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Gill National Champs 1st round-East

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 30 18 48
2 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 20 29 49
3 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 33 31 64
4 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 42 31 73
5 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 44 29 73
6 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 44 30 74
7 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 27 51 78
8 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 43 37 80
9 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 58 47 105
10 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 54 57 111
11 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 56 62 118
12 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 50 78 128
13 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 61 76 137
14 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 88 68 156
15 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 82 89 171
16 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 95 89 184
17 University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 96 103 199
18 New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 103 103 206
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 1 9 1 1 7 20 Nevin Snow '16
Katia Dasilva '15
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 11 6 1 2 3 4 27 William Haeger '14
Paula Grasberger '14
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 3 4 12 5 4 2 30 Kevin Martland '14
Lea Bushnell '15
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 7 2 4 6 12 33 Jake Reynolds '16
Alicia Blumenthal '15
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 5 3 11 15 5 3 42 Michael Grove '14
Alexandra Asuncion '15
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 10 12 7 6 7 1 43 Avery Fanning '16 [1-6]
Robert Turley '16 [1-4]
Jaimie Chicoine '14 [5-6]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 8 9 13 7 2 5 44 Oliver Toole '14 [1-4]
Kevin Laube '14 [5-6]
Carolyn Ortel '14 [1-4]
Yuri Namikawa '14 [5-6]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 13 2 4 8 9 8 44 Matthew Wefer '14
Avery Plough '14
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 7 5 14 3 8 13 50 Alex Ramos '15
Karinne Smolenyak '15
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 6 14 6 10 12 6 54 Ian Stokes '16
Natalie Davidson '16
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 4 10 8 9 10 15 56 Jack Swikart '15
Cary Kane '17
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 9 11 3 11 13 11 58 George Kutschenreuter '15
Katie Hall '16
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 12 8 5 13 14 9 61 Christopher Stessing '14
Olivia Bicks '17
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 15 18 16 12 11 10 82 Trey Hartman '15
Rachel Mcmahon '15
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 17 13 10 14 16 18 88 Daniel Lawless '17
Mara Strobel-Lanka '17
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 16 16 15 16 18 14 95 Brian Hickman '15
Cragan Smith '14
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 14 15 18 17 15 17 96 Benjamin Otten '14
Hannah Noll '15
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 18 17 17 18 17 16 103 Cornell Lee '16
Abigail Oakes '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 1 2 1 5 1 8 18 Ig Schottlaender '14
Kim Bolick '15
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 6 1 5 1 2 14 29 Alex Post '15
Bettina Redway '16
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 10 8 2 3 5 1 29 Antoine Screve '16 [1-2]
Kieran Chung '15 [3-6]
Helena Scutt '14 [1-2]
Haley Kirk '15 [3-6]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 5 3 4 4 12 2 30 Scott Houck '15
Julia Mckown '17
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 6 3 7 6 7 31 Mary Hall '15 [1-4]
Michael Popp '16 [5-6]
Elizabeth Morrison '14 [1-4]
Chelsea Smith '14 [5-6]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 4 5 8 8 3 3 31 Ryan Davidson '16
Emily Stuart '16
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 3 10 10 2 8 4 37 Nikole Barnes '17
Justine Morrison '13
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 12 11 6 6 7 5 47 Michael Lee '14
Katrina Debbink '15
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 7 4 11 11 9 9 51 Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon '15
Sam Madden '15
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 8 7 14 12 10 6 57 Stephen Long '17
Kristina Miller '17
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 14 9 7 10 11 11 62 Maximiliano Agnese '16
Catie Hopkins '17
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 11 12 9 9 14 13 68 Ian Ikeda '17
Hannah Knighton '17
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 9 14 12 14 15 12 76 Christopher Craven '16
Caitlin Grumbling '16
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 13 13 DSQ DSQ 4 10 78 Ryan Seago '14
Elizabeth Wallace '15
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 15 15 15 15 13 16 89 Cody Odou '17
Aike Burger '16
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 16 16 13 13 16 15 89 Jacob Hafemeister '16
Kayla Sjoberg '14
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 17 18 17 17 17 17 103 Isak Peterson '15
Cole Meller '17
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 18 17 16 16 18 18 103 James Montgomery '17
Orion Morton '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars113355
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears111113131515
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels2218181616
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green335577
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas44221818
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins557799
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines141412121010
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1212101088
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College664422
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers77991111
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1515171711
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal886644
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies9911111313
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos10108866
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos131315151717
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers181816161414
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos161614141212
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers17171133

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars224466
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears121214141616
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels1117171515
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green446688
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas33111717
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins66881010
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines1313111199
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen11119977
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College553311
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers8810101212
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1616181822
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal775533
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies101012121414
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos997755
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos141416161818
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers171715151313
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos151513131111
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers18182244
School / Team SkipperCrew
College of Charleston College of Charleston Jake Reynolds '16 Alicia Blumenthal '15
Cougars Ryan Davidson '16 Emily Stuart '16
Connecticut College Connecticut College Kevin Martland '14 Lea Bushnell '15
Camels Ig Schottlaender '14 Kim Bolick '15
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Matthew Wefer '14 Avery Plough '14
Big Green Scott Houck '15 Julia Mckown '17
Georgetown University Georgetown University Nevin Snow '16 Katia Dasilva '15
Hoyas Alex Post '15 Bettina Redway '16
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Daniel Lawless '17 Mara Strobel-Lanka '17
Dolphins Ian Ikeda '17 Hannah Knighton '17
New College of Florida New College of Florida Cornell Lee '16 Abigail Oakes '15
New College James Montgomery '17 Orion Morton '17
Oregon State University Oregon State University Brian Hickman '15 Cragan Smith '14
Beavers Cody Odou '17 Aike Burger '16
Stanford University Stanford University Oliver Toole '14 [1-4]
Kevin Laube '14 [5-6]		 Carolyn Ortel '14 [1-4]
Yuri Namikawa '14 [5-6]
Cardinal Antoine Screve '16 [1-2]
Kieran Chung '15 [3-6]		 Helena Scutt '14 [1-2]
Haley Kirk '15 [3-6]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Trey Hartman '15 Rachel Mcmahon '15
Aggies Jacob Hafemeister '16 Kayla Sjoberg '14
Tufts University Tufts University William Haeger '14 Paula Grasberger '14
Jumbos Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon '15 Sam Madden '15
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Avery Fanning '16 [1-6] Robert Turley '16 [1-4]
Jaimie Chicoine '14 [5-6]
Bears Nikole Barnes '17 Justine Morrison '13
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Michael Grove '14 Alexandra Asuncion '15
Midshipmen Mary Hall '15 [1-4]
Michael Popp '16 [5-6]		 Elizabeth Morrison '14 [1-4]
Chelsea Smith '14 [5-6]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Ian Stokes '16 Natalie Davidson '16
Gauchos Stephen Long '17 Kristina Miller '17
University of Michigan University of Michigan Alex Ramos '15 Karinne Smolenyak '15
Wolverines Ryan Seago '14 Elizabeth Wallace '15
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Jack Swikart '15 Cary Kane '17
Quakers Maximiliano Agnese '16 Catie Hopkins '17
University of Virginia University of Virginia Christopher Stessing '14 Olivia Bicks '17
Wahoos Christopher Craven '16 Caitlin Grumbling '16
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin George Kutschenreuter '15 Katie Hall '16
Badgers Michael Lee '14 Katrina Debbink '15
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Benjamin Otten '14 Hannah Noll '15
Panthers Isak Peterson '15 Cole Meller '17

Conditions — 06/03/2014 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 62%  ·  Pressure 1014.5 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 67°F
Feels like 79°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.8 kn
avg  ·  max 6.2 kn
Gusts to 15.0 kn
From S (190°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover60% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity62% Pressure1014.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 7 kn* · W 8 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at St. Mary's: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.12)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.13 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.15 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 10% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Mary's by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (70 labelled days at St. Mary's).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →