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Rose Bowl

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 26 43 69
2 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 52 28 80
3 Boston University Boston University Terriers 67 44 111
4 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 65 47 112
5 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 82 74 156
6 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 56 102 158
7 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 83 92 175
8 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 75 105 180
9 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 88 92 180
10 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 113 67 180
11 Santa Barbara City College Santa Barbara City College Vaqueros 53 135 188
12 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 111 79 190
13 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 117 76 193
14 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 103 94 197
15 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 134 77 211
16 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 99 115 214
17 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 175 113 288
18 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 156 132 288
19 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 173 124 297
20 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 107 214 321
21 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 159 162 321
22 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 177 MRP 153 MRP 330 MRP
23 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 193 138 331
24 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 139 202 341
25 Long Beach City College Long Beach City College Vikings 151 195 346
26 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 148 205 353
27 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 202 171 373
28 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 202 194 396
29 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 195 203 398
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 1 3 1 1 2 8 9 26 Campbell D'Eliscu '19
Rebecca Fung '19
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 6 3 8 16 6 6 2 5 52 Christophe Killian '18
Grace Mccarthy '18
Santa Barbara City College Santa Barbara City College Vaqueros 8 16 6 3 4 1 11 4 53 Silas Barton '18
Cameron Gibson '19
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 5 7 9 6 7 7 3 12 56 Matthew Hecht '16
Hope Modugno '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 9 6 1 5 14 12 17 1 65 Christopher Weis '18
Claire Hunt '19
Boston University Boston University Terriers 4 8 5 9 2 5 16 18 67 Brendan Cook '16
Caroline Salas '18
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 10 10 4 3 14 1 OCS 75 Patrick Snow '17
Mary Morocco '19
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 7 2 4 20 17 9 6 17 82 Connor Kelter '18
Kimberly Wong '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 11 17 2 5 10 23 13 83 James Moody '16
Caroline Ambros '17
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 10 17 2 22 8 4 4 21 88 Jack Swikart '15 [1-8]
Anastasia Efremkina '19 [1-5, 8]
Foster Collins '16 [6-7]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 12 9 27 8 12 20 5 6 99 Michael Pacholski '19
Annika Garrett '19
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 11 4 11 15 20 8 19 15 103 David Larson '16 [1-8]
Megan Mcknelly '17 [1-4, 7-8]
Christopher Ford '16 [5-6]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 20 18 16 10 9 16 10 8 107 Nicolas Delfino '16
No Show
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 17 12 23 13 10 13 21 2 111 Roberto Stevens '19
Katherine Jones '18
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 18 5 14 19 13 21 20 3 113 A. Tucker Atterbury '16
Breanne Baldino '16
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 19 13 21 7 18 19 9 11 117 August Sturm '19
Anna Morin '19
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 22 15 18 12 19 3 29 16 134 Ben Brough '19
Grace Carrick '18
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 16 14 19 27 24 11 14 14 139 Brian Maclean '18
Ali Sepasyar '17
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 15 20 15 23 11 18 26 20 148 Sunny Scarbrough '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Alex Newton '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Anna Rubino '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Brooke Scholl '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Long Beach City College Long Beach City College Vikings 24 24 22 21 22 15 13 10 151 Steven Hopkins '17
Mickela Medak '18
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 28 28 20 24 25 17 7 7 156 Cody Odou '17
Mitchell Baertlein '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 23 21 28 11 16 23 15 22 159 Nicholas Lenz Lenz '19
Laura Roudebush '18
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 14 23 26 17 21 27 18 27 173 Stephen Moran '16
Janika Jordan '17
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 26 26 12 14 23 29 22 23 175 Francesca Dana '18
William Pollard '18
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 13 22 7 29 15 25 27 19 177 MRP Henrik Bey '17
Olivia Macdonald '19
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 21 19 13 28 28 28 28 28 193 Soren Walljasper '17 [1-4]
Ari Tessitore '17 [5-8]
Elizabeth Ciborowski '17 [1-4]
Soren Hughes '18 [5-8]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 27 27 25 18 26 22 24 26 195 Benjamin Lipari '18 [1-8]
Sevanna Stewart '19 [1-4]
Alyssa Schultz '16 [5-6]
Hunter Meis '17 [7-8]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 25 25 24 25 27 26 25 25 202 Kip Wanaselja '16
Gabrielle Lange '18
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 29 29 29 26 29 24 12 24 202 Elsa Balton '17
Grace Davidson '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 4 10 1 1 2 4 1 5 28 Charles Willard '19
Chloe Dapp '17
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 14 7 3 6 5 1 5 2 43 Andy Reiter '19
Claire Mohun '19
Boston University Boston University Terriers 3 1 4 2 10 6 8 10 44 Charles Welsh '18
Meredith Harrington '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 8 7 4 9 8 2 7 47 Cooper Weitz '19
Robert Johnson '19
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 11 5 2 3 14 17 4 11 67 Janel Decurtis '18
Rebecca Anderson '18
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 8 15 14 10 1 3 7 16 74 Alex Woloshyn '17
Claire Riedman '16
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 13 4 13 7 3 13 6 17 76 Austin Lettengarver '19
Hannah Herring '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 5 14 6 13 8 2 16 13 77 David Cornella '17
Kathryn Cornella '16
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 2 8 8 13 10 14 23 79 Matt Cappetta '19
Connor Murphy '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 10 6 9 14 4 16 12 21 92 Molly Pleskus '18
Sarah Bunney '19
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 20 13 19 5 7 7 15 6 92 Keen Butcher '18
Sarah Punzel '19
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 21 11 RDG 15 6 14 3 12 94 Joseph Paggi '16 [1-6]
Christopher Ford '16 [7-8]
Sameena Shaffeeullah '19 [1-6]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 18 3 11 17 19 11 19 4 102 John Coakley '16
Mackenzie Freeman '18
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 12 9 RDG 9 11 20 17 14 105 Jimmy Madigan '18
Willard Hawley '18
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 6 17 12 11 17 19 11 20 113 Melissa Shadden '17
Robbie Culkin '19
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 9 20 5 19 27 23 9 3 115 Cuylar Zimmerman '19 [1-3]
Cameron Baxter '19 [4-8]
Kelly Sojka '19 [1-3]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 16 12 10 12 12 9 28 25 124 Rachel Day '17
Emily Tourtelot '17
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 7 18 18 20 18 15 21 15 132 Andrew Wilkinson '18
Madison Thompson '16
Santa Barbara City College Santa Barbara City College Vaqueros 15 16 27 18 16 22 13 8 135 Ryan Powell '17
Matthew Long '20
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 17 22 21 16 21 5 18 18 138 Leslie Poole '16 [1-4]
Nathan Jamieson '17 [5-8]
Tate Castro '17 [1-4]
Elizabeth Ciborowski '17 [5-8]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 19 26 RDG 25 15 12 10 9 153 MRP Henry Keenan '18
Chun Ting Justin Lai '16
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 26 28 15 21 25 21 25 1 162 Leah Ford '19
Kylie Sullivan '17
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 23 21 20 28 22 18 20 19 171 Gabrielle Rigby '19
Nikoline Alden '19
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 24 23 23 27 24 27 22 24 194 James Melvin '19
Sarah Paull '17
Long Beach City College Long Beach City College Vikings 25 24 29 24 23 25 23 22 195 Frank Ma '18
Iliana Acuna '16
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 28 25 25 23 20 28 27 26 202 Philip Tagatac '17
Formosa Lan '17
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 29 29 17 26 26 24 24 28 203 Morgan Frakes '17 [1-6]
Christopher Suarez '18 [7-8]
Catherine Bristow '17 [1-6]
Matthew Kirchner '17 [7-8]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 22 19 22 29 29 26 29 29 205 Ari Zeen '17 [1-3, 7-8]
Julia Jaynes '19 [4-6]
Courtney Pacheco '17 [1-3, 7-8]
John Lisenby '17 [4-6]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 27 27 28 22 28 29 26 27 214 Hayley Chong '17
Casey Bowers-Loeffler '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (19 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears371371373714141212
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers16161717662323
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang15151010223838
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars10102238381313
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears5537137137371414
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red6623239933
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers171766232399
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams22383813131919
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas23239933521521
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows1212181811111616
Long Beach City CollegeLong Beach City College Vikings38381313191911
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers99335215212727
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen8822222020113113
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks774424241515
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers131319191155
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1818111116161717
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks33521521272788
Santa Barbara City CollegeSanta Barbara City College Vaqueros19191155371371
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos5215212727882222
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans44242415151010
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies11553713713737
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos27278822222020
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters2222202011311377
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins3737141412121818
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons20201131137744
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos1414121218181111
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's11311377442424
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings24241515101022
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers11111616171766

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears2222202011311377
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers15151010223838
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang171766232399
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars6623239933
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears8822222020113113
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red22383813131919
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers10102238381313
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams23239933521521
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas38381313191911
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows774424241515
Long Beach City CollegeLong Beach City College Vikings99335215212727
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers131319191155
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen371371373714141212
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks1818111116161717
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers33521521272788
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers44242415151010
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks19191155371371
Santa Barbara City CollegeSanta Barbara City College Vaqueros5215212727882222
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos11553713713737
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans11111616171766
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies27278822222020
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos5537137137371414
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters3737141412121818
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins20201131137744
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons1414121218181111
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos11311377442424
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's1212181811111616
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings16161717662323
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers24241515101022
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston University Boston University Brendan Cook '16 Caroline Salas '18
Terriers Charles Welsh '18 Meredith Harrington '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Ben Brough '19 Grace Carrick '18
Mustang David Cornella '17 Kathryn Cornella '16
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Sunny Scarbrough '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Alex Newton '16 [3-4, 7-8]		 Anna Rubino '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Brooke Scholl '16 [3-4, 7-8]
49ers Ari Zeen '17 [1-3, 7-8]
Julia Jaynes '19 [4-6]		 Courtney Pacheco '17 [1-3, 7-8]
John Lisenby '17 [4-6]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Christophe Killian '18 Grace Mccarthy '18
Cougars Charles Willard '19 Chloe Dapp '17
Cornell University Cornell University Connor Kelter '18 Kimberly Wong '19
Big Red Alex Woloshyn '17 Claire Riedman '16
Fordham University Fordham University Roberto Stevens '19 Katherine Jones '18
Rams Matt Cappetta '19 Connor Murphy '16
Georgetown University Georgetown University Campbell D'Eliscu '19 Rebecca Fung '19
Hoyas Andy Reiter '19 Claire Mohun '19
Long Beach City College Long Beach City College Steven Hopkins '17 Mickela Medak '18
Vikings Frank Ma '18 Iliana Acuna '16
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology David Larson '16 [1-8] Megan Mcknelly '17 [1-4, 7-8]
Christopher Ford '16 [5-6]
Engineers Joseph Paggi '16 [1-6]
Christopher Ford '16 [7-8]		 Sameena Shaffeeullah '19 [1-6]
Oregon State University Oregon State University Cody Odou '17 Mitchell Baertlein '17
Beavers Andrew Wilkinson '18 Madison Thompson '16
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University A. Tucker Atterbury '16 Breanne Baldino '16
Hawks Janel Decurtis '18 Rebecca Anderson '18
Santa Barbara City College Santa Barbara City College Silas Barton '18 Cameron Gibson '19
Vaqueros Ryan Powell '17 Matthew Long '20
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Francesca Dana '18 William Pollard '18
Broncos Melissa Shadden '17 Robbie Culkin '19
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Benjamin Lipari '18 [1-8] Sevanna Stewart '19 [1-4]
Alyssa Schultz '16 [5-6]
Hunter Meis '17 [7-8]
Aggies Morgan Frakes '17 [1-6]
Christopher Suarez '18 [7-8]		 Catherine Bristow '17 [1-6]
Matthew Kirchner '17 [7-8]
Tufts University Tufts University James Moody '16 Caroline Ambros '17
Jumbos Molly Pleskus '18 Sarah Bunney '19
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy August Sturm '19 Anna Morin '19
Bears Austin Lettengarver '19 Hannah Herring '18
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Patrick Snow '17 Mary Morocco '19
Midshipmen Jimmy Madigan '18 Willard Hawley '18
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Henrik Bey '17 Olivia Macdonald '19
Bears Henry Keenan '18 Chun Ting Justin Lai '16
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Brian Maclean '18 Ali Sepasyar '17
Anteaters Philip Tagatac '17 Formosa Lan '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Nicholas Lenz Lenz '19 Laura Roudebush '18
Bruins Leah Ford '19 Kylie Sullivan '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Nicolas Delfino '16 No Show
Tritons Hayley Chong '17 Casey Bowers-Loeffler '19
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Christopher Weis '18 Claire Hunt '19
Gauchos Cooper Weitz '19 Robert Johnson '19
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Kip Wanaselja '16 Gabrielle Lange '18
Banana Slug's James Melvin '19 Sarah Paull '17
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Michael Pacholski '19 Annika Garrett '19
Rainbows Cuylar Zimmerman '19 [1-3]
Cameron Baxter '19 [4-8]		 Kelly Sojka '19 [1-3]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Stephen Moran '16 Janika Jordan '17
Ducks Rachel Day '17 Emily Tourtelot '17
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Jack Swikart '15 [1-8] Anastasia Efremkina '19 [1-5, 8]
Foster Collins '16 [6-7]
Quakers Keen Butcher '18 Sarah Punzel '19
University of Southern California University of Southern California Matthew Hecht '16 Hope Modugno '18
Trojans John Coakley '16 Mackenzie Freeman '18
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Soren Walljasper '17 [1-4]
Ari Tessitore '17 [5-8]		 Elizabeth Ciborowski '17 [1-4]
Soren Hughes '18 [5-8]
Badgers Leslie Poole '16 [1-4]
Nathan Jamieson '17 [5-8]		 Tate Castro '17 [1-4]
Elizabeth Ciborowski '17 [5-8]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Elsa Balton '17 Grace Davidson '17
Vikings Gabrielle Rigby '19 Nikoline Alden '19

Conditions — 01/02/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 41%  ·  Pressure 1017.7 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.5 kn
avg  ·  max 5.0 kn
Gusts to 10.1 kn
From S (184°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover82% Sunshine9.2 hrs Humidity41% Pressure1017.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn · SE 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Southern Cal: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.09 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.08
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.23 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Southern Cal by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Southern Cal, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →