 60 32 92
2 Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 60 33 93
3 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 46 49 95
4 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 61 69 130
5 Boston University Boston University Terriers 2 72 71 143
6 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 72 75 147
7 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 65 89 154
8 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 76 MRP 80 MRP 156 MRP
9 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 79 98 177
10 Brown University Brown University Bears 98 94 192
11 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 98 96 194
12 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 119 MRP 152 MRP 271 MRP
13 The Landing School The Landing School Galloways 166 MRP 134 MRP 300 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 6 5 8 7 3 7 1 3 4 1 46 Richie Gordon '21
Madeline Kaller '21
Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 5 4 1 6 1 6 8 8 9 8 4 60 Alex Moreno '19
Lily Lichtenstein '18
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 7 7 3 7 6 2 2 10 6 7 3 60 Christine Klingler '20
Catherine Mollerus '21
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 8 1 8 11 9 5 4 2 10 1 2 61 Lindsay Doyle '18
Lilla Salvesen '18
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 11 9 6 2 2 4 6 3 11 3 8 65 Joseph Chamberlin '19 [1-6]
Ryan Hennessey '21 [7-11]
Isabelle Yen '21 [1-6]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 2 2 5 10 12 5 1 3 4 12 11 7 72 Casey Cabot '21
Shannon Macdonald '21
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 6 3 2 5 4 DSQ 10 12 1 10 5 72 Jonas Nelle '22
Gayatri Balasubramanian '21
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 3 8 9 3 8 8 1 6 2 2 6 76 MRP Patrick Isherwood '17
Maguire Bennett '21
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 10 2 4 9 11 10 9 5 5 5 9 79 John Duncan '19 [1-11]
Kelsey Foster '20 [1-6]
Marisa Permatteo '19 [7-11]
Brown University Brown University Bears 9 11 11 1 10 11 11 7 4 9 DNF 98 Rachel Foster '20
Lauren Haller '18
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 12 10 7 10 3 9 5 9 7 12 DNF 98 Jennifer Killian '19
Madeline Lark '20
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 4 13 12 4 12 7 12 11 8 6 10 119 MRP Dylan Whitcraft '19 [1-11]
Claire Deplanck '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Gillian Coyne '19 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
The Landing School The Landing School Galloways 13 12 13 13 13 12 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 166 MRP Keith Frederick '19
Ty Van Dalen '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 3 2 5 2 6 1 3 2 1 2 5 32 Nicholas Marwell '21
Caroline Colwell '18
Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 1 6 3 1 3 5 1 1 8 3 1 33 Kyle Dochoda '21
Emily Walker '19
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 4 4 7 4 2 2 10 4 1 9 49 Jesse Mcknight '21
Halee Lewis '21
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 10 5 1 10 1 3 10 4 6 13 6 69 Peter Schneider '20
Rowan Henke '21
Boston University Boston University Terriers 2 6 8 11 5 2 4 6 5 9 12 3 71 Skye Shepherd '20
Megan Blagden '20
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 11 3 2 6 7 10 13 3 7 5 8 75 Owen Schafer '21
Maria Tarazona Guzman '21
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 7 1 8 3 12 6 5 7 3 6 2 80 MRP Matthew Gibbs '17
Edward Gary '22
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 4 11 9 13 8 12 4 6 11 4 7 89 John Piotti '19 [1-6]
James Peraire-Bueno '19 [7-11]
Rebecca Nelson '21 [1-6]
Brown University Brown University Bears 12 9 6 9 5 9 9 9 5 7 DNF 94 John Mastrandrea '20
Justin Chiang '21
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 5 7 10 12 10 7 7 11 2 11 DNF 96 Grace Vincens '20 [1-11]
Jennifer Ryan '19 [1-6]
Emma Sexton '20 [7-11]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 9 10 DSQ 8 9 8 8 8 10 10 4 98 Leyla Senocak '21
Anna Robling '19
The Landing School The Landing School Galloways 8 13 7 4 11 13 11 13 12 8 OCS 134 MRP Peter Dill '19
Christian Millian '19
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 13 12 12 11 13 11 12 12 13 9 DNF 152 MRP Amy Macdonald '18
Mary Ferguson '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (56 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats113355779911
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers 122446688101012
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers 233557799111113
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears446688101012121
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears101012121133557
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson557799111113132
The Landing SchoolThe Landing School Galloways881010121211335
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers668810101212113
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams111113132244668
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks779911111313224
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos991111131322446
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1212113355779
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs13132244668810

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats22446688101012
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers 133557799111113
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers 2446688101012121
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears557799111113132
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears111113132244668
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson668810101212113
The Landing SchoolThe Landing School Galloways991111131322446
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers779911111313224
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1212113355779
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks881010121211335
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos101012121133557
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts13132244668810
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs113355779911
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bates College Bates College Dylan Whitcraft '19 [1-11] Claire Deplanck '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Gillian Coyne '19 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Bobcats Amy Macdonald '18 Mary Ferguson '18
Boston University Boston University Alex Moreno '19 Lily Lichtenstein '18
Terriers 1 Kyle Dochoda '21 Emily Walker '19
Boston University Boston University Casey Cabot '21 Shannon Macdonald '21
Terriers 2 Skye Shepherd '20 Megan Blagden '20
Brown University Brown University Rachel Foster '20 Lauren Haller '18
Bears John Mastrandrea '20 Justin Chiang '21
Harvard University Harvard University Jonas Nelle '22 Gayatri Balasubramanian '21
Crimson Owen Schafer '21 Maria Tarazona Guzman '21
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Joseph Chamberlin '19 [1-6]
Ryan Hennessey '21 [7-11]
Isabelle Yen '21 [1-6]
Engineers John Piotti '19 [1-6]
James Peraire-Bueno '19 [7-11]
Rebecca Nelson '21 [1-6]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Jennifer Killian '19 Madeline Lark '20
Seahawks Grace Vincens '20 [1-11] Jennifer Ryan '19 [1-6]
Emma Sexton '20 [7-11]
The Landing School The Landing School Keith Frederick '19 Ty Van Dalen '19
Galloways Peter Dill '19 Christian Millian '19
Tufts University Tufts University John Duncan '19 [1-11] Kelsey Foster '20 [1-6]
Marisa Permatteo '19 [7-11]
Jumbos Leyla Senocak '21 Anna Robling '19
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Richie Gordon '21 Madeline Kaller '21
Bears Jesse Mcknight '21 Halee Lewis '21
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Patrick Isherwood '17 Maguire Bennett '21
Rams Matthew Gibbs '17 Edward Gary '22
University of Vermont University of Vermont Lindsay Doyle '18 Lilla Salvesen '18
Catamounts Peter Schneider '20 Rowan Henke '21
Yale University Yale University Christine Klingler '20 Catherine Mollerus '21
Bulldogs Nicholas Marwell '21 Caroline Colwell '18

Conditions — 03/31/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 36%  ·  Pressure 1022.2 hPa

Temperature

49°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 42°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.3 kn
avg  ·  max 9.1 kn
Gusts to 17.7 kn
From W (277°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity36% Pressure1022.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn · W 16 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Boston University: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.09 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.24 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Boston University by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (56 labelled days at Boston University).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →