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32nd Professor Stedman Hood Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 15 20 35
2 Boston University Boston University Terriers 9 38 47
3 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 20 31 51
4 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 41 11 52
5 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 30 29 59
6 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 21 47 68
7 Brown University Brown University Bears 51 18 69
8 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 48 22 70
9 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 32 42 74
10 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 29 45 74
11 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 30 52 82
12 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 45 37 82
13 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 32 53 85
14 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 54 40 94
15 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 67 30 97
16 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 58 47 105
17 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 49 65 114
18 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 53 64 117
19 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 80 69 149
20 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 76 80 156
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 5 2 1 9 Ryan Astwood '16
Kayla Lynch '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 3 3 5 15 Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon '15
Caroline Atwood '16
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 5 2 1 12 20 Ian Barrows '17
Meredith Megarry '17
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 9 4 4 4 21 Patrick Snow '17
Megan Hough '16
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 8 7 11 3 29 Michael Gemperline '17
Morgan Wheeler '15
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 3 9 12 6 30 Scott Goodrich '16
Taylor Williams '16
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 6 15 7 2 30 Christopher Ford '16
Cutter O'Connell '18
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 7 8 8 9 32 Michael Zonnenberg '15
Bridget Murphy '15
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 13 1 5 13 32 Alex Ramos '15
Meredith Wiles '17
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 15 6 6 14 41 Michael Drumm '15
Kevin Coakley '18
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 10 14 13 8 45 Michael Croteau '15
Paige Speight '16
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 12 17 17 48 Colin Murphy '15
Hope Wilson '16
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 16 11 15 7 49 Bradley Brown '15
Joshua Moan '15
Brown University Brown University Bears 14 16 10 11 51 Pearson Potts '16
Lydia Whiteford '15
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 11 10 16 16 53 Benton Morton '14
Jillian Tucker '15
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 17 18 9 10 54 John Silvestri '16
Baillie Lawless '15
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 12 13 18 15 58 Ellis Tonissi '15
Alix Israel '15
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 18 17 14 18 67 Patrick Penwell '16
Jack Hurley '18
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 19 19 19 19 76 No Show
No Show
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 20 20 20 20 80 Elizabeth Siegal '16
Shawn Patel '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 4 1 3 3 11 Andrew Mollerus '16
Sydney Karnovsky '16
Brown University Brown University Bears 3 2 2 11 18 Nathan Allman '16
Ragna Eide '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 6 4 1 9 20 Duncan Swain '15
Erin Bondy '15
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 8 4 8 22 Robert Floyd '17
Sophia Diserio '18
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 12 3 9 5 29 Chloe Lepert '15
Jorlyn Le Garrec '17
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 11 10 7 2 30 Matthew Coughlin '16
Matthew Sola '15
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 1 12 6 12 31 Marly Isler '16
Natalya Doris '17
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 10 7 5 15 37 William Hawk '18
Julia Rew '16
Boston University Boston University Terriers 8 5 11 14 38 Brendan Cook '16
Hannah Callahan '16
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 7 16 10 7 40 Charles Welsh '18
Angelina Todaro '16
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 16 6 16 4 42 Nate Jermain '15
Travis Bobley '17
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 5 9 18 13 45 Dirk Johnson '18
Megan Roach '18
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 13 13 15 6 47 Alexander Giordano '15
Albert Rodiger '18
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 14 15 17 1 47 Gary Prieto '18
Molly Hanson '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 17 11 8 16 52 Elise Gehling '17
Jacqueline Berlin '19
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 15 14 14 10 53 Thomas Etheridge '16 [1-2]
Mason Wolters '18 [3-4]
Emily Gazall '16 [1-2]
Lane Tobin '18 [3-4]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 18 17 12 17 64 David Rogers '15
Paulina Spencer '16
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 9 18 19 19 65 Harry Hoffman '18
Erin Morgan '18
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 19 19 13 18 69 Michael Fagundo '18
Lily Taylor '18
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 20 20 20 20 80 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.180+0.18
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers1133
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears2244
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears3355
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears16161818
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions4466
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels5577
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green6688
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson7799
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines18182020
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers881010
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen17171919
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack991111
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies10101212
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams19192121
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester11111414
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks12121515
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks14141616
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos15151717
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts202011
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs212122

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers2244
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears3355
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears4466
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears17171919
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions5577
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels6688
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green7799
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson881010
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines19192121
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers991111
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen18182020
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack10101212
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies11111414
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams202011
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester12121515
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks14141616
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks15151717
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos16161818
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts212122
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1133
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston University Boston University Ryan Astwood '16 Kayla Lynch '16
Terriers Brendan Cook '16 Hannah Callahan '16
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Michael Croteau '15 Paige Speight '16
Polar Bears William Hawk '18 Julia Rew '16
Brown University Brown University Pearson Potts '16 Lydia Whiteford '15
Bears Nathan Allman '16 Ragna Eide '16
Columbia University Columbia University Elizabeth Siegal '16 Shawn Patel '15
Lions Michael Fagundo '18 Lily Taylor '18
Connecticut College Connecticut College Ellis Tonissi '15 Alix Israel '15
Camels Alexander Giordano '15 Albert Rodiger '18
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Colin Murphy '15 Hope Wilson '16
Big Green Robert Floyd '17 Sophia Diserio '18
Harvard University Harvard University Michael Drumm '15 Kevin Coakley '18
Crimson Andrew Mollerus '16 Sydney Karnovsky '16
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Christopher Ford '16 Cutter O'Connell '18
Engineers Chloe Lepert '15 Jorlyn Le Garrec '17
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Benton Morton '14 Jillian Tucker '15
Wolfpack David Rogers '15 Paulina Spencer '16
Northeastern University Northeastern University Scott Goodrich '16 Taylor Williams '16
Huskies Elise Gehling '17 Jacqueline Berlin '19
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology No Show No Show
Rochester No Show No Show
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Michael Gemperline '17 Morgan Wheeler '15
Hawks Dirk Johnson '18 Megan Roach '18
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University John Silvestri '16 Baillie Lawless '15
Seahawks Charles Welsh '18 Angelina Todaro '16
Tufts University Tufts University Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon '15 Caroline Atwood '16
Jumbos Duncan Swain '15 Erin Bondy '15
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bradley Brown '15 Joshua Moan '15
Bears Harry Hoffman '18 Erin Morgan '18
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Patrick Snow '17 Megan Hough '16
Midshipmen Gary Prieto '18 Molly Hanson '17
University of Michigan University of Michigan Alex Ramos '15 Meredith Wiles '17
Wolverines Thomas Etheridge '16 [1-2]
Mason Wolters '18 [3-4]		 Emily Gazall '16 [1-2]
Lane Tobin '18 [3-4]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Patrick Penwell '16 Jack Hurley '18
Rams Matthew Coughlin '16 Matthew Sola '15
University of Vermont University of Vermont Michael Zonnenberg '15 Bridget Murphy '15
Catamounts Nate Jermain '15 Travis Bobley '17
Yale University Yale University Ian Barrows '17 Meredith Megarry '17
Bulldogs Marly Isler '16 Natalya Doris '17

Conditions — 09/27/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 51%  ·  Pressure 1021.2 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 76°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.0 kn
avg  ·  max 5.8 kn
Gusts to 11.1 kn
From WSW (255°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity51% Pressure1021.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 5 kn · SW 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tufts: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.14 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.18
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.19 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tufts by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (60 labelled days at Tufts).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →