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Southern Series 5

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston University Boston University Terriers 58 32 90
2 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 62 38 100
3 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 55 52 107
4 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 38 74 112
5 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 3 62 58 120
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 78 66 144
7 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 71 74 145
8 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 47 103 150
9 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 80 92 172
10 Brown University Brown University Bears 100 73 173
11 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 106 79 185
12 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 120 72 192
13 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 96 113 209
14 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 102 143 245
15 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 153 139 292
16 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst 145 167 312
17 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 158 157 315
18 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 185 178 363
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 4 8 1 1 5 8 1 1 1 8 38 James Kennedy '17 [1-4]
Preston Duclos '19 [5-10]
Brigette Croke '17 [1-4]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 1 1 3 3 4 1 7 8 12 7 47 Katharina (Kb) Knapp '18
Kira Woods '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 2 4 7 7 2 2 2 9 6 14 55 James Beatty '17 [1-4]
Alexander Tong '17 [5-10]
Caroline Ambros '17 [1-4]
Lara Dienemann '18 [5-10]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 6 2 10 9 1 9 8 4 7 2 58 Alex Moreno '19
Emily Walker '19
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 9 6 4 2 12 4 4 2 9 10 62 Conner Harding '19 [1-4]
Riley Eger '17 [5-10]
Hallie Repeta '19 [1-4]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 3 13 9 2 6 9 3 9 6 2 3 62 Janel Decurtis '18
Megan Roach '18
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 5 3 6 5 16 5 11 5 3 12 71 Sarah Hermus '18 [1-10]
Marisa Decollibus '17 [1-4]
Emma Dwinell '19 [5-10]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 11 12 8 11 8 12 3 3 5 5 78 Christopher Keller '19 [1-4]
Jackson Mccoy '19 [5-10]
Taylor Hart '19 [1-4]
Kahler Newsham '19 [5-10]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 8 11 9 14 3 7 10 13 4 1 80 Matthew Gibbs '17 [1-10]
Lauren Richards '19 [1-4]
Haley Cedarholm '18 [5-10]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 7 7 13 4 10 11 16 10 14 4 96 Owen Beringer '19
Claire Lockard '18
Brown University Brown University Bears 16 15 5 8 6 14 5 11 11 9 100 Franco Bilik '18 [1-4]
Alexandra Swanson '16 [5-10]
Eric Xiao '17 [1-4]
Courtney Bergh '16 [5-10]
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 12 5 14 10 14 6 12 15 8 6 102 Mete Sayin '17
Eric Nielsen '17
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 10 10 15 12 15 10 6 7 10 11 106 Peter Sterflinger '17
Amanda Balbi '17
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 3 13 11 13 7 13 14 16 15 15 120 Taylor Nathanson '18 [1-4]
Tyler Paige '18 [5-10]
Taylor Fasolo '18 [1-4]
Russell Shapiro '19 [5-10]
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst 15 14 16 16 11 15 15 17 13 13 145 Noah Brayer '18 [1-10]
Beatrice Genco '17 [1-8]
Jeremy Allen '18 [9-10]
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 14 16 12 15 17 17 17 12 17 16 153 Nathaniel Barton '18
Rachel Kurlander '16
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 17 17 17 18 13 16 13 14 16 17 158 Kelsey Delosh '17 [1-10]
Courtney Grippin '17 [1-2, 5-10]
Shannon Mckeown '18 [3-4]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 18 18 18 17 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 185 Nick Jaczko '19
Olivia Tubio '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers 2 1 8 2 1 4 2 7 1 4 32 Robby Gearon '19 [1-4]
Reed Lorimer '18 [5-10]
Lily Lichtenstein '18 [1-4]
Stefanie Anderson '18 [5-10]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 4 5 2 4 6 1 5 6 4 1 38 Daniel Petrovic '19 [1-4]
Henry Stames '18 [5-10]
Henry Stames '18 [1-4]
Peter Forsberg '19 [5-10]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 9 3 1 3 8 5 4 4 5 10 52 Logan Russell '19 [1-4]
Cameron Holley '19 [5-10]
Alexander Tong '17 [1-4]
Ian Morgan '19 [5-10]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 3 3 4 6 13 4 8 1 5 6 8 58 Kelsey Shakin '19
Haley Clancy '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 13 11 12 12 2 3 8 1 2 2 66 Emma Haley '19 [1-4]
Aaron Klein '18 [5-10]
Anna Robling '19 [1-4]
Lucy Robison '18 [5-10]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 7 10 11 11 12 2 10 3 3 3 72 John Duncan '19 [1-4]
Alp Rodopman '17 [5-10]
Andrew Savage '19 [1-4]
Taylor Hart '19 [5-10]
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 2 4 1 9 6 13 12 14 11 73 Gabriel Elstrodt '19 [1-4]
Emma Davis '17 [5-10]
Abigayle Konys '19 [1-4]
Julia Kim '18 [5-10]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 5 6 9 6 13 16 3 2 8 6 74 Ed Lebens '19 [1-4, 7-10]
Samuel Dorothy '19 [5-6]
Samuel Dorothy '19 [1-4, 7-8]
Nicole Gambacorta '14 [5-6, 9-10]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 8 8 5 7 5 10 7 10 9 5 74 Kimberly Morecraft '18 [1-10]
Ellis Havelock '18 [1-4]
Lauren Oliveira '19 [5-10]
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 10 7 3 8 3 9 9 8 10 12 79 Thomas Pluchino '18
Alexa Giovanis '17
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 12 9 7 5 10 14 6 13 7 9 92 Sam Rush '19
Ryan Geib '19
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 6 12 13 10 7 7 11 11 13 13 103 Charles Skoda '17 [1-10]
Claire Rossi De Leon '19 [1-4, 9-10]
No Show [5-8]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 11 13 10 9 14 12 12 14 11 7 113 Ian Campbell '19
Rachel Guard '19
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 15 16 15 15 15 11 14 9 15 14 139 Kevin Winnie '16 [1-4]
Lillian Saul '19 [5-10]
Emily Denmark '19 [1-4]
Katherine Walker '16 [5-10]
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 14 14 14 14 16 13 16 BYE 12 16 143 William Gleckner '17
Jessica Horne '17
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 16 17 17 17 11 15 15 15 DNF 15 157 Hanna Desilets '17 [1-4]
Kelsey Martins '16 [5-10]
Michaela Carrier '17 [1-4]
Phoung Pham '17 [5-10]
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst 18 15 16 16 DNF 17 17 16 16 17 167 Joshua Linker '19 [1-10]
Savannah Kangas '19 [1-8]
Victoria Brandley '19 [9-10]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 17 18 18 18 DNF 18 18 17 17 18 178 Julia Silva '19
Sarah Scott '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers1133557799
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears224466881010
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats335577991111
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst1313151517171133
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds44668810101212
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers55779911111313
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies6688101012121414
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 115151717113355
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 216161818224466
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 17799111113131515
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 2881010121214141616
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 3991111131315151717
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 110101212141416161818
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2111113131515171711
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 3121214141616181822
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs1414161618182244
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals171711335577
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181822446688

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers224466881010
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears335577991111
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats44668810101212
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst1414161618182244
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds55779911111313
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers6688101012121414
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies7799111113131515
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 116161818224466
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 2171711335577
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 1881010121214141616
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 2991111131315151717
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 310101212141416161818
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1111113131515171711
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2121214141616181822
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 31313151517171133
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs15151717113355
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals181822446688
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1133557799
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston University Boston University Alex Moreno '19 Emily Walker '19
Terriers Robby Gearon '19 [1-4]
Reed Lorimer '18 [5-10]		 Lily Lichtenstein '18 [1-4]
Stefanie Anderson '18 [5-10]
Brown University Brown University Franco Bilik '18 [1-4]
Alexandra Swanson '16 [5-10]		 Eric Xiao '17 [1-4]
Courtney Bergh '16 [5-10]
Bears Gabriel Elstrodt '19 [1-4]
Emma Davis '17 [5-10]		 Abigayle Konys '19 [1-4]
Julia Kim '18 [5-10]
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Peter Sterflinger '17 Amanda Balbi '17
Wildcats Thomas Pluchino '18 Alexa Giovanis '17
McGill University McGill University Mete Sayin '17 Eric Nielsen '17
Redbirds William Gleckner '17 Jessica Horne '17
Middlebury College Middlebury College Nick Jaczko '19 Olivia Tubio '18
Panthers Julia Silva '19 Sarah Scott '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Owen Beringer '19 Claire Lockard '18
Huskies Ian Campbell '19 Rachel Guard '19
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University James Kennedy '17 [1-4]
Preston Duclos '19 [5-10]		 Brigette Croke '17 [1-4]
Hawks 1 Ed Lebens '19 [1-4, 7-10]
Samuel Dorothy '19 [5-6]		 Samuel Dorothy '19 [1-4, 7-8]
Nicole Gambacorta '14 [5-6, 9-10]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Conner Harding '19 [1-4]
Riley Eger '17 [5-10]		 Hallie Repeta '19 [1-4]
Hawks 2 Daniel Petrovic '19 [1-4]
Henry Stames '18 [5-10]		 Henry Stames '18 [1-4]
Peter Forsberg '19 [5-10]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Janel Decurtis '18 Megan Roach '18
Hawks 3 Kelsey Shakin '19 Haley Clancy '19
Tufts University Tufts University James Beatty '17 [1-4]
Alexander Tong '17 [5-10]		 Caroline Ambros '17 [1-4]
Lara Dienemann '18 [5-10]
Jumbos 1 Logan Russell '19 [1-4]
Cameron Holley '19 [5-10]		 Alexander Tong '17 [1-4]
Ian Morgan '19 [5-10]
Tufts University Tufts University Taylor Nathanson '18 [1-4]
Tyler Paige '18 [5-10]		 Taylor Fasolo '18 [1-4]
Russell Shapiro '19 [5-10]
Jumbos 2 John Duncan '19 [1-4]
Alp Rodopman '17 [5-10]		 Andrew Savage '19 [1-4]
Taylor Hart '19 [5-10]
Tufts University Tufts University Christopher Keller '19 [1-4]
Jackson Mccoy '19 [5-10]		 Taylor Hart '19 [1-4]
Kahler Newsham '19 [5-10]
Jumbos 3 Emma Haley '19 [1-4]
Aaron Klein '18 [5-10]		 Anna Robling '19 [1-4]
Lucy Robison '18 [5-10]
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Noah Brayer '18 [1-10] Beatrice Genco '17 [1-8]
Jeremy Allen '18 [9-10]
U. Mass Amherst Joshua Linker '19 [1-10] Savannah Kangas '19 [1-8]
Victoria Brandley '19 [9-10]
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Kelsey Delosh '17 [1-10] Courtney Grippin '17 [1-2, 5-10]
Shannon Mckeown '18 [3-4]
Corsairs Hanna Desilets '17 [1-4]
Kelsey Martins '16 [5-10]		 Michaela Carrier '17 [1-4]
Phoung Pham '17 [5-10]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Sarah Hermus '18 [1-10] Marisa Decollibus '17 [1-4]
Emma Dwinell '19 [5-10]
Rams 1 Kimberly Morecraft '18 [1-10] Ellis Havelock '18 [1-4]
Lauren Oliveira '19 [5-10]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Matthew Gibbs '17 [1-10] Lauren Richards '19 [1-4]
Haley Cedarholm '18 [5-10]
Rams 2 Sam Rush '19 Ryan Geib '19
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Nathaniel Barton '18 Rachel Kurlander '16
Cardinals Kevin Winnie '16 [1-4]
Lillian Saul '19 [5-10]		 Emily Denmark '19 [1-4]
Katherine Walker '16 [5-10]
Yale University Yale University Katharina (Kb) Knapp '18 Kira Woods '19
Bulldogs Charles Skoda '17 [1-10] Claire Rossi De Leon '19 [1-4, 9-10]
No Show [5-8]

Conditions — 10/10/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1018.5 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 19.4 kn
From NNW (344°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover3% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1018.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn · SW 11 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Roger Williams: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.02 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Roger Williams by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Roger Williams).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →