Pen Bay Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 62 50 112
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 71 44 115
3 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 69 47 116
4 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 71 51 122
5 Boston University Boston University Terriers 48 75 123
6 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 61 63 124
7 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 72 62 134
8 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 58 82 140
9 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 85 68 153
10 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 94 93 187
11 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 101 100 201
12 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 111 123 234
13 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 147 96 243
14 Providence College Providence College Friars 131 127 258
15 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 126 136 262
16 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 130 152 282
17 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 125 169 294
18 Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 148 173 321
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers 12 11 1 1 3 9 1 6 3 1 48 Cameron Fraser '14
Ian Towill '14
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 1 7 8 7 10 5 5 1 10 4 58 Colin Murphy '15
Ian Storck '15
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 16 1 12 3 6 2 8 5 2 6 61 Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk '14
Janelle Veary '15
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 5 10 2 2 14 6 4 4 4 11 62 Michael Booker '15
Nate Jermain '15
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 5 3 15 4 1 2 12 11 14 69 Ellis Tonissi '15
Bryce Kopp '16
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 3 2 9 17 11 4 13 3 1 8 71 Jack Mcguire '17
Erin Mullins '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 13 3 10 4 13 10 3 8 5 2 71 Willem Sandberg '14
Mara Porter '14
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 6 4 6 9 2 11 17 2 12 3 72 Avery Fanning '16 [1-10]
Nikolia Kruger '17 [1-9]
Robert Turley '16 [10]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 9 6 7 5 5 3 16 16 9 9 85 Samuel Cushing '15
Matthew Coughlin '16
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 4 8 16 11 7 14 6 7 8 13 94 John Silvestri '16
Angelina Todaro '16
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 11 15 5 6 9 8 10 18 14 5 101 Yann Cudennec '15
Anoush Longerstaey '17
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 8 13 11 13 17 13 14 9 6 7 111 Edward Moan '14
John Cappetta '16
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 17 9 15 10 16 7 12 14 15 10 125 Sarah Fuller '16
Khalil Rahman '15
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 14 14 13 8 8 12 9 13 17 18 126 Hollister Poole '15
Rinchen Harrison '15
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 18 17 4 12 1 18 18 11 16 15 130 William Dykes '15
Ann Sager '13
Providence College Providence College Friars 15 12 14 16 18 15 7 15 7 12 131 Chris Aitken '15
Jamie Brown '17
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 7 18 18 18 12 17 11 17 13 16 147 Andrew Morgan '15
Kyle Brego '17
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 10 16 17 14 15 16 15 10 18 17 148 Mike Brendlinger '14
Peter Chambers '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 7 5 1 7 5 5 3 6 1 44 Charles Proctor '14
Elizabeth Keys '14
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 3 11 4 5 5 4 3 1 4 7 47 Serena Cipullo '17 [1-8]
Grace Medley '15 [9-10]
Grace Medley '15 [1-7]
Benjamin Meyers '15 [8-10]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 1 8 3 3 8 7 14 3 2 50 Lauren Jones '15
Lillian Pillsbury '14
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 5 4 7 11 2 2 2 4 11 3 51 Charlotte Williamson '15
Tess Lameyer '16
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 8 10 3 4 1 6 8 6 12 4 62 Bradley Milliken '14 [1-6]
Dylan Finneran '15 [7-10]
Robert Turley '16 [1-2]
Jaimie Chicoine '14 [3-8]
Nikolia Kruger '17 [9-10]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 7 5 13 14 6 1 9 2 1 5 63 Conor Lodge '14
Estelle Beguin '14
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 11 6 12 2 14 3 1 8 5 6 68 Lauren Smith '16
Elizabeth Durgin '16
Boston University Boston University Terriers 2 2 1 12 8 9 13 9 7 12 75 Justin Kusiel '14
Indre Jankeviciute '15
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 12 8 10 7 11 13 4 5 2 10 82 Abigail Rohman '16
Madeleine Cooney '17
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 6 12 6 8 4 10 14 7 15 11 93 Christopher Jensen '14
Baillie Lawless '15
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 9 3 9 6 13 7 11 12 9 17 96 Mariah Allen '17
Nicole Allen '17
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 15 9 11 9 9 11 6 13 8 9 100 Tristan Chauvin '17
Noah Mitchell '16
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 13 17 2 13 10 15 12 11 16 14 123 Samuel Wells '15
Rachel Pedersen '14
Providence College Providence College Friars 10 13 15 17 15 14 10 15 10 8 127 Tristan Janowicz '16
Stephanie Burrell '16
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 16 14 16 10 16 12 15 10 14 13 136 Katelynd Sperry '16
Molly Howe '15
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 14 15 14 15 12 16 16 18 17 15 152 David Mazotas '16
Sarah Martin '15
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 18 16 DSQ 16 18 18 18 17 13 16 169 Peter Rodriguez '14
Timothy Donahoe '15
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 17 18 17 18 17 17 17 16 18 18 173 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (15 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats1133557799
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers335577991111
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears221818161614141212
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears55779911111313
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1414121210108866
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels4422181816161414
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green66442218181616
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners886644221818
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers991111131315151717
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds7799111113131515
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats15151717113355
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies101088664422
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars111113131515171711
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams161614141212101088
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks12121010886644
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1313151517171133
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts171711335577
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech18181616141412121010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats224466881010
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers44668810101212
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears111717151513131111
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears6688101012121414
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies13131111997755
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels3311171715151313
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green55331117171515
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners775533111717
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers10101212141416161818
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds881010121214141616
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats16161818224466
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies9977553311
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars121214141616181822
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1515131311119977
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks111199775533
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1414161618182244
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts181822446688
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech171715151313111199
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bates College Bates College Edward Moan '14 John Cappetta '16
Bobcats Samuel Wells '15 Rachel Pedersen '14
Boston University Boston University Cameron Fraser '14 Ian Towill '14
Terriers Justin Kusiel '14 Indre Jankeviciute '15
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Jack Mcguire '17 Erin Mullins '16
Polar Bears Charlotte Williamson '15 Tess Lameyer '16
Connecticut College Connecticut College Ellis Tonissi '15 Bryce Kopp '16
Camels Serena Cipullo '17 [1-8]
Grace Medley '15 [9-10]
Grace Medley '15 [1-7]
Benjamin Meyers '15 [8-10]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Colin Murphy '15 Ian Storck '15
Big Green Abigail Rohman '16 Madeleine Cooney '17
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Hollister Poole '15 Rinchen Harrison '15
Mariners Katelynd Sperry '16 Molly Howe '15
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Andrew Morgan '15 Kyle Brego '17
Buccaneers Mariah Allen '17 Nicole Allen '17
McGill University McGill University Yann Cudennec '15 Anoush Longerstaey '17
Redbirds Tristan Chauvin '17 Noah Mitchell '16
Northeastern University Northeastern University Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk '14 Janelle Veary '15
Huskies Conor Lodge '14 Estelle Beguin '14
Providence College Providence College Chris Aitken '15 Jamie Brown '17
Friars Tristan Janowicz '16 Stephanie Burrell '16
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University John Silvestri '16 Angelina Todaro '16
Seahawks Christopher Jensen '14 Baillie Lawless '15
Tufts University Tufts University Willem Sandberg '14 Mara Porter '14
Jumbos Charles Proctor '14 Elizabeth Keys '14
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Avery Fanning '16 [1-10] Nikolia Kruger '17 [1-9]
Robert Turley '16 [10]
Bears Bradley Milliken '14 [1-6]
Dylan Finneran '15 [7-10]
Robert Turley '16 [1-2]
Jaimie Chicoine '14 [3-8]
Nikolia Kruger '17 [9-10]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Sarah Fuller '16 Khalil Rahman '15
Huskies Peter Rodriguez '14 Timothy Donahoe '15
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire William Dykes '15 Ann Sager '13
Wildcats David Mazotas '16 Sarah Martin '15
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Samuel Cushing '15 Matthew Coughlin '16
Rams Lauren Smith '16 Elizabeth Durgin '16
University of Vermont University of Vermont Michael Booker '15 Nate Jermain '15
Catamounts Lauren Jones '15 Lillian Pillsbury '14
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Mike Brendlinger '14 Peter Chambers '15
Worcester Polytech No Show No Show

Conditions — 09/14/2013 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1010.4 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.2 kn
avg  ·  max 7.1 kn
Gusts to 17.1 kn
From NW (305°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover70% Sunshine9.2 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1010.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 9 kn · SW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Maine Maritime: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.12)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.04 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.16
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.28 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 11% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Maine Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Maine Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →