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Captain Hurst Bowl

# SchoolTeam A B C TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 57 31 100 188
2 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 73 56 67 196
3 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 83 51 84 218
4 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 64 64 113 241
5 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 100 79 73 252
6 Boston University Boston University Terriers 95 72 90 257
7 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 94 108 66 268
8 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 79 97 97 273
9 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 59 92 126 277
10 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 110 113 62 285
11 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 129 128 51 308
12 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 86 104 144 334
13 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 117 136 90 343
14 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 140 125 130 395
15 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 145 155 117 417
16 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 143 MRP 143 MRP 136 MRP 422 MRP
17 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 129 146 157 432
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 11 9 8 2 4 12 1 1 1 1 7 57 Romain Screve '21
Sammy Pickell '22
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 1 13 3 1 3 8 11 7 5 6 1 59 Nicolas Hernandez '19
Catherine Webb '23
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 7 8 14 5 1 1 8 11 2 2 5 64 Christopher Williford '19 [1-6]
Jack Mcgraw '20 [7-11]
Rebecca Mcelvain '19 [1-6]
Alyssa Berger '19 [7-11]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 6 1 1 12 2 4 9 6 7 11 14 73 Eli Burnes '22
Lena Episalla '19
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 4 2 5 14 6 3 12 15 12 3 3 79 Spencer Cartwright '22
Rachel Holick '22
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 2 4 11 16 8 17 2 2 4 5 12 83 Charles Miller '19
Lindsey Kloc '19
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 3 3 12 8 5 16 6 10 3 12 8 86 Nicholas Floyd '19
Adam Hano '23
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 9 12 15 15 7 2 7 3 6 9 9 94 Mack Fox '20
Brian Nelson '21
Boston University Boston University Terriers 5 11 2 3 11 9 15 14 8 7 10 95 Robby Gearon '19
Lexi Pline '19
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 16 5 6 4 10 13 3 12 13 16 2 100 Luke Ingalls '21
Caitlin Abel '21
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 15 6 7 7 17 14 10 8 16 4 6 110 Florian Eenkema Van Dijk '19
Juliana Testa '21
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 13 15 13 17 14 6 4 4 10 8 13 117 Thomas Whittemore '23 [1-8, 11]
Walter Henry '23 [9-10]
Lucie Welles '21 [1-8, 11]
Alexandra Wagner '22 [9]
Simon Moreira '22 [10]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 8 16 16 6 13 5 5 13 17 13 17 129 Cameron Nash '21
Gabrielle Myers '21
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 12 14 9 10 9 7 17 17 9 10 15 129 Mark Davies '20
Luke Choe '20
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 17 17 10 13 16 15 13 5 15 15 4 140 James Peraire-Bueno '19
Lynn Liu '20
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 14 10 4 9 15 10 16 9 11 14 11 143 MRP Ian Willoughby '21
Kim Kusminsky '19
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 10 7 17 11 12 11 14 16 14 17 16 145 Max Thompson '19
Kaitlyn Delisser '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 11 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 7 2 2 31 Wiley Rogers '22
Victoria Thompson '21
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 4 6 5 3 14 5 4 3 1 5 1 51 Hector Guzman '20
Maya Weber '20
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 5 2 2 8 7 6 9 4 3 3 7 56 Henry Burnes '22
Catherine Tang '19
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 12 9 2 13 4 3 9 6 1 3 64 Max Clapp '21
Madeleine Sharp '22
Boston University Boston University Terriers 6 9 3 10 2 8 13 2 2 7 10 72 Casey Cabot '21
Katherine Bertolini '21
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 3 8 6 1 3 7 15 8 13 14 79 Brendan Read '19
Lauren Richards '19
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 14 4 4 12 11 11 5 8 11 6 6 92 Nicholas Marwell '21
Helena Ware '23
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 7 16 6 9 17 2 2 5 12 16 5 97 Peter Neal '20
Brendan Little '22
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 12 11 7 4 16 7 11 16 4 12 4 104 Porter Killian '23
Emelia Bartusiak '21
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 9 5 10 5 15 9 14 13 9 4 15 108 Andrew Widmeier '20
Lily Maranto '22
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 10 14 17 15 12 10 6 6 5 10 8 113 Chris Keller '19 [1-6, 11]
Jackson Mccoy '19 [7-10]
Sarah Bunney '19 [1-6, 11]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 8 10 15 7 9 15 10 10 14 11 16 125 John Ped '21
Fiona Mckellar '20
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 15 7 13 14 6 14 12 17 10 9 11 128 Peter Schneider '20
Chloe Becker '22
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 17 15 14 11 4 16 8 12 13 17 9 136 Gordon Gurnell '22 [1-4, 7-8, 11]
William Bedford '23 [5-6, 9-10]
Charlotte Williams '21 [1-2, 5-11]
Walter Henry '23 [3-4]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 3 8 12 17 8 17 15 7 15 8 13 143 MRP Daniel Vail '21
Carla Szeplaki '20
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 16 13 11 16 5 13 RDG 11 17 14 17 146 Ryder Easterlin '20
Mitchell Moore '21
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 13 17 16 13 10 12 17 14 16 15 12 155 Andrew Scotti '20
Ariel Casaretto '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 3 13 5 8 1 5 1 1 5 2 7 51 Jan Kite-Powell '19
Emma Janson '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 11 9 1 5 2 6 5 4 11 4 62 Jack Bitney '19 [1-11]
Ashley Smith '19 [1-2]
Maria Brush '21 [3-11]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 15 10 7 4 12 3 3 3 6 2 66 Gage Schoenherr '21
Halee Lewis '21
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 7 5 4 14 11 1 4 8 6 1 6 67 Nicholas Karnovsky '19
Jessica Williams '20
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 6 7 3 6 9 4 8 6 8 13 3 73 Dakota Northrup '19 [1-11]
Caroline Rocchio '20 [1-6, 9-11]
Ryan Geib '19 [7-8]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 2 4 8 16 10 6 11 9 1 8 9 84 Michael Munger '20
Audrey Morin '21
Boston University Boston University Terriers 8 8 11 3 12 3 17 4 2 12 10 90 Kyle Dochoda '21
Emily Walker '19
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 9 1 1 15 6 10 7 15 9 5 12 90 Cj Mckenna '23 [1-10]
Analucia Clarkson '22 [11]
Katherine (Katie) Rodger '20 [1-10]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 10 6 6 4 16 13 2 7 10 7 16 97 Grant Gridley '22
Gabriel Dibiase-Demoreta '22
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 5 2 2 12 15 16 15 16 13 3 1 100 John Kirkpatrick '22
Laurel Foster '22
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 13 3 13 11 3 15 12 10 15 10 8 113 Michael Tellini '21 [1-11]
Alyssa Berger '19 [1-6]
Joshua Cherner '21 [7-11]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 11 17 7 13 8 8 5 2 16 15 15 117 Robert Turigliatto '22
Grace Harden '22
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 15 16 14 2 13 11 10 13 12 9 11 126 Sam Tobin '23 [1-11]
Becca Rose '22 [1-6, 11]
Kathryn Clulo '21 [7-10]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 16 12 15 5 2 7 14 11 17 14 17 130 Marcus Abate '20
Abigail Lee '20
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 14 9 16 10 7 9 9 14 7 16 5 136 MRP Sean Tallman '22
Jackie Morrison '23
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 12 10 12 17 17 17 16 12 14 4 13 144 William Gallagher '20 [1-10]
Joseph Laforgia '21 [11]
Meghan Perez '22 [1-10]
Lauren Nguyen '22 [11]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 17 14 17 9 14 14 13 17 11 17 14 157 Will Davies '22
Samuel Balka '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11223344556
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1212131314141515161617
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels22334455667
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green33445566778
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons44556677889
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson556677889910
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen66778899101011
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes131314141515161617171
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers7788991010111112
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats889910101111121213
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1414151516161717112
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams15151616171711223
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks99101011111212131314
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal1010111112121313141415
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1111121213131414151516
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts161617171122334
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1717112233445

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11223344556
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1212131314141515161617
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels22334455667
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green33445566778
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons44556677889
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson556677889910
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen66778899101011
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes131314141515161617171
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers7788991010111112
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats889910101111121213
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1414151516161717112
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams15151616171711223
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks99101011111212131314
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal1010111112121313141415
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1111121213131414151516
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts161617171122334
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1717112233445

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8C9C10C11C
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11223344556
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1212131314141515161617
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels22334455667
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green33445566778
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons44556677889
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson556677889910
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen66778899101011
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes131314141515161617171
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers7788991010111112
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats889910101111121213
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1414151516161717112
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams15151616171711223
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks99101011111212131314
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal1010111112121313141415
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1111121213131414151516
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts161617171122334
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1717112233445
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston University Boston University Robby Gearon '19 Lexi Pline '19
Terriers Casey Cabot '21 Katherine Bertolini '21
Kyle Dochoda '21 Emily Walker '19
Connecticut College Connecticut College Thomas Whittemore '23 [1-8, 11]
Walter Henry '23 [9-10]		 Lucie Welles '21 [1-8, 11]
Alexandra Wagner '22 [9]
Simon Moreira '22 [10]
Camels Gordon Gurnell '22 [1-4, 7-8, 11]
William Bedford '23 [5-6, 9-10]		 Charlotte Williams '21 [1-2, 5-11]
Walter Henry '23 [3-4]
Cj Mckenna '23 [1-10]
Analucia Clarkson '22 [11]		 Katherine (Katie) Rodger '20 [1-10]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Christopher Williford '19 [1-6]
Jack Mcgraw '20 [7-11]		 Rebecca Mcelvain '19 [1-6]
Alyssa Berger '19 [7-11]
Big Green Max Clapp '21 Madeleine Sharp '22
Michael Tellini '21 [1-11] Alyssa Berger '19 [1-6]
Joshua Cherner '21 [7-11]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Ian Willoughby '21 Kim Kusminsky '19
Tritons Daniel Vail '21 Carla Szeplaki '20
Sean Tallman '22 Jackie Morrison '23
Harvard University Harvard University Eli Burnes '22 Lena Episalla '19
Crimson Henry Burnes '22 Catherine Tang '19
Nicholas Karnovsky '19 Jessica Williams '20
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Charles Miller '19 Lindsey Kloc '19
Statesmen Hector Guzman '20 Maya Weber '20
Michael Munger '20 Audrey Morin '21
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology James Peraire-Bueno '19 Lynn Liu '20
Engineers John Ped '21 Fiona Mckellar '20
Marcus Abate '20 Abigail Lee '20
Northwestern University Northwestern University Mark Davies '20 Luke Choe '20
Wildcats Ryder Easterlin '20 Mitchell Moore '21
Will Davies '22 Samuel Balka '20
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Spencer Cartwright '22 Rachel Holick '22
Hawks Peter Neal '20 Brendan Little '22
Grant Gridley '22 Gabriel Dibiase-Demoreta '22
Stanford University Stanford University Romain Screve '21 Sammy Pickell '22
Cardinal Wiley Rogers '22 Victoria Thompson '21
John Kirkpatrick '22 Laurel Foster '22
Tufts University Tufts University Florian Eenkema Van Dijk '19 Juliana Testa '21
Jumbos Chris Keller '19 [1-6, 11]
Jackson Mccoy '19 [7-10]		 Sarah Bunney '19 [1-6, 11]
Jack Bitney '19 [1-11] Ashley Smith '19 [1-2]
Maria Brush '21 [3-11]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Mack Fox '20 Brian Nelson '21
Bears Andrew Widmeier '20 Lily Maranto '22
Gage Schoenherr '21 Halee Lewis '21
University of Miami University of Miami Max Thompson '19 Kaitlyn Delisser '20
Hurricanes Andrew Scotti '20 Ariel Casaretto '21
Robert Turigliatto '22 Grace Harden '22
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Nicholas Floyd '19 Adam Hano '23
Quakers Porter Killian '23 Emelia Bartusiak '21
William Gallagher '20 [1-10]
Joseph Laforgia '21 [11]		 Meghan Perez '22 [1-10]
Lauren Nguyen '22 [11]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Luke Ingalls '21 Caitlin Abel '21
Rams Brendan Read '19 Lauren Richards '19
Dakota Northrup '19 [1-11] Caroline Rocchio '20 [1-6, 9-11]
Ryan Geib '19 [7-8]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Cameron Nash '21 Gabrielle Myers '21
Catamounts Peter Schneider '20 Chloe Becker '22
Jan Kite-Powell '19 Emma Janson '19
Yale University Yale University Nicolas Hernandez '19 Catherine Webb '23
Bulldogs Nicholas Marwell '21 Helena Ware '23
Sam Tobin '23 [1-11] Becca Rose '22 [1-6, 11]
Kathryn Clulo '21 [7-10]

Conditions — 10/13/2018 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Moderate drizzle
Humidity 79%  ·  Pressure 1010.3 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 51°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 45°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.1 kn
avg  ·  max 8.7 kn
Gusts to 19.8 kn
From WNW (302°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover84% Sunshine2.3 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1010.3 hPa Rain0.12 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 9 kn · W 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Dartmouth: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.18 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.20
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Dartmouth by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (34 labelled days at Dartmouth).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →