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Chris Loder Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston University Boston University Terriers 24 73 97
2 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 77 23 100
3 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 84 63 147
4 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 88 71 159
5 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 65 97 162
6 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 93 73 166
7 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 105 63 168
8 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 91 85 176
9 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 114 78 192
10 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 69 123 192
11 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 103 106 209
12 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 89 150 239
13 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 133 168 301
14 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 163 152 315
15 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 175 145 320
16 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 173 165 338
17 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 196 213 409
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 1 1 1 1 5 3 1 7 1 1 1 24 Ravi Parent '18
Caroline Salas '18
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 2 3 2 4 7 6 1 11 8 4 5 12 65 Alexander Stewart '17 [1-10]
Joseph Paggi '16 [11-12]
Scarlett Koller '16 [1-10]
Elizabeth Zhang '16 [11-12]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 14 4 4 6 2 10 8 2 1 11 4 3 69 Matthew Kaplan '19 [1-10]
Alexander Vasiliou '18 [11-12]
Julia Rew '16 [1-10]
Jake Griffin '18 [11-12]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 7 7 9 7 8 8 2 6 2 5 8 8 77 Hugh Macgillivray '18
Eliza Garry '17
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 9 2 11 2 5 7 12 3 13 2 9 9 84 Adam Ceely '15
Victoria Pyne Mercier '19
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 5 13 7 3 3 3 6 13 10 12 11 2 88 Victoria Mcgruer '17 [1-12]
Laura Tschiegg '17 [1-6, 11-12]
Rachel Guard '19 [7-10]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 4 6 8 8 6 2 11 7 6 10 10 11 89 Frank Reeg '19
Emily Casella '17
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 10 15 15 11 10 1 4 4 3 6 7 5 91 James Moody '16
Caroline Ambros '17
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 6 12 6 12 9 9 7 8 9 3 6 6 93 Brendan Read '19
Fiona Christie '17
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 11 10 14 9 16 4 10 10 4 9 2 4 103 Sean Beaulieu '18
Emily Conaton '19
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 3 5 3 14 4 12 9 9 DNS 7 3 17 105 Conner Harding '19
Virginia Yeatts '19
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 8 8 10 10 11 13 5 5 11 8 15 10 114 Austin Lettengarver '19 [1-12]
Anna Morin '19 [1-4, 7-12]
Thomas Kiesel '19 [5-6]
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 16 9 5 5 13 11 15 12 5 13 14 15 133 Jack Ryan '19
Connor Cahill '17
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 12 16 12 13 14 16 14 15 12 16 16 7 163 Meghan Colwell '16
Alexander Baskin '19
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 15 11 13 15 15 14 16 14 16 15 13 16 173 Hannah Ker '18
Adrian Singer '19
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 17 17 16 16 12 15 13 16 14 14 12 13 175 Emmet Todd '17
Kendall Young '17
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 13 14 DNF 17 17 17 17 17 15 DNS 17 14 196 Alexandra Rice '16
Charles Zizza '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 5 1 3 1 3 1 1 1 1 4 1 1 23 Bryce Kopp '16
Victoria Allen '16
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 2 5 9 5 DNF 3 3 9 3 2 2 63 Scott Booth '16
Hallie Repeta '19
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 9 RDG 1 7 2 DNF 4 2 3 1 6 5 63 Megan Yeigh '16
Travis Bobley '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 7 8 RDG 10 8 2 6 7 2 5 4 6 71 Jackson Hamilton '19
Jacqueline Berlin '19
Boston University Boston University Terriers 3 3 7 6 9 4 5 5 7 7 5 12 73 Samuel Campbell '17 [1-10]
Charles Welsh '18 [11-12]
Hannah Callahan '16 [1-10]
Lily Lichtenstein '18 [11-12]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 4 6 10 4 6 9 8 6 4 9 3 4 73 Dakota Northrup '19
Lauren Oliveira '19
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 11 14 2 3 4 3 7 9 5 6 7 7 78 August Sturm '19 [1-12]
Dyson Lord '19 [1-2]
Erin Morgan '18 [3-12]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 RAF 9 2 1 DNF 2 4 8 2 8 9 85 Kate Shaner '16
Julia Fuller '17
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 6 5 4 5 11 6 9 11 10 8 12 10 97 Zachary Hall '18 [1-10]
Joseph Chamberlin '19 [11-12]
Pavlina Karafillis '17 [1-10]
Sophie Goemans '17 [11-12]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 8 9 13 13 7 7 10 8 6 12 10 3 106 Sam Shannon '19
Jennifer Killian '19
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 10 7 8 8 13 5 11 16 15 11 11 8 123 Louis Frumer '18 [1-10]
Jack Fullerton '19 [11-12]
Nora Cullen '18 [1-10]
Isabelle Austin-Green '19 [11-12]
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 13 10 15 16 12 8 15 12 12 10 9 13 145 Ryan Gershuny '18
Daniel Lee '18
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 12 12 6 11 14 12 13 15 16 13 15 11 150 George Luber '17
Evan Sampou '17
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 14 4 14 14 10 10 14 10 14 16 16 16 152 Jade Forsberg '17
John Rusbarsky '19
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 16 15 12 12 16 13 12 13 13 15 14 14 165 Hã©Lã¨Ne Osterman '17
Lauren Morris '17
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 15 13 16 15 15 11 16 14 11 14 13 15 168 Amy Macdonald '18
Mary Ferguson '18
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies DNS DNS 17 17 17 14 DNS DNS DNS DNS 17 17 213 Martin Hooker '18
Christian Hoofman '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (40 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats11335577991111
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers2244668810101212
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears3355779911111313
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears131315151717113355
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies141416161818224466
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels446688101012121414
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers66881010121214141616
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds77991111131315151717
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers8810101212141416161818
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers557799111113131515
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1616181822446688
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies99111113131515171711
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams17171133557799
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1010121214141616181822
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks11111313151517171133
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos12121414161618182244
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1818224466881010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats2244668810101212
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers3355779911111313
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears446688101012121414
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears141416161818224466
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1515171711335577
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels557799111113131515
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers77991111131315151717
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds8810101212141416161818
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers99111113131515171711
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers66881010121214141616
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats17171133557799
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1010121214141616181822
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1818224466881010
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks11111313151517171133
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks12121414161618182244
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos131315151717113355
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts11335577991111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bates College Bates College Jack Ryan '19 Connor Cahill '17
Bobcats Amy Macdonald '18 Mary Ferguson '18
Boston University Boston University Ravi Parent '18 Caroline Salas '18
Terriers Samuel Campbell '17 [1-10]
Charles Welsh '18 [11-12]		 Hannah Callahan '16 [1-10]
Lily Lichtenstein '18 [11-12]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Matthew Kaplan '19 [1-10]
Alexander Vasiliou '18 [11-12]		 Julia Rew '16 [1-10]
Jake Griffin '18 [11-12]
Polar Bears Louis Frumer '18 [1-10]
Jack Fullerton '19 [11-12]		 Nora Cullen '18 [1-10]
Isabelle Austin-Green '19 [11-12]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Hugh Macgillivray '18 Eliza Garry '17
Camels Bryce Kopp '16 Victoria Allen '16
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Alexander Stewart '17 [1-10]
Joseph Paggi '16 [11-12]		 Scarlett Koller '16 [1-10]
Elizabeth Zhang '16 [11-12]
Engineers Zachary Hall '18 [1-10]
Joseph Chamberlin '19 [11-12]		 Pavlina Karafillis '17 [1-10]
Sophie Goemans '17 [11-12]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Frank Reeg '19 Emily Casella '17
Buccaneers George Luber '17 Evan Sampou '17
McGill University McGill University Hannah Ker '18 Adrian Singer '19
Redbirds Hã©Lã¨Ne Osterman '17 Lauren Morris '17
Middlebury College Middlebury College Meghan Colwell '16 Alexander Baskin '19
Panthers Jade Forsberg '17 John Rusbarsky '19
Northeastern University Northeastern University Victoria Mcgruer '17 [1-12] Laura Tschiegg '17 [1-6, 11-12]
Rachel Guard '19 [7-10]
Huskies Jackson Hamilton '19 Jacqueline Berlin '19
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Conner Harding '19 Virginia Yeatts '19
Hawks Scott Booth '16 Hallie Repeta '19
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Sean Beaulieu '18 Emily Conaton '19
Seahawks Sam Shannon '19 Jennifer Killian '19
Tufts University Tufts University James Moody '16 Caroline Ambros '17
Jumbos Kate Shaner '16 Julia Fuller '17
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Austin Lettengarver '19 [1-12] Anna Morin '19 [1-4, 7-12]
Thomas Kiesel '19 [5-6]
Bears August Sturm '19 [1-12] Dyson Lord '19 [1-2]
Erin Morgan '18 [3-12]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Alexandra Rice '16 Charles Zizza '17
Huskies Martin Hooker '18 Christian Hoofman '19
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Emmet Todd '17 Kendall Young '17
Wildcats Ryan Gershuny '18 Daniel Lee '18
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Brendan Read '19 Fiona Christie '17
Rams Dakota Northrup '19 Lauren Oliveira '19
University of Vermont University of Vermont Adam Ceely '15 Victoria Pyne Mercier '19
Catamounts Megan Yeigh '16 Travis Bobley '17

Conditions — 09/26/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1033.7 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.5 kn
Gusts to 16.7 kn
From ENE (68°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover77% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1033.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn · SW 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at New Hampshire: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.07 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at New Hampshire by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at New Hampshire).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →