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70th Prof Erwin Schell Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 143 83 226
2 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 116 112 228
3 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 123 107 230
4 Brown University Brown University Bears 144 94 238
5 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 85 176 261
6 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 153 125 278
7 Boston College Boston College Eagles 127 178 305
8 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 182 123 305
9 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 180 134 314
10 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 183 152 335
11 Boston University Boston University Terriers 158 182 340
12 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 184 159 343
13 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 170 212 382
14 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 154 235 389
15 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 173 251 424
16 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 263 207 470
17 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 257 229 486
18 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 241 319 560
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 7 1 4 7 11 6 4 2 8 2 2 2 3 2 1 5 9 9 85 Sean Bouchard '12 [1-18]
Kelly Stannard '12 [1-12]
Tyler Wilson '12 [13-18]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 9 5 13 4 5 1 6 3 DNF 6 4 12 2 4 3 15 2 3 116 Brendan Kopp '12 [1-18]
Sarah Pierson '14 [1-4, 11-18]
Richard Bergsund '15 [5-10]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 10 18 1 11 14 4 2 1 3 7 11 10 13 10 2 2 3 1 123 Joseph Morris '12 [1-18]
Isabel Elliman '12 [1-2]
Heather May '13 [3-18]
Boston College Boston College Eagles 5 6 3 14 8 9 15 9 7 4 3 3 12 3 5 12 1 8 127 Anne Haeger '12 [1-18]
Emily Massa '12 [1-8]
Patrick Hession '13 [9-18]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 15 13 5 3 10 2 9 5 9 9 7 1 4 9 8 10 12 12 143 Sam Williams '12
Matthew Habig '13
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 3 10 5 1 10 7 BKD 11 12 16 6 11 5 15 8 6 10 144 Colin Smith '13 [1-18]
Louisa Chafee '14 [1-4, 10-18]
Michael Yanagisawa '13 [5-9]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 1 7 2 13 9 7 13 10 2 16 6 4 5 6 13 9 14 16 153 Andrew Sommer '13 [1-18]
Stephanie Tong '12 [1-4, 16-18]
Mark Van De Loo '13 [5-15]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 18 4 8 10 7 13 3 17 1 1 9 15 6 14 4 1 10 13 154 James Simmons '13
Margaret Craig '13
Boston University Boston University Terriers 6 10 12 RDG 16 8 5 15 12 8 1 8 8 1 9 6 18 5 158 Ryan Pesch '12 [1-18]
Alejandra Higgins '13 [1-4]
Lalitha Kumaresan '13 [5-18]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 3 11 14 BKD 13 3 8 6 6 15 14 5 7 7 16 18 5 11 170 Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk '14 [1-18]
Janelle Veary '15 [1-4]
Lukas Scott '16 [5-10]
Becker Awqatty '14 [11-18]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 12 2 15 2 BKD 14 1 4 5 10 12 11 17 18 12 17 8 6 173 Peter Pellegrini '12 [1-18]
Mary Clawson '15 [1-2]
Sarah Muzyka '12 [3-14]
Christopher Jensen '14 [15-18]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 17 8 7 12 4 17 11 14 10 13 13 14 1 8 18 7 4 2 180 Kevin Martland '14 [1-8, 10-18]
Brendan Heussler '12 [9]
Elizabeth Wilsterman '12 [1-2, 11-14, 16-18]
Alexander Giordano '15 [3-8, 10]
Lea Bushnell '15 [9]
Ig Schottlaender '14 [15]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 13 14 9 9 6 16 14 7 17 3 5 9 14 11 7 13 11 4 182 Massimo Soriano '12 [1-8, 10-18]
William Hutchings '13 [9]
Madeline Luce '13 [1-2, 17-18]
Charles Proctor '14 [3-8, 10-16]
Massimo Soriano '12 [9]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 8 16 17 1 3 11 BKD BKD 15 11 8 16 15 12 6 3 7 14 183 Bradley Milliken '14 [1-18]
Amanda Hamlet '12 [1-8, 10-18]
Matthew Stroebel '12 [9]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 16 9 11 8 2 12 16 8 4 5 15 13 16 15 10 4 13 7 184 Olin Davis '14 [1-18]
Bridget Murphy '15 [1-6, 13-14]
Connor Aswad '12 [7-12, 15-18]
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 14 17 6 6 17 5 10 11 14 18 DNS DNS 10 16 11 14 16 18 241 Blake Burgess '15
Nicholas Cabral '15
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 4 12 18 15 12 18 12 13 16 17 17 17 9 17 17 11 17 15 257 David Pierce '12 [1-18]
Camilla Nivison '14 [1-4]
Edward Moan '14 [5-18]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 11 15 16 DNF 15 15 DNF 16 13 14 10 7 18 13 14 16 15 17 263 Peter Edmunds '14 [1-10, 15-18]
James Rohman '13 [11-14]
Mae Speight '13 [1-4]
Tom Peabody '14 [5-9]
Benjmain Berg '12 [10-18]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 5 3 1 3 4 2 5 4 13 4 1 1 2 14 5 14 1 1 83 Matthew Wefer '14 [1-18]
Charlotte Snow '15 [1-4]
Colin Murphy '15 [5-8]
Ian Storck '15 [9-18]
Brown University Brown University Bears 6 5 2 4 2 3 6 6 4 3 7 14 3 6 6 1 10 6 94 Tommy Fink '13
Ashley Noble '13
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 3 9 4 1 3 1 17 3 16 10 2 10 7 2 1 11 3 4 107 Cam Cullman '13 [1-18]
Genoa Warner '12 [1-8, 13-18]
Zachary Foreman '13 [9]
Margot Benedict '12 [10-12]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 1 10 3 8 6 5 12 11 17 2 5 2 1 9 9 4 4 3 112 Emily Lambert '12 [1-18]
Alexandra Jumper '12 [1-8, 10-18]
Ben Lamont '14 [9]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 15 12 8 9 1 6 1 10 11 1 4 3 8 7 2 5 15 5 123 William Haeger '14 [1-18]
Paula Grasberger '14 [1-4]
David Liebenberg '14 [5-18]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 7 2 14 7 7 7 2 2 5 7 11 7 5 16 8 2 7 9 125 Eamon Glackin '12 [1-18]
Kelden Pehr '13 [1-4, 7-8, 10-18]
Steven Drapcho '13 [5-6, 9]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 8 1 6 16 8 13 9 8 1 9 17 5 4 4 4 8 11 2 134 Peter Miller '13 [1-12]
Benjamin Bainbridge '12 [13-18]
Marina Gluckman '12 [1-4]
Ryan Daly '14 [5-10]
Katherine Andril '13 [11-18]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 14 6 13 5 5 4 4 9 2 11 10 11 13 3 16 7 9 10 152 William Howard '14 [1-18]
Jaimie Chicoine '14 [1-8, 10-18]
Matthew Stroebel '12 [9]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 10 8 9 2 15 9 8 1 10 6 8 6 9 10 15 16 5 12 159 Jordan Factor '14 [1-9]
Michael Zonnenberg '15 [10-18]
Amanda Donohue '13 [1-8]
Erin Pierce '12 [9]
Jordan Factor '14 [10-12]
Laura Walsh-Rogalski '12 [13-18]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 13 11 12 13 17 15 11 7 6 14 9 13 14 1 7 3 2 8 176 William Macdonald '15 [1-12]
Alec Anderson '13 [13-18]
Sophie Bellacosa '13 [1-4, 13-14]
James Bartlein '15 [5-12]
Tyler Wilson '12 [15-18]
Boston College Boston College Eagles 4 16 18 6 11 10 3 15 12 5 6 4 11 11 13 18 8 7 178 William Bailey '15 [1-9]
Ryan Mullins '13 [10-18]
Molly Clarke '13 [1-4, 7-8]
Kelly Roy '13 [5-6, 9-18]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 9 4 10 10 10 8 7 5 3 12 16 18 16 5 10 9 16 14 182 Matt Johnson '12 [1-18]
Fiona Gordon '12 [1-4, 7-14, 17-18]
Cameron Fraser '14 [5-6, 15-16]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 16 17 15 11 12 14 13 16 7 16 14 8 6 12 3 6 6 15 207 Jeff Goodrich '12 [1-8]
Michael Croteau '15 [9-18]
Clare-Elizabeth Henry '12 [1-2, 11-18]
Benjmain Berg '12 [3-9]
Tom Peabody '14 [10]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 11 13 7 14 16 17 10 12 8 8 3 15 12 13 18 12 12 11 212 Conor Lodge '14 [1-18]
Estelle Beguin '14 [1-4, 17-18]
Becker Awqatty '14 [5-6]
Scott Goodrich '16 [7-16]
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 17 7 11 12 9 11 14 13 9 13 12 16 17 17 14 10 14 13 229 Tommy Holmberg '13 [1-18]
Katlyn Flynn '15 [1-8, 15-16]
Camilla Nivison '14 [9-14, 17-18]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 14 5 15 14 16 15 17 15 17 13 12 10 15 12 13 13 17 235 Alex Whipple '15 [1-8, 11-18]
Matthew Sola '15 [9-10]
Liv Gunnarsson '12 [1-6, 11-18]
Matthew Sola '15 [7-8]
Alex Whipple '15 [9-10]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 12 15 17 17 13 12 16 14 14 15 15 9 15 8 11 15 17 16 251 Kyle Carney '13 [1-2, 5-8, 10, 13-16]
Robert Lippincott '14 [3-4, 9, 11-12, 17-18]
Mary Zeolla '13 [1-2, 5-6, 10, 13-14]
Christopher Jensen '14 [3-4, 11-12]
Robert Lippincott '14 [7-8, 17-18]
Kyle Carney '13 [9]
Jennifer Poole '14 [15-16]
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 18 18 16 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 17 18 18 17 17 18 18 319 Andrew Mchenry '13
Kyle Robbins '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2008 (23 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A17A18A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats181817171616151514141313121211111010
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles1717181811223344556677
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers1414131312121111101099887766
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears16161515141413131212111110109988
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears15151616171718181122334455
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears121211111010998877665544
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels131314141515161617171818112233
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green1111121213131414151516161717181811
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson10109988776655443322
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners88776655443322111818
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers9910101111121213131414151516161717
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies778899101011111212131314141515
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams3344556677889910101111
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks665544332211181817171616
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks55667788991010111112121313
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos4433221118181717161615151414
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts22111818171716161515141413131212
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs112233445566778899

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B17B18B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats181817171616151514141313121211111010
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles1717181811223344556677
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers1414131312121111101099887766
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears16161515141413131212111110109988
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears15151616171718181122334455
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears121211111010998877665544
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels131314141515161617171818112233
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green1111121213131414151516161717181811
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson10109988776655443322
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners88776655443322111818
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers9910101111121213131414151516161717
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies778899101011111212131314141515
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams3344556677889910101111
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks665544332211181817171616
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks55667788991010111112121313
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos4433221118181717161615151414
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts22111818171716161515141413131212
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs112233445566778899
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bates College Bates College David Pierce '12 [1-18] Camilla Nivison '14 [1-4]
Edward Moan '14 [5-18]
Bobcats Tommy Holmberg '13 [1-18] Katlyn Flynn '15 [1-8, 15-16]
Camilla Nivison '14 [9-14, 17-18]
Boston College Boston College Anne Haeger '12 [1-18] Emily Massa '12 [1-8]
Patrick Hession '13 [9-18]
Eagles William Bailey '15 [1-9]
Ryan Mullins '13 [10-18]		 Molly Clarke '13 [1-4, 7-8]
Kelly Roy '13 [5-6, 9-18]
Boston University Boston University Ryan Pesch '12 [1-18] Alejandra Higgins '13 [1-4]
Lalitha Kumaresan '13 [5-18]
Terriers Matt Johnson '12 [1-18] Fiona Gordon '12 [1-4, 7-14, 17-18]
Cameron Fraser '14 [5-6, 15-16]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Peter Edmunds '14 [1-10, 15-18]
James Rohman '13 [11-14]		 Mae Speight '13 [1-4]
Tom Peabody '14 [5-9]
Benjmain Berg '12 [10-18]
Polar Bears Jeff Goodrich '12 [1-8]
Michael Croteau '15 [9-18]		 Clare-Elizabeth Henry '12 [1-2, 11-18]
Benjmain Berg '12 [3-9]
Tom Peabody '14 [10]
Brown University Brown University Colin Smith '13 [1-18] Louisa Chafee '14 [1-4, 10-18]
Michael Yanagisawa '13 [5-9]
Bears Tommy Fink '13 Ashley Noble '13
Connecticut College Connecticut College Kevin Martland '14 [1-8, 10-18]
Brendan Heussler '12 [9]		 Elizabeth Wilsterman '12 [1-2, 11-14, 16-18]
Alexander Giordano '15 [3-8, 10]
Lea Bushnell '15 [9]
Ig Schottlaender '14 [15]
Camels Peter Miller '13 [1-12]
Benjamin Bainbridge '12 [13-18]		 Marina Gluckman '12 [1-4]
Ryan Daly '14 [5-10]
Katherine Andril '13 [11-18]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Sam Williams '12 Matthew Habig '13
Big Green Matthew Wefer '14 [1-18] Charlotte Snow '15 [1-4]
Colin Murphy '15 [5-8]
Ian Storck '15 [9-18]
Harvard University Harvard University Brendan Kopp '12 [1-18] Sarah Pierson '14 [1-4, 11-18]
Richard Bergsund '15 [5-10]
Crimson Emily Lambert '12 [1-18] Alexandra Jumper '12 [1-8, 10-18]
Ben Lamont '14 [9]
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Blake Burgess '15 Nicholas Cabral '15
Mariners Andrew Mchenry '13 Kyle Robbins '13
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Andrew Sommer '13 [1-18] Stephanie Tong '12 [1-4, 16-18]
Mark Van De Loo '13 [5-15]
Beavers Eamon Glackin '12 [1-18] Kelden Pehr '13 [1-4, 7-8, 10-18]
Steven Drapcho '13 [5-6, 9]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk '14 [1-18] Janelle Veary '15 [1-4]
Lukas Scott '16 [5-10]
Becker Awqatty '14 [11-18]
Huskies Conor Lodge '14 [1-18] Estelle Beguin '14 [1-4, 17-18]
Becker Awqatty '14 [5-6]
Scott Goodrich '16 [7-16]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Sean Bouchard '12 [1-18] Kelly Stannard '12 [1-12]
Tyler Wilson '12 [13-18]
Hawks William Macdonald '15 [1-12]
Alec Anderson '13 [13-18]		 Sophie Bellacosa '13 [1-4, 13-14]
James Bartlein '15 [5-12]
Tyler Wilson '12 [15-18]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Peter Pellegrini '12 [1-18] Mary Clawson '15 [1-2]
Sarah Muzyka '12 [3-14]
Christopher Jensen '14 [15-18]
Seahawks Kyle Carney '13 [1-2, 5-8, 10, 13-16]
Robert Lippincott '14 [3-4, 9, 11-12, 17-18]		 Mary Zeolla '13 [1-2, 5-6, 10, 13-14]
Christopher Jensen '14 [3-4, 11-12]
Robert Lippincott '14 [7-8, 17-18]
Kyle Carney '13 [9]
Jennifer Poole '14 [15-16]
Tufts University Tufts University Massimo Soriano '12 [1-8, 10-18]
William Hutchings '13 [9]		 Madeline Luce '13 [1-2, 17-18]
Charles Proctor '14 [3-8, 10-16]
Massimo Soriano '12 [9]
Jumbos William Haeger '14 [1-18] Paula Grasberger '14 [1-4]
David Liebenberg '14 [5-18]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bradley Milliken '14 [1-18] Amanda Hamlet '12 [1-8, 10-18]
Matthew Stroebel '12 [9]
Bears William Howard '14 [1-18] Jaimie Chicoine '14 [1-8, 10-18]
Matthew Stroebel '12 [9]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island James Simmons '13 Margaret Craig '13
Rams Alex Whipple '15 [1-8, 11-18]
Matthew Sola '15 [9-10]		 Liv Gunnarsson '12 [1-6, 11-18]
Matthew Sola '15 [7-8]
Alex Whipple '15 [9-10]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Olin Davis '14 [1-18] Bridget Murphy '15 [1-6, 13-14]
Connor Aswad '12 [7-12, 15-18]
Catamounts Jordan Factor '14 [1-9]
Michael Zonnenberg '15 [10-18]		 Amanda Donohue '13 [1-8]
Erin Pierce '12 [9]
Jordan Factor '14 [10-12]
Laura Walsh-Rogalski '12 [13-18]
Yale University Yale University Joseph Morris '12 [1-18] Isabel Elliman '12 [1-2]
Heather May '13 [3-18]
Bulldogs Cam Cullman '13 [1-18] Genoa Warner '12 [1-8, 13-18]
Zachary Foreman '13 [9]
Margot Benedict '12 [10-12]

Conditions — 10/29/2011 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 74%  ·  Pressure 1019.7 hPa

Temperature

42°F
↑ 47°F   ↓ 37°F
Feels like 33°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.6 kn
avg  ·  max 16.0 kn
Gusts to 32.1 kn
From NE (56°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine3.2 hrs Humidity74% Pressure1019.7 hPa Rain0.48 in Snow0.28 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 18 kn · N 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at MIT: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.14 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.18
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.24 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at MIT by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (112 labelled days at MIT).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →