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73rd Annual Professor Schell Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 39 57 96
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 59 43 102
3 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 44 63 107
4 Boston College Boston College Eagles 50 67 117
5 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 55 62 117
6 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 53 82 135
7 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 68 83 151
8 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 51 101 152
9 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 88 69 157
10 Brown University Brown University Bears 74 85 159
11 Boston University Boston University Terriers 91 77 168
12 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 97 73 170
13 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 112 67 179
14 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 104 99 203
15 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 121 102 223
16 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 147 127 274
17 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 143 138 281
18 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 144 145 289
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 8 3 5 5 2 1 11 3 1 39 Matthew Wefer '14
Avery Plough '14
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 7 5 12 1 11 2 1 1 4 44 Graham Landy '15
Katherine Gaumond '15
Boston College Boston College Eagles 9 4 4 7 7 6 3 7 3 50 Raul Rios '16
Shelby Hamilton '14
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 10 2 4 8 16 2 2 5 51 Michael Zonnenberg '15
Bridget Murphy '15
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 3 6 1 8 5 9 7 4 10 53 William Macdonald '15
Breanne Baldino '16
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 11 12 3 2 9 3 8 5 2 55 Kevin Martland '14
Lea Bushnell '15
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 5 2 7 3 1 18 4 12 7 59 William Haeger '14
Paula Grasberger '14
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 10 1 11 10 3 4 15 6 8 68 David Alfonso '14 [1-9]
Kayla Ngan '15 [1]
Iris Xu '14 [2-9]
Brown University Brown University Bears 4 9 8 6 13 5 9 9 11 74 Lucas Adams '15
Louisa Chafee '14
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 15 8 9 11 6 12 6 15 6 88 Jack Mcguire '17
Charlotte Williamson '15
Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 15 16 9 4 10 13 14 9 91 Cameron Fraser '14
Kayla Lynch '16
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 6 18 6 13 10 7 14 8 15 97 Andrew Mollerus '16 [1-4]
Michael Drumm '15 [5-9]
Sydney Karnovsky '16 [1-4]
Isabel Ruane '14 [5-9]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 13 7 15 14 12 8 12 11 12 104 Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk '14
Janelle Veary '15
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 14 13 10 16 15 13 5 13 13 112 Avery Fanning '16
Nikolia Kruger '17
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 17 14 13 12 14 15 10 10 16 121 Caleb Armstrong '16 [1-6]
Patrick Penwell '16 [7-9]
Elizabeth Durgin '16 [1-6]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 18 11 18 15 16 11 18 18 18 143 Kyle Brego '17 [1-8]
George Luber '17 [9]
Kaitlyn Nanartowich '14 [1-8]
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 16 16 14 17 17 14 16 17 17 144 Edward Moan '14
Samuel Wells '15
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 12 17 17 DSQ 18 17 17 16 14 147 Robert Lippincott '14 [1-8]
Shannon Killian '16 [9]
Baillie Lawless '15 [1-8]
Mary Clawson '15 [9]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 3 1 3 1 2 3 17 12 43 Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon '15
Sam Madden '15
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 4 2 6 11 15 1 11 5 2 57 Scott Houck '15
Julia Mckown '17
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 17 11 3 2 4 10 1 4 10 62 Bryce Kopp '16
Victoria Allen '16
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 2 5 7 7 3 4 13 7 15 63 Christopher Segerblom '14
Sarah Smith '15
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 3 1 18 18 16 3 2 2 4 67 Nikole Barnes '17 [1-6]
Bradley Milliken '14 [7-9]
Robert Turley '16 [1-6]
Boston College Boston College Eagles 7 6 2 4 8 8 15 3 14 67 William Bailey '15
Katherine Wysocki '15
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 6 14 4 8 2 7 9 16 3 69 Tom Peabody '14
Paige Speight '16
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 10 4 5 16 9 11 5 8 5 73 Brian Drumm '15
Jacob Bradt '16
Boston University Boston University Terriers 12 12 14 5 5 5 4 13 7 77 Ryan Astwood '16
Margaret Swanson '16
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 5 7 9 1 7 16 16 10 11 82 Connor Corgard '16 [1-8]
Henry Vogel '15 [9]
Samantha Bobo '15 [1-8]
Wendy Reuss '15 [9]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 9 15 15 6 10 13 8 6 1 83 David Larson '16 [1-4, 7-9]
Joseph Paggi '16 [5-6]
Jordan Ladd '17 [1-4, 7-9]
Kayla Ngan '15 [5-6]
Brown University Brown University Bears 11 8 16 15 12 9 7 1 6 85 Tyler Rice '14 [1-4]
Judge Ryan '14 [5-9]
Helen Lord '14 [1-4]
Jessica O'Dell '17 [5-9]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 8 17 8 10 13 12 6 12 13 99 Conor Lodge '14
Estelle Beguin '14
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 13 9 13 9 11 DSQ 10 9 8 101 Nate Jermain '15 [1-9]
Megan Mackinnon '17 [1-6]
Sara Anibal '14 [7-9]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 14 10 10 17 6 6 12 11 16 102 Matthew Coughlin '16 [1-4]
Samuel Cushing '15 [5-9]
Kaitlyn Norton '15 [1-4]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 15 13 12 12 14 17 17 18 9 127 John Silvestri '16 [1-7]
Christopher Jensen '14 [8-9]
Angelina Todaro '16 [1-7]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 16 18 11 13 18 15 14 15 18 138 Sean Mclaughlin '15
Emily Casella '17
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 18 16 17 14 17 14 18 14 17 145 Samuel Scribner '15
Connor Bair-Cucchiaro '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2008 (23 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats112233445
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles22111818171716
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers556677889
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears334455667
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears4433221118
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears778899101011
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels665544332
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green887766554
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson9910101111121213
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers111112121313141415
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers10109988776
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies121211111010998
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams161615151414131312
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks131314141515161617
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks141413131212111110
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos15151616171718181
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1717181811223
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181817171616151514

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats112233445
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles22111818171716
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers556677889
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears334455667
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears4433221118
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears778899101011
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels665544332
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green887766554
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson9910101111121213
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers111112121313141415
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers10109988776
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies121211111010998
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams161615151414131312
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks131314141515161617
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks141413131212111110
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos15151616171718181
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1717181811223
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181817171616151514
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bates College Bates College Edward Moan '14 Samuel Wells '15
Bobcats Samuel Scribner '15 Connor Bair-Cucchiaro '15
Boston College Boston College Raul Rios '16 Shelby Hamilton '14
Eagles William Bailey '15 Katherine Wysocki '15
Boston University Boston University Cameron Fraser '14 Kayla Lynch '16
Terriers Ryan Astwood '16 Margaret Swanson '16
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Jack Mcguire '17 Charlotte Williamson '15
Polar Bears Tom Peabody '14 Paige Speight '16
Brown University Brown University Lucas Adams '15 Louisa Chafee '14
Bears Tyler Rice '14 [1-4]
Judge Ryan '14 [5-9]		 Helen Lord '14 [1-4]
Jessica O'Dell '17 [5-9]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Kevin Martland '14 Lea Bushnell '15
Camels Bryce Kopp '16 Victoria Allen '16
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Matthew Wefer '14 Avery Plough '14
Big Green Scott Houck '15 Julia Mckown '17
Harvard University Harvard University Andrew Mollerus '16 [1-4]
Michael Drumm '15 [5-9]		 Sydney Karnovsky '16 [1-4]
Isabel Ruane '14 [5-9]
Crimson Brian Drumm '15 Jacob Bradt '16
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology David Alfonso '14 [1-9] Kayla Ngan '15 [1]
Iris Xu '14 [2-9]
Engineers David Larson '16 [1-4, 7-9]
Joseph Paggi '16 [5-6]		 Jordan Ladd '17 [1-4, 7-9]
Kayla Ngan '15 [5-6]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Kyle Brego '17 [1-8]
George Luber '17 [9]		 Kaitlyn Nanartowich '14 [1-8]
Buccaneers Sean Mclaughlin '15 Emily Casella '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk '14 Janelle Veary '15
Huskies Conor Lodge '14 Estelle Beguin '14
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University William Macdonald '15 Breanne Baldino '16
Hawks Connor Corgard '16 [1-8]
Henry Vogel '15 [9]		 Samantha Bobo '15 [1-8]
Wendy Reuss '15 [9]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Robert Lippincott '14 [1-8]
Shannon Killian '16 [9]		 Baillie Lawless '15 [1-8]
Mary Clawson '15 [9]
Seahawks John Silvestri '16 [1-7]
Christopher Jensen '14 [8-9]		 Angelina Todaro '16 [1-7]
Tufts University Tufts University William Haeger '14 Paula Grasberger '14
Jumbos Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon '15 Sam Madden '15
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Avery Fanning '16 Nikolia Kruger '17
Bears Nikole Barnes '17 [1-6]
Bradley Milliken '14 [7-9]		 Robert Turley '16 [1-6]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Caleb Armstrong '16 [1-6]
Patrick Penwell '16 [7-9]		 Elizabeth Durgin '16 [1-6]
Rams Matthew Coughlin '16 [1-4]
Samuel Cushing '15 [5-9]		 Kaitlyn Norton '15 [1-4]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Michael Zonnenberg '15 Bridget Murphy '15
Catamounts Nate Jermain '15 [1-9] Megan Mackinnon '17 [1-6]
Sara Anibal '14 [7-9]
Yale University Yale University Graham Landy '15 Katherine Gaumond '15
Bulldogs Christopher Segerblom '14 Sarah Smith '15

Conditions — 11/02/2013 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1003.6 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
1.7 kn
avg  ·  max 4.0 kn
Gusts to 6.6 kn
From S (171°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover48% Sunshine5.9 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1003.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 5 kn* · N 6 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at MIT: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.16 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.23
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.11 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at MIT by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (112 labelled days at MIT).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →