Mt. Hope Bay Invite

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 69 47 116
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 65 52 117
3 Boston University Boston University Terriers 70 62 132
4 Brown University Brown University Bears 47 101 148
5 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 45 112 157
6 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 83 78 161
7 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 97 68 165
8 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 74 105 179
9 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 120 63 183
10 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 85 98 183
11 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 113 102 215
12 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 62 160 222
13 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 130 96 226
14 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 141 102 243
15 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 153 99 252
16 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 176 164 340
17 Providence College Providence College Friars 168 199 367
18 Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 188 186 374
19 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 200 197 397
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 4 3 1 3 6 1 3 7 3 7 7 45 Florian Eenkema Van Dijk '19
Sarah Bunney '19
Brown University Brown University Bears 7 10 2 RDG 4 6 2 2 1 6 3 47 Franco Bilik '18 [1-11]
Olivia Lord '17 [1-6]
Eric Xiao '17 [7-11]
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 3 16 7 1 11 2 4 9 2 2 5 62 Peter Sterflinger '17
Alexa Giovanis '17
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 14 4 5 4 1 8 12 6 6 4 1 65 James Beatty '17
Caroline Ambros '17
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 1 11 11 6 12 5 5 5 4 3 6 69 Preston Duclos '19
Kristi Dolan '20
Boston University Boston University Terriers 6 7 10 2 2 12 13 4 5 1 8 70 Robby Gearon '19
Andrew Reed '18
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 5 8 12 10 3 3 6 8 9 8 2 74 Claire Huebner '18
Amelia Dobronyi '17
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 13 1 9 11 5 9 15 3 8 5 4 83 Daniel Petrovic '19
Hallie Repeta '19
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 12 2 3 5 7 7 7 1 13 14 14 85 Peter Christensen '18
Anne Wieland '19
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 9 15 4 7 9 11 1 11 7 12 11 97 Thomas Harden '20
Alden Martin '16
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 10 5 14 13 10 10 9 12 11 9 10 113 Jeffrey Adam '18
Sergio Gratta '18
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 6 6 8 13 15 10 15 17 15 13 120 Patrick Penwell '17 [1-6]
Garrett Connelly '19 [7-11]
Sarah Morin '18 [1-6]
Kathryn Nota '19 [7-11]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 8 9 8 15 8 4 14 17 15 16 16 130 Rebecca Quirke '17 [1-6]
Phillip Rosenthall '18 [7-11]
Hannah King '19 [1-6]
Marion Lemay '20 [7-11]
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 11 13 16 17 15 14 11 13 12 10 9 141 Mete Sayin '17
Holden Koivu '18
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 16 14 13 12 14 13 17 14 10 13 17 153 Ryan Gershuny '18
David Mazotas '16
Providence College Providence College Friars 19 19 17 16 17 19 8 10 14 17 12 168 Nathaniel Thomas '18 [1-11]
Douglas Cassidy '18 [1-6]
Meagan Nolan '17 [7-11]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 15 12 15 DNF 19 16 16 18 16 11 18 176 Stephanie Clancy '17 [1-4, 6-10]
Sean Morrissey '20 [5, 11]
Crete Clifford '17 [1-4, 6-10]
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 17 17 19 14 18 17 19 16 18 18 15 188 David Tampellini '17
Thomas Astram '18
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 18 18 18 18 16 18 18 19 19 19 19 200 Benjamin Hawkins '18 [1-6]
Martin Hooker '18 [7-11]
Jessica Imbro '18 [1-6]
Liam Greene '17 [7-11]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 4 8 7 4 2 8 2 2 4 4 2 47 Peter Neal '20
Virginia Yeatts '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 1 13 8 2 8 7 1 1 2 8 1 52 Alexander Tong '17
Lara Dienemann '18
Boston University Boston University Terriers 3 11 1 6 5 2 8 4 10 3 9 62 Michael Sabourin '20
Avery Sly '20
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 10 1 6 1 3 1 3 5 11 11 11 63 Sam Rush '19 [1-11]
Kathryn Nota '19 [1-6]
Ellis Havelock '18 [7-11]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 7 4 2 8 9 17 11 3 3 1 3 68 Charles Hicks '20 [1-11]
Amanda Engeman '20 [1-6, 9-11]
James Mccracken '17 [7-8]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 12 3 11 3 1 9 6 8 6 15 4 78 Nathaniel Estes '19
Kylie Freitas '20
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 13 2 5 11 10 4 10 7 12 12 10 96 Julia Leighton '20 [1-11]
Hannah Staples '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Jessica Hunnewell '20 [3-4]
Victoria Slater '19 [7-11]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 8 7 12 5 11 5 14 9 8 5 14 98 Matteo Alampi '17
Coleen Ross '20
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 12 4 12 14 15 9 10 7 9 5 99 James Amaral '19
Kailee Bodoh '20
Brown University Brown University Bears 5 15 10 13 4 3 5 11 9 14 12 101 Henry Sharpe '17 [1-11]
Julia Kim '18 [1-6]
Megha Malpani '19 [7-11]
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 9 10 3 16 6 14 4 14 13 7 6 102 Markus Suorsa '17
Lauren Morris '17
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 11 6 13 7 13 10 12 12 1 10 7 102 Alexander Bowen '20
Evan Bowen '19
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 15 17 9 14 7 6 7 6 14 2 8 105 Charles Skoda '17
Claire Rossi De Leon '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 6 5 14 10 12 12 13 13 5 6 16 112 Jackson Mccoy '19
Marisa Permatteo '19
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 16 9 15 9 16 16 16 16 17 17 13 160 Hans Bengston '20 [1-11]
Marisa Sannino '19 [1-8]
Caoilinn Boyle '20 [9-11]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 14 14 16 17 17 13 15 15 15 13 15 164 Lucie Ford '20
Mary Grace Bean '18
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 18 19 17 15 15 11 18 17 18 18 DNF 186 Rebecca Rutkiewicz '19
Renee Flores '18
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 19 18 19 19 19 19 17 18 16 16 17 197 Dillon Mcmanus '17 [1-6]
Michael Connolly '18 [7-11]
Tara Schwenzfeier '18 [1-6]
Marah Wakefield '17 [7-11]
Providence College Providence College Friars 17 16 18 18 18 18 19 19 19 19 18 199 Patricia Hoban '17 [1-6]
Anna Bloomstine '19 [7-11]
Mary Vigneron '17 [1-6]
Cicely Dahn '19 [7-11]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers113355779911
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears22446688101012
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies15151717191922446
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels33557799111113
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats4466881010121214
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers5577991111131315
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds668810101212141416
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats161618181133557
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies779911111313151517
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars88101012121414161618
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams171719192244668
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 199111113131515171719
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 2101012121414161618181
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers111113131515171719192
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1212141416161818113
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 11313151517171919224
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 214141616181811335
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1818113355779
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs19192244668810

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers22446688101012
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears33557799111113
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies161618181133557
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels4466881010121214
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats5577991111131315
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers668810101212141416
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds779911111313151517
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats171719192244668
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies88101012121414161618
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars99111113131515171719
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1818113355779
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 1101012121414161618181
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 2111113131515171719192
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers1212141416161818113
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1313151517171919224
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 114141616181811335
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 215151717191922446
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts19192244668810
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs113355779911
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston University Boston University Robby Gearon '19 Andrew Reed '18
Terriers Michael Sabourin '20 Avery Sly '20
Brown University Brown University Franco Bilik '18 [1-11] Olivia Lord '17 [1-6]
Eric Xiao '17 [7-11]
Bears Henry Sharpe '17 [1-11] Julia Kim '18 [1-6]
Megha Malpani '19 [7-11]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Rebecca Quirke '17 [1-6]
Phillip Rosenthall '18 [7-11]
Hannah King '19 [1-6]
Marion Lemay '20 [7-11]
Camels Julia Leighton '20 [1-11] Hannah Staples '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Jessica Hunnewell '20 [3-4]
Victoria Slater '19 [7-11]
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Peter Sterflinger '17 Alexa Giovanis '17
Wildcats Hans Bengston '20 [1-11] Marisa Sannino '19 [1-8]
Caoilinn Boyle '20 [9-11]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Jeffrey Adam '18 Sergio Gratta '18
Buccaneers Alexander Bowen '20 Evan Bowen '19
McGill University McGill University Mete Sayin '17 Holden Koivu '18
Redbirds Markus Suorsa '17 Lauren Morris '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Peter Christensen '18 Anne Wieland '19
Huskies Matteo Alampi '17 Coleen Ross '20
Providence College Providence College Nathaniel Thomas '18 [1-11] Douglas Cassidy '18 [1-6]
Meagan Nolan '17 [7-11]
Friars Patricia Hoban '17 [1-6]
Anna Bloomstine '19 [7-11]
Mary Vigneron '17 [1-6]
Cicely Dahn '19 [7-11]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Preston Duclos '19 Kristi Dolan '20
Hawks 1 Peter Neal '20 Virginia Yeatts '19
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Daniel Petrovic '19 Hallie Repeta '19
Hawks 2 Nathaniel Estes '19 Kylie Freitas '20
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University David Tampellini '17 Thomas Astram '18
Pioneers Rebecca Rutkiewicz '19 Renee Flores '18
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Stephanie Clancy '17 [1-4, 6-10]
Sean Morrissey '20 [5, 11]
Crete Clifford '17 [1-4, 6-10]
Seahawks Lucie Ford '20 Mary Grace Bean '18
Tufts University Tufts University James Beatty '17 Caroline Ambros '17
Jumbos 1 Alexander Tong '17 Lara Dienemann '18
Tufts University Tufts University Florian Eenkema Van Dijk '19 Sarah Bunney '19
Jumbos 2 Jackson Mccoy '19 Marisa Permatteo '19
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Benjamin Hawkins '18 [1-6]
Martin Hooker '18 [7-11]
Jessica Imbro '18 [1-6]
Liam Greene '17 [7-11]
Huskies Dillon Mcmanus '17 [1-6]
Michael Connolly '18 [7-11]
Tara Schwenzfeier '18 [1-6]
Marah Wakefield '17 [7-11]
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Ryan Gershuny '18 David Mazotas '16
Wildcats James Amaral '19 Kailee Bodoh '20
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Patrick Penwell '17 [1-6]
Garrett Connelly '19 [7-11]
Sarah Morin '18 [1-6]
Kathryn Nota '19 [7-11]
Rams Sam Rush '19 [1-11] Kathryn Nota '19 [1-6]
Ellis Havelock '18 [7-11]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Thomas Harden '20 Alden Martin '16
Catamounts Charles Hicks '20 [1-11] Amanda Engeman '20 [1-6, 9-11]
James Mccracken '17 [7-8]
Yale University Yale University Claire Huebner '18 Amelia Dobronyi '17
Bulldogs Charles Skoda '17 Claire Rossi De Leon '19

Conditions — 09/10/2016 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 83%  ·  Pressure 1017.3 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 71°F
Feels like 80°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 7.6 kn
Gusts to 16.1 kn
From SE (137°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover71% Sunshine8.4 hrs Humidity83% Pressure1017.3 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn · W 11 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Roger Williams: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.09 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Roger Williams by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Roger Williams).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →