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Rose Bowl Regatta 2018

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 36 38 74
2 Boston College Boston College Eagles 54 29 83
3 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 52 47 99
4 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 60 60 120
5 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 108 30 138
6 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 56 86 142
7 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 123 MRP 55 MRP 178 MRP
8 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 80 101 181
9 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 75 106 181
10 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 117 69 186
11 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 122 81 203
12 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 83 126 209
13 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 136 75 211
14 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 62 156 218
15 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 119 108 227
16 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 95 144 239
17 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 123 117 240
18 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 140 108 248
19 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 129 MRP 141 MRP 270 MRP
20 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 140 131 271
21 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 147 133 280
22 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 113 174 287
23 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 151 185 336
24 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 183 163 346
25 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 143 204 347
26 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 209 199 408
27 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 213 199 412
28 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 239 MRP 227 MRP 466 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 7 1 1 6 10 9 1 1 36 Andy Reiter '19
Marley Mais '21
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 4 8 2 1 4 7 21 5 52 Roberto Stevens '19
Lauren Holderman '18
Boston College Boston College Eagles 6 2 6 8 15 1 12 4 54 Charles Sinks '18
Lauren Seigel '20
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 11 3 14 14 6 4 2 56 Clark Uhl '19
Diana Otis '19
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 9 8 2 11 11 15 3 60 Christopher Weis '18 [1-4, 7-8]
Lucas Pierce '21 [5-6]
Samantha Obel '21 [1-4, 7-8]
Robert Johnson '19 [5-6]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 13 7 7 3 1 16 2 13 62 Ben Brough '19
Grace Carrick '18
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 12 13 11 4 3 10 8 14 75 Keen Butcher '18
Sarah Punzel '19
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 11 6 13 16 5 3 17 9 80 Aitana Mendiguren '20 [1-8]
Alexandra Fayer '19 [1-4]
Tanner Chapko '21 [5-8]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 17 10 10 5 7 5 13 16 83 Molly Pleskus '18
Duke Saunders '20
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 5 15 21 9 13 8 3 21 95 Nicholas Lenz Lenz '19
Laura Roudebush '18
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 9 4 5 10 16 20 22 22 108 Charles Lomax '18 [1-4]
Devin Keister '18 [5-8]
Luke Welker '21 [1-4]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 19 18 19 7 17 18 7 8 113 Ali Fuat Yuvalı '21
Gabrielle Lange '18
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 8 12 22 11 18 17 11 18 117 Patrick Wilkinson '20
Megan Lucas '20
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 18 21 14 20 8 23 5 10 119 Peter Wong '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Grace Yakutis '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Lorea Mendiguren '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Will Paulsen '19 [3-4, 7-8]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 16 16 12 15 24 13 14 12 122 Patrick Shannon '20
Katherine Matheson '18
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 14 17 17 13 2 2 18 20 123 MRP Stephan Verhulst '19
Kelsy Waack '18
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 15 22 9 19 22 19 6 11 123 Janel Decurtis '18
Kylie Freitas '20
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 20 5 4 12 20 26 16 6 129 MRP Johannes Mcelvain '18 [1-8]
Bennett Zemke '19 [1-4]
Nolan Van Dine '20 [5-8]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 22 23 24 18 9 14 19 7 136 Connor Hughes '19
Audrey Jacobs '18
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 3 14 15 23 23 21 26 15 140 Anna Huebschmann '18
Jamie Johar '19
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 23 19 23 22 21 4 9 19 140 Mark Davies '20
Audrey Debruine '19
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 24 24 20 17 19 12 10 17 143 Brian Maclean '18 [1-8]
Madeline Bachus '19 [1-2]
Hali Dickson '19 [3-8]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 21 3 26 24 12 15 20 26 147 Alex Demmler '19 [1-8]
Kaela Riha '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Shyon Seyed-Emami '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 10 25 16 21 6 24 24 25 151 Chloe Dawson '20 [1-8]
Camille Ottaway '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Harrison Saliba '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 25 20 18 25 26 22 23 24 183 Francesca Dana '18
William Pollard '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 27 27 25 28 25 27 27 23 209 Natalie Hopper '18
Robyn Gillum '18
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 26 26 27 27 27 25 28 27 213 Michael Valverde '18
Maya Smith '19
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 28 28 28 26 28 28 25 28 239 MRP Kaili Campbell '21 [1-4, 7-8]
Thomas Harris '19 [5-6]
Haley Nadone '20 [1-4, 7-8]
Carson Engle '20 [5-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 2 8 3 2 5 7 1 29 Wade Waddell '19
Katharine Bowman '20
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 6 4 5 6 4 2 1 2 30 Carrson Pearce '21
Vincent Storino '18
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 5 1 3 1 1 6 15 6 38 Andrew Person '21
Grace Hanrahan '18
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 4 8 1 2 16 11 2 3 47 Matt Cappetta '19
Makena Masterson '19
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 8 3 2 8 3 3 4 4 55 MRP Alfonso Garcia Bringas '21
Shaynah True '19
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 5 11 4 7 1 17 13 60 Neil Stapleton '18
Claire Hunt '19
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 3 6 7 7 11 25 5 5 69 Dylan Meade '20
Jessica Lawler '18
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 16 7 14 12 5 9 3 9 75 Karl Skeel '20
Farzana Mohamedali '20
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 12 13 4 13 8 7 14 10 81 Ryan Ratliffe '21
Kenneth Moats '21
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 10 9 9 5 OCS 4 9 11 86 Connor Kelter '18
Kimberly Wong '19
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 9 11 16 14 15 20 8 8 101 Soenke Jordan '21 [1-4, 7-8]
John Deruff '21 [5-6]
Mercedes Mcphee '19 [1-2, 7-8]
Marie Line '19 [3-6]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 7 BKD 15 23 6 10 18 14 106 Lenox Butcher '20
Lucy Sergeant '18
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 13 12 13 19 9 12 13 17 108 Matthew Peterson '18
Samantha Pynchon '20
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 14 14 21 17 13 8 6 15 108 Paul Chyz '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Aaron Kiyotoki '19 [3-4]
Nicholas Stefanoni '21 [7-8]
Melissa Schem '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Caroline Gay '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 19 18 6 15 18 13 10 18 117 Megan Roach '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Alden Crowe '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Alden Crowe '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Megan Roach '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 11 19 17 16 12 14 21 16 126 Wells Drayton '21
Delilah Roberts '21
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 20 16 25 9 20 22 12 7 131 Ryder Easterlin '20 [1-8]
Samuel Balka '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Mariel Tang '20 [3-4, 7-8]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 22 20 10 10 14 18 19 20 133 Timothy Zimmermann '19 [1-4]
Julia Jaynes '19 [5-8]
Michael Carmack '19 [1-4]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers BKD 10 12 11 17 21 16 19 141 MRP Benjamin Rohr '19
Emi Stephanoff '21
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 18 15 23 18 23 15 20 12 144 Leah Ford '19
Hallie Muller '20
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 27 24 18 20 19 16 11 21 156 Liam Hood '20
Lauren Matich '21
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 15 23 19 26 10 19 28 23 163 Allison Glover '21
Lilah Foster '21
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 17 21 20 21 21 27 22 25 174 James Melvin '19
Sofia Mack '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 26 27 24 22 22 17 25 22 185 Benjamin Morasch '20 [1-8]
Amber Crabb '20 [1-4, 7-8]
Marijke Jorna '21 [5-6]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 24 22 27 25 24 24 26 27 199 Daniel Vick '18
Chieko Imai '20
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 25 28 26 24 26 23 23 24 199 Miles Clark '21
Holly Mckee '20
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 21 26 28 28 25 26 24 26 204 Christian Parizea '18 [1-4]
Drake Baldwin '20 [5-8]
Brian Newcomer '19 [1-4]
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 23 25 22 27 27 28 27 28 227 MRP Nicholas Theut '19 [1-8]
Thomas Harris '19 [1-2, 5-8]
Emelia Dolson '21 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (19 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils393933776565
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles363613813837377676
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers1136361381383737
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang337765656767
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars3838113636138138
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red6565676769697272
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers77656567676969
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons66663838113636
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams6767696972721919
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials68686666383811
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas6969727219197171
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows3535777773733939
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins7070686866663838
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners7171272731313535
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers7676333329292525
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats7272191971712727
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers77777373393933
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks7474707068686666
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos1919717127273131
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans3737767633332929
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos7575747470706868
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters2525757574747070
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins2727313135357777
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons2929252575757474
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos3131353577777373
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's3333292925257575
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies737339393377
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings138138373776763333

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils36361138386666
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles3939737377773535
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers33393973737777
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang11383866666868
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars773339397373
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red6666686870707474
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers3838666668687070
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons656577333939
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams6868707074747575
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials676765657733
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas7070747475752525
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows767637371381383636
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins69696767656577
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners2525292933337676
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers3535313127277171
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats7474757525252929
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers3737138138363611
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks7272696967676565
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos7575252529293333
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans7777353531312727
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1919727269696767
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters7171191972726969
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins2929333376763737
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons2727717119197272
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos333376763737138138
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's3131272771711919
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies1381383636113838
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings7373777735353131
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arizona State University Arizona State University Kaili Campbell '21 [1-4, 7-8]
Thomas Harris '19 [5-6]		 Haley Nadone '20 [1-4, 7-8]
Carson Engle '20 [5-6]
Sun Devils Nicholas Theut '19 [1-8] Thomas Harris '19 [1-2, 5-8]
Emelia Dolson '21 [3-4]
Boston College Boston College Charles Sinks '18 Lauren Seigel '20
Eagles Wade Waddell '19 Katharine Bowman '20
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Ben Brough '19 Grace Carrick '18
Mustang Liam Hood '20 Lauren Matich '21
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Johannes Mcelvain '18 [1-8] Bennett Zemke '19 [1-4]
Nolan Van Dine '20 [5-8]
Keelhaulers Benjamin Rohr '19 Emi Stephanoff '21
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Alex Demmler '19 [1-8] Kaela Riha '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Shyon Seyed-Emami '18 [3-4, 7-8]
49ers Timothy Zimmermann '19 [1-4]
Julia Jaynes '19 [5-8]		 Michael Carmack '19 [1-4]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Patrick Shannon '20 Katherine Matheson '18
Cougars Ryan Ratliffe '21 Kenneth Moats '21
Cornell University Cornell University Clark Uhl '19 Diana Otis '19
Big Red Connor Kelter '18 Kimberly Wong '19
Eckerd College Eckerd College Anna Huebschmann '18 Jamie Johar '19
Tritons Matthew Peterson '18 Samantha Pynchon '20
Fordham University Fordham University Roberto Stevens '19 Lauren Holderman '18
Rams Matt Cappetta '19 Makena Masterson '19
George Washington University George Washington University Aitana Mendiguren '20 [1-8] Alexandra Fayer '19 [1-4]
Tanner Chapko '21 [5-8]
Colonials Soenke Jordan '21 [1-4, 7-8]
John Deruff '21 [5-6]		 Mercedes Mcphee '19 [1-2, 7-8]
Marie Line '19 [3-6]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Andy Reiter '19 Marley Mais '21
Hoyas Andrew Person '21 Grace Hanrahan '18
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Stephan Verhulst '19 Kelsy Waack '18
Fins Alfonso Garcia Bringas '21 Shaynah True '19
Northwestern University Northwestern University Mark Davies '20 Audrey Debruine '19
Wildcats Ryder Easterlin '20 [1-8] Samuel Balka '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Mariel Tang '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Janel Decurtis '18 Kylie Freitas '20
Hawks Megan Roach '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Alden Crowe '19 [3-4, 7-8]		 Alden Crowe '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Megan Roach '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Francesca Dana '18 William Pollard '18
Broncos Allison Glover '21 Lilah Foster '21
Tufts University Tufts University Molly Pleskus '18 Duke Saunders '20
Jumbos Wells Drayton '21 Delilah Roberts '21
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Charles Lomax '18 [1-4]
Devin Keister '18 [5-8]		 Luke Welker '21 [1-4]
Mariners Carrson Pearce '21 Vincent Storino '18
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Brian Maclean '18 [1-8] Madeline Bachus '19 [1-2]
Hali Dickson '19 [3-8]
Anteaters Christian Parizea '18 [1-4]
Drake Baldwin '20 [5-8]		 Brian Newcomer '19 [1-4]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Nicholas Lenz Lenz '19 Laura Roudebush '18
Bruins Leah Ford '19 Hallie Muller '20
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Natalie Hopper '18 Robyn Gillum '18
Tritons Daniel Vick '18 Chieko Imai '20
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Christopher Weis '18 [1-4, 7-8]
Lucas Pierce '21 [5-6]		 Samantha Obel '21 [1-4, 7-8]
Robert Johnson '19 [5-6]
Gauchos Neil Stapleton '18 Claire Hunt '19
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Ali Fuat Yuvalı '21 Gabrielle Lange '18
Banana Slug's James Melvin '19 Sofia Mack '20
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Patrick Wilkinson '20 Megan Lucas '20
Rainbows Dylan Meade '20 Jessica Lawler '18
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Michael Valverde '18 Maya Smith '19
Gophers Miles Clark '21 Holly Mckee '20
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Keen Butcher '18 Sarah Punzel '19
Quakers Lenox Butcher '20 Lucy Sergeant '18
University of Southern California University of Southern California Peter Wong '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Grace Yakutis '20 [3-4, 7-8]		 Lorea Mendiguren '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Will Paulsen '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Trojans Paul Chyz '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Aaron Kiyotoki '19 [3-4]
Nicholas Stefanoni '21 [7-8]		 Melissa Schem '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Caroline Gay '19 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Washington University of Washington Connor Hughes '19 Audrey Jacobs '18
Huskies Karl Skeel '20 Farzana Mohamedali '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Chloe Dawson '20 [1-8] Camille Ottaway '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Harrison Saliba '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Vikings Benjamin Morasch '20 [1-8] Amber Crabb '20 [1-4, 7-8]
Marijke Jorna '21 [5-6]

Conditions — 01/06/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 85%  ·  Pressure 1019.9 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.7 kn
avg  ·  max 8.0 kn
Gusts to 14.4 kn
From SW (221°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine4.1 hrs Humidity85% Pressure1019.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn · SW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Southern Cal: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.11 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.06 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Southern Cal by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Southern Cal, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →