Southern New-England Team Race

HostConnecticut College
Date03/15/2014
TypeNOT ALLOWED Interconference
BoatFJ
ScoringTeam

#	School	Team	Rec.
1	Boston College	Eagles	10–4
2	Roger Williams University	Hawks	9–5
3	University of Vermont	Catamounts	9–5
4	St. Mary's College of Maryland	Seahawks	9–5
5	Connecticut College	Camels	7–7
6	Harvard University	Crimson	6–8
7	Washington College	Shoremen	7–5
8	Boston University	Terriers	6–6
9	U. S. Coast Guard Academy	Bears	2–10
10	University of Michigan	Wolverines	1–11

Pre-event forecast

Fitted on the 2,456 team race matches sailed before 2014-03-15, using the line-ups that actually raced. It called 46 of 66 matches (70%) with a log-loss of 0.575 (a coin flip scores 0.693), so the event went about as expected for the forecast. Orderliness −0.23 ± 0.25: a typical event, more orderly than 22% of college team race events (temperature of the forecast log-odds that best fits the results, relative to the league average; nothing about the field, venue or wind predicts it, see the Weather tab). vs forecast is a team's wins minus the wins the model expected from the matches it sailed: positive means it beat its rating.

Place	School	Pred.	Strength	Boats (skipper / crew, boat value)	Pred. win %	Record	vs forecast
1	Boston College Eagles	1	11.68	Erika Reineke / Elizabeth Barnard 4.12 Raul Rios / Shelby Hamilton 4.10 7–3 William Bailey / Allison Ferraris 3.75 6–1 Harry Koeppel / Allison Ferraris 3.22 4–2 Raul Rios / Alex Palfrey 3.82 3–1 Harry Koeppel / Shelby Hamilton 3.33 0–1	80%	10–4 (71%)	−1.1
2	Roger Williams University Hawks	2	11.10 school +0.10	William Macdonald / Breanne Baldino 3.95 Connor Corgard / Abby Preston 3.59 Henry Vogel / Wendy Reuss 3.43	65%	9–5 (64%)	−0.1
3	University of Vermont Catamounts	6	10.15 school −0.20	Michael Zonnenberg / Bridget Murphy 3.69 6–4 Nate Jermain / Megan Mackinnon 3.38 5–3 Jordan Factor / Sara Anibal 3.58 4–3 Steven Pelissier / Megan Mackinnon 2.88 3–2 Michael Booker / Sara Anibal 3.46 3–1 Michael Booker / Bridget Murphy 3.39 2–1 Nate Jermain / Sara Anibal 3.48 1–1 Steven Pelissier / Sara Anibal 2.98 1–0 Michael Booker / Megan Mackinnon 3.38 1–0 Jordan Factor / Bridget Murphy 3.52 1–0	48%	9–5 (64%)	+2.3
4	St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks	4	10.89 school +0.36	Nicholas Clemence / Kaitlyn Noreen 3.61 Alexander Curtiss / Mariah Leffingwell 3.43 Jacob La Dow / Shelby Jacobs 3.43	62%	9–5 (64%)	+0.3
5	Connecticut College Camels	3	10.90 school +0.26, home +0.28	Kevin Martland / Lea Bushnell 3.91 Jordan Bothwick / Victoria Allen 2.98 7–5 Ig Schottlaender / Grace Medley 3.41 4–2 Bryce Kopp / Grace Medley 3.50 3–3 Jordan Bothwick / David Rex 2.94 0–2 Ig Schottlaender / Benjamin Meyers 3.22 0–2	64%	7–7 (50%)	−1.9
6	Harvard University Crimson	7	9.87 school −0.27	Michael Drumm / Isabel Ruane 3.65 5–8 Gram Slattery / Julia Lord 3.22 5–6 Matthew Mollerus / Sydney Karnovsky 4–6 Andrew Mollerus / Sydney Karnovsky 3.39 2–2 Brian Drumm / Jacob Bradt 3.93 2–2	40%	6–8 (43%)	+0.3
7	Washington College Shoremen	9	8.40 school +0.21	Ryan Bailey / Karlyn Long 3.07 Eric Siegel / Matthew Mcdermaid 2.37 7–3 Charles Nunn / Hannah Schmidt 2.74 7–2 Charles Nunn / Matthew Mcdermaid 2.87 0–2 Eleanor Conroy / Alexandra Crawford 1.88 0–2 Charles Nunn / Alexandra Crawford 2.95 0–1	28%	7–5 (58%)	+3.6
8	Boston University Terriers	5	9.63	Cameron Fraser / Kayla Lynch 3.29 Ryan Astwood / Indre Jankeviciute 3.21 Brendan Cook / Hannah Callahan 2.93	54%	6–6 (50%)	−0.5
9	U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears	8	9.03 school −0.32	Dylan Finneran / Jaimie Chicoine 2.58 0–9 Avery Fanning / Jennifer Lane 3.31 0–5 Avery Fanning / Robert Turley 3.39 2–3 Bradley Milliken / Robert Turley 3.10 0–4 Nikole Barnes / Michael Caballero 3.37 2–2 Nikole Barnes / Robert Turley 3.51 0–3 Bradley Milliken / Jaimie Chicoine 3.08 2–1 Bradley Milliken / Michael Caballero 3.00 0–2 Nikole Barnes / Jennifer Lane 3.45 0–1	37%	2–10 (17%)	−2.4
10	University of Michigan Wolverines	10	7.68 school +0.30	Will Cyr / Cody Oeung 2.45 Thomas Etheridge / Karinne Smolenyak 1.67 Alex Ramos / Taylor Landeryou 2.95	12%	1–11 (8%)	−0.5

Surprisal: who beat their rating

Pre-event strength against the strength that would have made each record least surprising, everything else fixed. Δ is in the model's logit units, the same scale as the boat values above (a side is three boats plus the school term); green is a clear over-performance, red a clear under-performance. Skippers need three or more matches.

Place	School	Strength	Perf.	Record	Exp. wins	Δ	Surprise (bits)	P(this good or better)
7	Washington College	8.40	10.13	7–5	3.4	+1.73	4.7	1%
3	University of Vermont	10.15	10.94	9–5	6.7	+0.80	1.3	15%
6	Harvard University	9.87	10.01	6–8	5.6	+0.15	0.0	53%
4	St. Mary's College of Maryland	10.89	11.01	9–5	8.7	+0.12	0.0	55%
2	Roger Williams University	11.10	11.06	9–5	9.1	−0.04	0.0	65%
8	Boston University	9.63	9.39	6–6	6.5	−0.24	0.1	76%
10	University of Michigan	7.68	7.22	1–11	1.5	−0.46	0.1	81%
1	Boston College	11.68	11.19	10–4	11.1	−0.49	0.4	87%
5	Connecticut College	10.90	10.20	7–7	8.9	−0.70	1.0	93%
9	U. S. Coast Guard Academy	9.03	7.50	2–10	4.4	−1.53	2.5	99%

By skipper

Skipper	School	Value	Perf.	Record	Exp. wins	Δ	Surprise (bits)	P(this good or better)
Eric Siegel	Washington College	2.37	4.56	7–3	3.1	+2.19	6.1	<1%
Ryan Bailey	Washington College	3.07	4.80	7–5	3.4	+1.73	4.7	1%
Nate Jermain	University of Vermont	3.38	4.34	6–4	3.9	+0.95	1.5	13%
Michael Zonnenberg	University of Vermont	3.69	4.64	6–4	3.9	+0.95	1.5	13%
Michael Booker	University of Vermont	3.46	4.18	6–2	4.9	+0.72	0.5	33%
Steven Pelissier	University of Vermont	2.88	3.53	4–2	3.3	+0.65	0.3	43%
Gram Slattery	Harvard University	3.22	3.79	5–6	3.9	+0.57	0.5	31%
Matthew Mollerus	Harvard University	2.81	3.32	4–6	3.0	+0.51	0.4	35%
Jordan Factor	University of Vermont	3.58	4.08	5–3	4.2	+0.50	0.3	40%
William Bailey	Boston College	3.75	4.11	6–1	5.7	+0.36	0.1	60%
Nicholas Clemence	St. Mary's College of Maryland	3.61	3.73	9–5	8.7	+0.12	0.0	55%
Alexander Curtiss	St. Mary's College of Maryland	3.43	3.55	9–5	8.7	+0.12	0.0	55%
Jacob La Dow	St. Mary's College of Maryland	3.43	3.55	9–5	8.7	+0.12	0.0	55%
Michael Drumm	Harvard University	3.65	3.73	5–8	4.8	+0.07	0.0	58%
William Macdonald	Roger Williams University	3.95	3.91	9–5	9.1	−0.04	0.0	65%
Connor Corgard	Roger Williams University	3.59	3.55	9–5	9.1	−0.04	0.0	65%
Henry Vogel	Roger Williams University	3.43	3.39	9–5	9.1	−0.04	0.0	65%
Cameron Fraser	Boston University	3.29	3.05	6–6	6.5	−0.24	0.1	76%
Ryan Astwood	Boston University	3.21	2.97	6–6	6.5	−0.24	0.1	76%
Brendan Cook	Boston University	2.93	2.70	6–6	6.5	−0.24	0.1	76%
Thomas Etheridge	University of Michigan	1.67	1.21	1–11	1.5	−0.46	0.1	81%
Alex Ramos	University of Michigan	2.95	2.49	1–11	1.5	−0.46	0.1	81%
Raul Rios	Boston College	4.10	3.61	10–4	11.1	−0.49	0.4	87%
Erika Reineke	Boston College	4.12	3.63	10–4	11.1	−0.49	0.4	87%
Bryce Kopp	Connecticut College	3.50	2.81	3–3	3.8	−0.69	0.4	89%
Jordan Bothwick	Connecticut College	2.98	2.28	7–7	8.9	−0.70	1.0	93%
Kevin Martland	Connecticut College	3.91	3.21	7–7	8.9	−0.70	1.0	93%
Ig Schottlaender	Connecticut College	3.41	2.70	4–4	5.1	−0.71	0.6	91%
Nikole Barnes	U. S. Coast Guard Academy	3.37	2.56	2–6	2.8	−0.81	0.4	91%
Andrew Mollerus	Harvard University	3.39	2.50	2–2	2.6	−0.89	0.4	92%
Brian Drumm	Harvard University	3.93	3.04	2–2	2.6	−0.89	0.4	92%
Harry Koeppel	Boston College	3.22	2.07	4–3	5.5	−1.15	1.3	97%
Bradley Milliken	U. S. Coast Guard Academy	3.10	1.73	2–7	3.8	−1.37	1.7	98%
Avery Fanning	U. S. Coast Guard Academy	3.31	1.83	2–8	4.2	−1.48	2.2	99%
Dylan Finneran	U. S. Coast Guard Academy	2.58	-0.42	0–9	2.5	≤−3.00	4.4	>99%

Match by match

Probability the model gave the side that went on to win. Red bars are upsets (the winner was given under 50%).

Rd	#	Winner	Loser	P(winner)
1	1	Connecticut College	University of Michigan	97%
1	2	Roger Williams University	U. S. Coast Guard Academy	88%
1	3	St. Mary's College of Maryland	Harvard University	81%
1	4	Boston University	University of Vermont	45%	upset
1	5	Boston College	Washington College	94%
1	6	Connecticut College	U. S. Coast Guard Academy	80%
1	7	Harvard University	University of Michigan	96%
1	8	Roger Williams University	Boston University	83%
1	9	St. Mary's College of Maryland	Washington College	92%
1	10	University of Vermont	Boston College	27%	upset
1	11	Harvard University	U. S. Coast Guard Academy	81%
1	12	Connecticut College	Boston University	79%
1	13	Washington College	University of Michigan	70%
1	14	Roger Williams University	University of Vermont	77%
1	15	Boston College	St. Mary's College of Maryland	75%
1	16	Harvard University	Boston University	47%	upset
1	17	Washington College	U. S. Coast Guard Academy	43%	upset
1	18	Connecticut College	University of Vermont	65%
1	19	St. Mary's College of Maryland	University of Michigan	96%
1	20	Boston College	Roger Williams University	71%
1	21	Washington College	Boston University	24%	upset
1	22	University of Vermont	Harvard University	70%
1	23	St. Mary's College of Maryland	U. S. Coast Guard Academy	86%
1	24	Connecticut College	Roger Williams University	45%	upset
1	25	University of Michigan	Boston College	2%	upset
1	26	University of Vermont	Washington College	78%
1	27	St. Mary's College of Maryland	Boston University	78%
1	28	Roger Williams University	Harvard University	59%
1	29	U. S. Coast Guard Academy	University of Michigan	86%
1	30	Boston College	Connecticut College	62%
1	31	University of Vermont	St. Mary's College of Maryland	40%	upset
1	32	Washington College	Roger Williams University	7%	upset
1	33	Boston University	University of Michigan	87%
1	34	Harvard University	Connecticut College	25%	upset
1	35	Boston College	U. S. Coast Guard Academy	95%
1	36	Roger Williams University	St. Mary's College of Maryland	55%
1	37	University of Vermont	University of Michigan	87%
1	38	Connecticut College	Washington College	95%
1	39	Boston University	U. S. Coast Guard Academy	73%
1	40	Boston College	Harvard University	90%
1	41	Roger Williams University	University of Michigan	96%
1	42	St. Mary's College of Maryland	Connecticut College	50%	upset
1	43	University of Vermont	U. S. Coast Guard Academy	64%
1	44	Harvard University	Washington College	82%
1	45	Boston University	Boston College	16%	upset
2	46	Roger Williams University	St. Mary's College of Maryland	55%
2	47	University of Vermont	Connecticut College	35%	upset
2	48	Boston College	Harvard University	90%
2	49	Connecticut College	Roger Williams University	45%	upset
2	50	St. Mary's College of Maryland	Harvard University	78%
2	51	Boston College	University of Vermont	73%
2	52	Harvard University	Connecticut College	27%	upset
2	53	University of Vermont	Roger Williams University	23%	upset
2	54	Boston College	St. Mary's College of Maryland	75%
2	55	University of Vermont	Harvard University	68%
2	56	St. Mary's College of Maryland	Connecticut College	50%	upset
2	57	Roger Williams University	Boston College	29%	upset
2	58	St. Mary's College of Maryland	University of Vermont	60%
2	59	Roger Williams University	Harvard University	59%
2	60	Boston College	Connecticut College	62%
3	61	Washington College	Boston University	23%	upset
3	62	Washington College	U. S. Coast Guard Academy	44%	upset
3	63	Washington College	University of Michigan	67%
3	64	Boston University	U. S. Coast Guard Academy	74%
3	65	Boston University	University of Michigan	87%
3	66	U. S. Coast Guard Academy	University of Michigan	85%

Round 1

Team	Rec.	Eagles	Hawks	Catamounts	Seahawks	Camels	Crimson	Shoremen	Terriers	Bears	Wolverines
Boston College Eagles	6–3	✕	W	L	W	W	W	W	L	W	L
Roger Williams University Hawks	6–3	L	✕	W	W	L	W	L	W	W	W
University of Vermont Catamounts	6–3	W	L	✕	W	L	W	W	L	W	W
St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks	6–3	L	L	L	✕	W	W	W	W	W	W
Connecticut College Camels	6–3	L	W	W	L	✕	L	W	W	W	W
Harvard University Crimson	5–4	L	L	L	L	W	✕	W	W	W	W
Washington College Shoremen	4–5	L	W	L	L	L	L	✕	W	W	W
Boston University Terriers	4–5	W	L	W	L	L	L	L	✕	W	W
U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears	1–8	L	L	L	L	L	L	L	L	✕	W
University of Michigan Wolverines	1–8	W	L	L	L	L	L	L	L	L	✕

Round 2

Team	Rec.	Eagles	Hawks	Catamounts	Seahawks	Camels	Crimson
Boston College Eagles	4–1	✕	L	W	W	W	W
Roger Williams University Hawks	3–2	W	✕	L	W	L	W
University of Vermont Catamounts	3–2	L	W	✕	L	W	W
St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks	3–2	L	L	W	✕	W	W
Connecticut College Camels	1–4	L	W	L	L	✕	L
Harvard University Crimson	1–4	L	L	L	L	W	✕

Round 3

Team	Rec.	Shoremen	Terriers	Bears	Wolverines
Washington College Shoremen	3–0	✕	W	W	W
Boston University Terriers	2–1	L	✕	W	W
U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears	1–2	L	L	✕	W
University of Michigan Wolverines	0–3	L	L	L	✕

Filter by team:

#					Pos.
1	Camels	1-2-3	def.	Wolverines	4-5-6
2	Hawks	1-2-5	def.	Bears	3-4-6
3	Seahawks	1-2-4	def.	Crimson	3-5-6
4	Terriers	1-2-5	def.	Catamounts	3-4-6
5	Eagles	1-2-4	def.	Shoremen	3-5-6
6	Camels	1-2-6	def.	Bears	3-4-5
7	Crimson	1-2-3	def.	Wolverines	4-5-6
8	Hawks	1-3-4	def.	Terriers	2-5-6
9	Seahawks	1-2-5	def.	Shoremen	3-4-6
10	Catamounts	1-3-5	def.	Eagles	2-4-6
11	Crimson	1-4-5	def.	Bears	2-3-6
12	Camels	1-2-5	def.	Terriers	3-4-6
13	Shoremen	1-2-5	def.	Wolverines	3-4-6
14	Hawks	1-2-3	def.	Catamounts	4-5-6
15	Eagles	1-4-5	def.	Seahawks	2-3-6
16	Crimson	2-3-4	def.	Terriers	1-5-6
17	Shoremen	1-2-5	def.	Bears	3-4-6
18	Camels	1-2-6	def.	Catamounts	3-4-5
19	Seahawks	1-2-3	def.	Wolverines	4-5-6
20	Eagles	2-3-4	def.	Hawks	1-5-6
21	Shoremen	1-3-4	def.	Terriers	2-5-6
22	Catamounts	1-4-5	def.	Crimson	2-3-6
23	Seahawks	1-2-6	def.	Bears	3-4-5
24	Camels	1-2-6	def.	Hawks	3-4-5
25	Wolverines	1-2-6	def.	Eagles	3-4-5
26	Catamounts	2-3-5	def.	Shoremen	1-4-6
27	Seahawks	1-2-4	def.	Terriers	3-5-6
28	Hawks	1-3-4	def.	Crimson	2-5-6
29	Bears	1-2-3	def.	Wolverines	4-5-6
30	Eagles	1-2-5	def.	Camels	3-4-6
31	Catamounts	2-3-4	def.	Seahawks	1-5-6
32	Shoremen	1-3-5	def.	Hawks	2-4-6
33	Terriers	1-2-5	def.	Wolverines	3-4-6
34	Crimson	1-3-4	def.	Camels	2-5-6
35	Eagles	1-2-3	def.	Bears	4-5-6
36	Hawks	1-2-4	def.	Seahawks	3-5-6
37	Catamounts	1-2-4	def.	Wolverines	3-5-6
38	Camels	1-2-4	def.	Shoremen	3-5-6
39	Terriers	1-3-5	def.	Bears	2-4-6
40	Eagles	1-2-6	def.	Crimson	3-4-5
41	Hawks	1-2-6	def.	Wolverines	3-4-5
42	Seahawks	1-2-5	def.	Camels	3-4-6
43	Catamounts	1-2-6	def.	Bears	3-4-5
44	Crimson	1-3-4	def.	Shoremen	2-5-6
45	Terriers	1-2-3	def.	Eagles	4-5-6
46	Hawks	2-3-4	def.	Seahawks	1-5-6
47	Catamounts	1-2-4	def.	Camels	3-5-6
48	Eagles	1-2-4	def.	Crimson	3-5-6
49	Camels	2-3-4	def.	Hawks	1-5-6
50	Seahawks	1-3-5	def.	Crimson	2-4-6
51	Eagles	1-2-5	def.	Catamounts	3-4-6
52	Crimson	1-2-6	def.	Camels	3-4-5
53	Catamounts	1-4-5	def.	Hawks	2-3-6
54	Eagles	1-2-4	def.	Seahawks	3-5-6
55	Catamounts	2-3-5	def.	Crimson	1-4-6
56	Seahawks	1-2-3	def.	Camels	4-5-6
57	Hawks	2-3-4	def.	Eagles	1-5-6
58	Seahawks	1-2-3	def.	Catamounts	4-5-6
59	Hawks	2-3-4	def.	Crimson	1-5-6
60	Eagles	1-2-5	def.	Camels	3-4-6
61	Shoremen	1-3-6	def.	Terriers	2-4-5
62	Shoremen	1-2-6	def.	Bears	3-4-5
63	Shoremen	1-3-6	def.	Wolverines	2-4-5
64	Terriers	2-3-4	def.	Bears	1-5-6
65	Terriers	1-2-3	def.	Wolverines	4-5-6 DNF
66	Bears	1-2-6	def.	Wolverines	3-4-5

School	Team	Skippers	Crew
Boston College	Eagles	Erika Reineke '17 Harry Koeppel '17 Raul Rios '16 William Bailey '15	Elizabeth Barnard '15 Allison Ferraris '17 Shelby Hamilton '14 Alex Palfrey '17
Roger Williams University	Hawks	Connor Corgard '16 Henry Vogel '15 William Macdonald '15	Abby Preston '15 Wendy Reuss '15 Breanne Baldino '16
University of Vermont	Catamounts	Jordan Factor '14 Michael Booker '15 Michael Zonnenberg '15 Nate Jermain '15 Steven Pelissier '14	Sara Anibal '14 Bridget Murphy '15 Megan Mackinnon '17
St. Mary's College of Maryland	Seahawks	Alexander Curtiss '16 Jacob La Dow '15 Nicholas Clemence '15	Mariah Leffingwell '16 Shelby Jacobs '17 Kaitlyn Noreen '16
Connecticut College	Camels	Bryce Kopp '16 Ig Schottlaender '14 Jordan Bothwick '15 Kevin Martland '14	Grace Medley '15 Benjamin Meyers '15 Victoria Allen '16 David Rex '14 Lea Bushnell '15
Harvard University	Crimson	Andrew Mollerus '16 Brian Drumm '15 Gram Slattery '15 Matthew Mollerus '17 Michael Drumm '15	Sydney Karnovsky '16 Jacob Bradt '16 Julia Lord '17 Isabel Ruane '14
Washington College	Shoremen	Charles Nunn '16 Eleanor Conroy '15 Eric Siegel '16 Ryan Bailey '15	Matthew Mcdermaid '17 Hannah Schmidt '17 Alexandra Crawford '16 Karlyn Long '17
Boston University	Terriers	Brendan Cook '16 Cameron Fraser '14 Ryan Astwood '16	Hannah Callahan '16 Kayla Lynch '16 Indre Jankeviciute '15
U. S. Coast Guard Academy	Bears	Avery Fanning '16 Bradley Milliken '14 Dylan Finneran '15 Nikole Barnes '17	Jennifer Lane '15 Robert Turley '16 Jaimie Chicoine '14 Michael Caballero '14
University of Michigan	Wolverines	Alex Ramos '15 Thomas Etheridge '16 Will Cyr '14	Taylor Landeryou '16 Karinne Smolenyak '15 Cody Oeung '14

Conditions — 03/15/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky

Humidity 61% · Pressure 1007.5 hPa

Temperature

47°F

↑ 52°F ↓ 37°F

Feels like 39°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

9.9 kn

avg · max 14.0 kn

Gusts to 35.6 kn

From WSW (249°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover29% Sunshine9.4 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1007.5 hPa Rain0.05 in

What this breeze does at Connecticut College — from fleet racing

Breeze: W about 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In fleet races at Connecticut College in this breeze: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)

Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Connecticut College by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (51 labelled fleet-race days at Connecticut College).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

How team race forecasts workThree boats’ ratings, a school term and a home edge; 78.8% of held-out matches called.
Play 1, Play 2, Play 4: how team races are wonHow often each play happens, how that shifts with breeze and level, and whether a star wins differently.
Which team races go to form?Orderliness is a real property of a team race regatta and nothing known in advance predicts it.

All notes →

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